Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 13, 2006

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $40.1800 (0.65%) ($40.1300 - $40.2700) on Mon. Mar. 13, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.89% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $40.1800(0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(72%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.445% (StdDev 0.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.7(1.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.92(0.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.63(1.39%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 1.39% (three month std-dev: 0.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.54%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.16%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.58%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060413

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_13_2006	37.4	39.63	39.92	39.7	39.71	39.93	40.18(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	40	27	3	0.15	68%	0.11	60.4	0.89%	0	1	63	0
2	Mar_10_2006	37.36	39.55	39.89	39.66	39.5	39.61	39.92(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-1	10	0	-2	0.08	69%	0.11	58.5	0.89%	0	0.6	63	0
3	Mar_9_2006	37.32	39.49	39.88	39.72	39.61	39.48	39.47(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-30	-12	14	0.05	69%	0.08	61	0.89%	0	-0	63	0
4	Mar_8_2006	37.29	39.44	39.92	39.91	39.79	39.39	39.57(0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-17	-80	-36	42	0.03	69%	0.08	63.5	0.89%	0	0.2	68	0
5	Mar_7_2006	37.26	39.36	39.96	40.08	40	39.74	39.36(-1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-9	-50	-37	74	0.08	66%	0.08	60.5	0.89%	0	0	61	0

6	Mar_6_2006	37.23	39.3	39.97	40.16	40.24	40.18	39.96(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	28	-0	-1	113	0.1	69%	0.05	60.6	0.89%	0	0.8	76	0
7	Mar_3_2006	37.21	39.22	39.9	40.14	40.16	40.27	40.25(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	20	6	126	0.05	69%	0.11	61.2	0.88%	0	1.3	78	0
8	Mar_2_2006	37.17	39.12	39.77	40.06	40.06	40.31	40.43(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	54	40	27	136	0.03	69%	0.08	61.4	0.88%	0	1.7	83	0
9	Mar_1_2006	37.14	39.02	39.59	39.94	39.89	40.06	40.39(1.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	50	30	23	130	0.07	71%	0.08	68.1	0.89%	0	1.9	84	0
10	Feb_28_2006	37.11	38.92	39.44	39.83	39.78	39.82	39.78(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	42	0	11	135	0.08	69%	0.05	79.3	0.88%	0	1.3	84	0

11	Feb_27_2006	37.09	38.84	39.31	39.75	39.77	39.72	39.87(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	42	-10	10	136	0.02	69%	0.08	83.8	0.88%	0	1.7	79	0
12	Feb_24_2006	37.06	38.74	39.19	39.61	39.66	39.75	39.83(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	20	12	131	0.04	69%	0.05	90.3	0.88%	0	1.8	74	0
13	Feb_23_2006	37.04	38.65	39.05	39.43	39.52	39.81	39.84(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	59	60	36	127	0.07	69%	0.05	95.8	0.89%	0	2.2	73	0
14	Feb_22_2006	37.02	38.54	38.9	39.19	39.24	39.58	39.84(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	55	60	39	102	0.04	69%	0.08	97.7	0.9%	0	2.5	65	0
15	Feb_21_2006	36.99	38.42	38.7	38.99	38.98	39.24	39.39(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	47	50	37	75	0.1	68%	0.03	96.7	0.89%	0	2.1	63	0

16	Feb_17_2006	36.98	38.32	38.57	38.81	38.77	38.9	39.17(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	20	22	52	0.1	69%	0.05	73.8	0.88%	0	1.6	66	0
17	Feb_16_2006	36.96	38.21	38.47	38.7	38.63	38.71	38.9(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	10	10	41	0.06	69%	0.03	63.3	0.89%	0	1.3	65	0
18	Feb_15_2006	36.95	38.13	38.41	38.62	38.6	38.64	38.64(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	10	9	37	0.03	69%	0.05	52.4	0.89%	0	0.9	59	0
19	Feb_14_2006	36.93	38.05	38.4	38.56	38.58	38.55	38.86(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-0	15	48	0.07	69%	0.03	45.6	0.89%	0	1.4	69	0
20	Feb_13_2006	36.92	37.97	38.36	38.36	38.47	38.56	38.48(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	20	5	43	0.09	68%	0.05	33.8	0.89%	0	0.9	70	0

21	Feb_10_2006	36.9	37.93	38.32	38.29	38.33	38.62	38.61(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	60	22	54	0.03	68%	0.03	27.1	0.89%	0	1.3	71	0
22	Feb_9_2006	36.89	37.87	38.26	38.22	38.2	38.38	38.52(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	35	30	24	68	0.04	68%	0.05	23.7	0.89%	0	1.3	77	0
23	Feb_8_2006	36.87	37.84	38.22	38.18	38.09	38.05	38.32(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	14	-10	-4	66	0.18	68%	0.03	26	0.89%	0	1	62	0
24	Feb_7_2006	36.86	37.8	38.16	38.23	38.17	38.02	37.88(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	6	-30	-19	80	0.06	66%	0.03	32.3	0.88%	0	0.2	64	0
25	Feb_6_2006	36.85	37.79	38.13	38.35	38.32	38.14	38.11(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-40	-11	100	0.15	66%		55.6	0.87%	0	0.7	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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