Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 11, 2006

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $42.8000 (0%) ($42.2700 - $42.8500) on Tue. Jul. 11, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.26% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $42.8000(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(72%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(3%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.63% (StdDev 1.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.68(0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.09(1.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.02(4.34%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   11.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 3.36% (three month std-dev: 1.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.73%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.3%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.84%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_11_2006	41.1	41.02	42.09	42.68	42.7	42.68	42.8(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	36	-0	1	140	0.07	55%	0.05	50.9	1.26%	0	1.3	80	0
2	Jul_10_2006	41.08	40.85	41.86	42.64	42.59	42.75	42.8(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	44	20	7	154	0.09	55%	0.1	46.7	1.27%	0	1.4	80	0
3	Jul_7_2006	41.04	40.7	41.62	42.55	42.52	42.71	42.66(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	57	30	22	163	0.06	53%	0.1	39.8	1.27%	0	1.5	75	0
4	Jul_6_2006	41	40.55	41.4	42.36	42.37	42.43	42.85(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	64	10	32	158	0.04	53%	0.1	31.1	1.29%	0	1.9	70	0
5	Jul_5_2006	40.96	40.42	41.15	41.84	41.98	42.34	42.27(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	60	70	31	145	0.13	51%	0.15	17.6	1.28%	0	1.7	75	0

6	Jul_3_2006	40.9	40.33	40.89	41.39	41.47	42.3	42.64(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	78	150	57	140	0.02	53%	0.1	5.3	1.28%	0	2.4	80	0
7	Jun_30_2006	40.86	40.23	40.57	40.96	40.89	41.62	42.31(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	78	120	64	120	0.03	54%	0.1	-8.8	1.27%	0	2.3	67	0
8	Jun_29_2006	40.82	40.2	40.3	40.58	40.46	40.64	41.72(3.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	47	20	34	85	0.03	53%	0.1	-16.8	1.26%	0	1.8	61	0
9	Jun_28_2006	40.78	40.18	40.14	40.32	40.25	40.16	40.28(0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	9	-20	-8	61	0.05	48%	0.05	-19.6	1.19%	0	0.1	54	0
10	Jun_27_2006	40.76	40.23	40.02	40.36	40.3	40.28	39.99(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	13	-10	0	50	0.03	47%	0.05	-13.6	1.2%	0	-0.3	45	0

11	Jun_26_2006	40.74	40.28	39.89	40.29	40.32	40.33	40.5(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	0	14	25	0.02	48%	0.05	-13.4	1.19%	0	0.3	47	0
12	Jun_23_2006	40.72	40.32	39.78	40.1	40.13	40.31	40.39(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	30	8	-9	0.02	47%	0.05	-18.8	1.2%	0	0.1	44	0
13	Jun_22_2006	40.7	40.32	39.71	39.98	39.98	40.32	40.44(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	60	20	-37	0.02	47%	0.05	-22.1	1.21%	0	0.1	37	0
14	Jun_21_2006	40.68	40.34	39.64	39.95	39.82	39.96	40.48(2.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	10	27	-58	0.04	47%	0.05	-26.1	1.21%	0	0.2	40	0
15	Jun_20_2006	40.66	40.35	39.63	39.65	39.74	39.65	39.62(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-15	-10	13	-97	0.03	44%	0.05	-44.7	1.19%	0	-0.8	36	0

16	Jun_19_2006	40.64	40.4	39.73	39.42	39.55	39.69	39.55(-0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-29	30	2	-122	0.02	44%	0.02	-62.3	1.19%	0	-0.9	40	0
17	Jun_16_2006	40.63	40.48	39.87	39.39	39.3	39.83	39.79(-1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	90	17	-123	0.06	44%	0.05	-72.7	1.19%	0	-0.8	39	0
18	Jun_15_2006	40.61	40.55	40.07	39.41	39.3	39.42	40.3(3.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	20	31	-109	0.12	46%	0.07	-88	1.18%	0	-0.3	45	0
19	Jun_14_2006	40.58	40.58	40.2	39.31	39.27	38.78	39(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-63	-90	-37	-139	0.04	43%	0.02	-106.9	1.1%	0	-1.8	41	0
20	Jun_13_2006	40.57	40.76	40.45	39.63	39.5	39.13	38.46(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-79	-80	-65	-119	0.07	41%	0.02	-102.7	1.1%	0	-2.6	35	0

21	Jun_12_2006	40.56	40.97	40.72	40.09	40.05	39.77	39.42(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-50	-28	-68	0.03	43%	0.07	-110.9	1.06%	0	-2	42	0
22	Jun_9_2006	40.53	41.14	40.92	40.4	40.33	39.88	39.85(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-53	-80	-52	-54	0.05	47%	0.07	-101.5	1.06%	0	-1.6	39	0
23	Jun_8_2006	40.5	41.34	41.05	40.83	40.71	40.33	39.83(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-47	-70	-55	-23	0.12	47%	0.07	-73.9	1.06%	0	-1.6	41	0
24	Jun_7_2006	40.47	41.55	41.14	41.21	41.28	40.78	40.6(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-18	-80	-27	11	0.04	47%	0.07	-51.8	1.03%	0	-0.9	47	0
25	Jun_6_2006	40.44	41.71	41.15	41.39	41.42	41.09	40.74(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-50	-39	-4	0.11	47%		-40.2	1.05%	0	-0.8	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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