Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 21, 2006

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $45.7700 (0.39%) ($45.6100 - $45.8600) on Thu. Sep. 21, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $45.7700(0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(73%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(11%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.2(1.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.94(1.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.87(2.01%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 0.98% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.89%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.42%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.75%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061021

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_21_2006	42.63	44.87	44.94	45.2	45.22	45.54	45.77(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	36	50	35	40	0.06	71%	0.07	31.6	1.08%	0	2	58	0
2	Sep_20_2006	42.6	44.8	44.77	45.04	44.99	45.07	45.59(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	15	10	16	10	0.09	71%	0.07	19.5	1.1%	0	2	54	0
3	Sep_19_2006	42.57	44.74	44.67	44.89	44.9	45.07	44.72(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-3	0	0	-12	0.06	69%	0.05	14.1	1.08%	0	-0.1	43	0
4	Sep_18_2006	42.55	44.75	44.72	44.91	44.87	44.91	45.03(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	0	11	-1	0.07	69%	0.07	33.3	1.08%	0	0.8	54	0
5	Sep_15_2006	42.52	44.74	44.72	44.75	44.75	44.89	44.89(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	9	20	12	-2	0.05	69%	0.05	42.1	1.1%	0	0.4	58	0

6	Sep_14_2006	42.5	44.73	44.73	44.63	44.59	44.83	44.99(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	30	21	1	0.04	70%	0.07	46.1	1.16%	0	0.8	60	0
7	Sep_13_2006	42.47	44.72	44.74	44.45	44.4	44.62	44.84(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	10	30	15	-6	0.06	66%	0.07	44.7	1.17%	0	0.4	56	0
8	Sep_12_2006	42.44	44.7	44.77	44.42	44.28	44.36	44.8(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-1	0	2	-8	0.26	64%	0.05	53.9	1.22%	0	0.3	52	0
9	Sep_11_2006	42.42	44.63	44.76	44.52	44.33	44.19	44.24(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-30	-14	-9	0.08	63%	0.07	44.4	1.22%	0	-0.9	42	0
10	Sep_8_2006	42.39	44.59	44.78	44.72	44.59	44.2	44.28(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-17	-70	-21	-3	0.04	60%	0.07	41.3	1.22%	0	-0.6	43	0

11	Sep_7_2006	42.36	44.57	44.8	44.85	44.8	44.48	44.1(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-25	-50	-32	-4	0.1	60%	0.07	46	1.25%	0	-0.8	42	0
12	Sep_6_2006	42.33	44.56	44.8	45.06	45	44.97	44.68(-1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-5	-10	-11	13	0.07	62%	0.09	55.5	1.23%	0	0.2	46	0
13	Sep_5_2006	42.29	44.52	44.84	45.15	45.09	45.11	45.28(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-0	9	30	0.12	60%	0.12	57.7	1.22%	0	1.2	67	0
14	Sep_1_2006	42.24	44.44	44.79	45.05	45.04	45.02	45.25(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	14	-0	7	36	0.07	60%	0.12	57.1	1.26%	0	1.4	77	0
15	Aug_31_2006	42.19	44.37	44.74	44.87	44.92	45.07	44.95(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	30	9	42	0.06	61%	0.12	53.9	1.26%	0	1	77	0

16	Aug_30_2006	42.14	44.31	44.72	44.74	44.75	45.05	45.12(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	50	20	49	0.09	61%	0.12	58.7	1.26%	0	1.4	68	0
17	Aug_29_2006	42.09	44.25	44.69	44.6	44.59	44.77	45.15(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	30	19	51	0.05	61%	0.12	62.9	1.27%	0	1.6	65	0
18	Aug_28_2006	42.04	44.17	44.61	44.5	44.59	44.45	44.76(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-0	1	47	0.05	61%	0.1	71.2	1.27%	0	1.1	65	0
19	Aug_25_2006	42	44.1	44.48	44.51	44.46	44.41	44.35(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-10	-9	41	0.04	62%	0.07	84.5	1.27%	0	0.5	60	0
20	Aug_24_2006	41.97	44.07	44.38	44.6	44.61	44.48	44.3(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-20	-6	41	0.02	62%	0.07	95.5	1.28%	0	0.4	55	0

21	Aug_23_2006	41.94	43.99	44.33	44.69	44.66	44.52	44.44(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-20	-13	44	0.03	62%	0.07	103.4	1.28%	0	0.7	58	0
22	Aug_22_2006	41.91	43.91	44.28	44.77	44.74	44.74	44.65(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-0	-2	55	0.07	60%	0.07	106.3	1.28%	0	1.1	61	0
23	Aug_21_2006	41.88	43.8	44.17	44.72	44.79	44.81	44.81(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	10	16	60	0.06	60%	0.12	112.3	1.3%	0	1.3	68	0
24	Aug_18_2006	41.83	43.67	44.06	44.44	44.62	44.75	44.8(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	30	17	47	0.06	60%	0.07	100.5	1.3%	0	1.3	68	0
25	Aug_17_2006	41.8	43.51	43.97	44.12	44.33	44.78	44.73(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	90	27	36	0.12	55%		86.3	1.3%	0	1.3	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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