Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 11, 2006

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $37.9700 (1.17%) ($37.6800 - $37.9700) on Wed. Jan. 11, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $37.9700(1.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(72%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.77(0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.3(1.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.94(2.79%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 1.73% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.35%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.11%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.58%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_11_2006	36.65	36.94	37.3	37.77	37.74	37.67	37.97(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-20	9	116	0.03	55%	0.05	71.7	0.97%	0	1.6	67	0
2	Jan_10_2006	36.63	36.86	37.13	37.71	37.67	37.6	37.53(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-20	-9	101	0.04	52%	0.03	79.4	0.96%	0	1.1	61	0
3	Jan_9_2006	36.62	36.79	37	37.67	37.68	37.81	37.78(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	20	27	107	0.04	52%	0.08	79.4	0.95%	0	1.7	62	0
4	Jan_6_2006	36.59	36.69	36.9	37.35	37.5	37.74	38(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	56	60	44	92	0.08	55%	0.05	60.5	0.95%	0	2.4	69	0
5	Jan_5_2006	36.57	36.56	36.75	37.01	37.03	37.55	37.58(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	44	100	40	57	0.04	53%	0.05	42.7	0.95%	0	2.1	58	0

6	Jan_4_2006	36.55	36.48	36.63	36.75	36.71	37.27	37.67(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	59	100	65	40	0.03	53%	0.03	25	0.95%	0	2.5	60	0
7	Jan_3_2006	36.54	36.4	36.51	36.46	36.43	36.52	37.34(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	30	10	38	4	0.04	53%	0.03	4.7	0.95%	0	2.4	60	0
8	Dec_30_2005	36.53	36.34	36.44	36.23	36.25	36.16	36.17(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-20	-21	-35	0.01	46%	-0.03	-14.3	0.86%	0	-0.5	53	0
9	Dec_29_2005	36.54	36.34	36.47	36.38	36.28	36.34	36.28(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	0	-10	-6	0.01	49%	-0.03	-1.1	0.86%	0	-0.2	60	0
10	Dec_28_2005	36.55	36.34	36.51	36.45	36.42	36.35	36.3(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	10	-20	4	27	0	51%	0	3.3	0.88%	0	-0.2	63	0

11	Dec_27_2005	36.55	36.36	36.55	36.48	36.48	36.22	36.23(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-50	-21	31	0.01	51%	0.03	11	0.89%	0	-0.4	54	0
12	Dec_23_2005	36.54	36.38	36.55	36.56	36.51	36.49	36.18(-1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-9	-10	-27	46	0.03	51%	0	26.1	0.89%	0	-0.6	53	0
13	Dec_22_2005	36.54	36.39	36.58	36.68	36.66	36.74	36.9(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	10	20	77	0.02	56%	0.03	41.8	0.85%	0	1.5	57	0
14	Dec_21_2005	36.53	36.37	36.48	36.57	36.64	36.54	36.63(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	10	-10	-1	44	0.01	56%	0	51.8	0.85%	0	0.8	49	0
15	Dec_20_2005	36.53	36.35	36.38	36.59	36.58	36.58	36.47(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-0	-15	31	0	56%	0.03	67.1	0.85%	0	0.4	54	0

16	Dec_19_2005	36.52	36.33	36.34	36.63	36.66	36.75	36.63(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	20	16	43	0.01	52%	0.03	76.5	0.85%	0	1	53	0
17	Dec_16_2005	36.51	36.3	36.28	36.6	36.54	36.59	36.75(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	0	11	29	0.02	55%	0.03	76.5	0.87%	0	1.5	51	0
18	Dec_15_2005	36.5	36.25	36.23	36.47	36.48	36.57	36.36(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	16	20	16	17	0.01	53%	0.03	65.1	0.87%	0	0.4	50	0
19	Dec_14_2005	36.49	36.21	36.25	36.36	36.36	36.49	36.75(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	30	29	12	0.01	55%	0.05	43.4	0.86%	0	1.5	51	0
20	Dec_13_2005	36.47	36.14	36.19	36.13	36.13	36.38	36.66(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	11	50	21	-18	0.01	55%	0.03	22.5	0.86%	0	1.4	54	0

21	Dec_12_2005	36.46	36.09	36.19	36	36	36.24	36.47(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	18	50	31	-22	0.02	52%	0.05	12	0.86%	0	1.1	56	0
22	Dec_9_2005	36.44	36.06	36.15	35.91	35.88	35.88	36.12(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-0	3	-34	0.02	52%	0.03	8.2	0.87%	0	0.2	53	0
23	Dec_8_2005	36.43	36.06	36.17	35.95	35.9	35.77	35.8(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-30	-21	-32	0.09	50%	0	7	0.87%	0	-0.7	52	0
24	Dec_7_2005	36.43	36.05	36.25	36.12	36.01	35.88	35.58(-1.28%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.5	-16	-30	-23	5	0.1	50%	0.03	11	0.86%	0	-1.3	56	0
25	Dec_6_2005	36.42	36.06	36.32	36.24	36.18	36.04	36.04(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-30	-12	38	0.14	57%		13.4	0.85%	0	-0.1	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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