Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 30, 2004

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $35.6500 (0.28%) ($35.4600 - $35.6500) on Thu. Dec. 30, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.77% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $35.6500(0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(73%)    IWM(71%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.385% (StdDev 0.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.41(0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.12(1.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.75(2.59%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   24.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 1.44% (three month std-dev: 0.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.28%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.46%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.16%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.73%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050130

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_30_2004	30.81	34.75	35.12	35.41	35.46	35.53	35.65(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	20	17	119	0.01	82%	0.29	86.8	0.77%	0	1.8	71	NAN
2	Dec_29_2004	30.72	34.67	35.03	35.32	35.31	35.46	35.55(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	30	16	125	0.04	82%	0.29	98.6	0.77%	0	1.8	72	NAN
3	Dec_28_2004	30.63	34.58	34.93	35.21	35.23	35.39	35.42(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	30	29	124	0.06	83%	0.26	106.8	0.77%	0	1.8	65	NAN
4	Dec_27_2004	30.55	34.5	34.84	35.08	35.12	35.16	35.34(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	45	10	24	107	0.13	83%	0.39	114.1	0.78%	0	1.9	62	NAN
5	Dec_23_2004	30.43	34.42	34.7	34.9	34.97	35.16	35.09(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	30	14	73	0.02	83%	0.26	116.8	0.78%	0	1.6	60	NAN

6	Dec_22_2004	30.35	34.32	34.62	34.78	34.83	35.08	35.22(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	50	27	68	0.08	78%	0.26	106.6	0.78%	0	1.9	67	NAN
7	Dec_21_2004	30.27	34.2	34.51	34.69	34.65	34.87	35(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	40	25	59	0.06	80%	0.26	98.1	0.81%	0	1.5	66	NAN
8	Dec_20_2004	30.19	34.1	34.44	34.61	34.59	34.59	34.75(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-0	14	54	0.02	75%	0.23	94	0.85%	0	1.1	66	NAN
9	Dec_17_2004	30.12	34	34.44	34.57	34.53	34.43	34.45(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-20	-2	53	0.11	74%	0.23	91.1	0.89%	0	0.7	62	NAN
10	Dec_16_2004	30.05	33.92	34.4	34.46	34.55	34.59	34.46(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	20	3	57	0.06	74%	0.27	85.4	0.89%	0	0.8	64	NAN

11	Dec_15_2004	29.97	33.83	34.36	34.43	34.43	34.64	34.8(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	36	40	22	79	0.1	74%	0.23	83.6	0.87%	0	1.4	77	NAN
12	Dec_14_2004	29.9	33.69	34.28	34.29	34.29	34.51	34.58(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	39	40	23	87	0.03	74%	0.27	71.2	0.89%	0	1.2	80	NAN
13	Dec_13_2004	29.82	33.57	34.2	34.24	34.16	34.23	34.55(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	31	10	9	96	0.03	74%	0.24	66.8	0.89%	0	1.2	77	NAN
14	Dec_10_2004	29.75	33.46	34.13	34.23	34.17	34.08	33.92(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	20	-20	-10	110	0.01	72%	0.2	67.8	0.87%	0	0.6	73	NAN
15	Dec_9_2004	29.69	33.38	34.11	34.32	34.28	34.09	34.28(0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	30	-40	-9	145	0.03	75%	0.2	69.4	0.85%	0	1.1	82	NAN

16	Dec_8_2004	29.63	33.25	34.01	34.28	34.32	34.26	34.11(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	31	-10	-11	157	0.01	75%	0.2	66.4	0.85%	0	1	83	NAN
17	Dec_7_2004	29.57	33.15	33.89	34.26	34.35	34.46	34.35(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	60	30	17	188	0.02	75%	0.17	69.4	0.84%	0	1.4	92	NAN
18	Dec_6_2004	29.52	33.03	33.74	34.15	34.21	34.38	34.48(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	67	40	24	197	0.03	75%	0.2	71.5	0.84%	0	1.7	89	NAN
19	Dec_3_2004	29.46	32.92	33.57	34.02	34.05	34.23	34.4(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	67	40	24	195	0.04	75%	0.2	77.8	0.84%	0	1.9	82	NAN
20	Dec_2_2004	29.4	32.8	33.41	33.88	33.94	34.05	34.06(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	69	30	27	194	0.01	76%	0.2	86.5	0.85%	0	1.7	81	NAN

21	Dec_1_2004	29.34	32.68	33.25	33.71	33.81	33.87	34.01(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	67	20	27	187	0.03	76%	0.17	88.9	0.87%	0	1.9	83	NAN
22	Nov_30_2004	29.29	32.55	33.05	33.45	33.61	33.84	33.8(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	60	60	27	159	0.02	77%	0.17	89.5	0.87%	0	1.8	76	NAN
23	Nov_29_2004	29.24	32.43	32.88	33.26	33.37	33.75	33.82(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	70	90	44	147	0.03	77%	0.17	93	0.87%	0	2.1	74	NAN
24	Nov_26_2004	29.19	32.31	32.72	33.06	33.08	33.39	33.71(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	64	70	43	127	0.08	77%	0.21	97.8	0.87%	0	2.3	70	NAN
25	Nov_24_2004	29.13	32.18	32.57	32.87	32.89	32.99	33.21(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	20	26	104	0.01	76%		96.2	0.85%	0	1.7	66	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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