Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 9, 2004

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $34.2800 (0.5%) ($33.9800 - $34.3100) on Thu. Dec. 9, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $34.2800(0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(73%)    IWM(71%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.32(-0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.11(0.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.38(2.7%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   22.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.52% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.57%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.84%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.69%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050109

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_9_2004	29.69	33.38	34.11	34.32	34.28	34.09	34.28(0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	30	-40	-9	145	0.03	75%	0.2	69.4	0.85%	0	1.1	82	NAN
2	Dec_8_2004	29.63	33.25	34.01	34.28	34.32	34.26	34.11(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	31	-10	-11	157	0.01	75%	0.2	66.4	0.85%	0	1	83	NAN
3	Dec_7_2004	29.57	33.15	33.89	34.26	34.35	34.46	34.35(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	60	30	17	188	0.02	75%	0.17	69.4	0.84%	0	1.4	92	NAN
4	Dec_6_2004	29.52	33.03	33.74	34.15	34.21	34.38	34.48(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	67	40	24	197	0.03	75%	0.2	71.5	0.84%	0	1.7	89	NAN
5	Dec_3_2004	29.46	32.92	33.57	34.02	34.05	34.23	34.4(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	67	40	24	195	0.04	75%	0.2	77.8	0.84%	0	1.9	82	NAN

6	Dec_2_2004	29.4	32.8	33.41	33.88	33.94	34.05	34.06(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	69	30	27	194	0.01	76%	0.2	86.5	0.85%	0	1.7	81	NAN
7	Dec_1_2004	29.34	32.68	33.25	33.71	33.81	33.87	34.01(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	67	20	27	187	0.03	76%	0.17	88.9	0.87%	0	1.9	83	NAN
8	Nov_30_2004	29.29	32.55	33.05	33.45	33.61	33.84	33.8(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	60	60	27	159	0.02	77%	0.17	89.5	0.87%	0	1.8	76	NAN
9	Nov_29_2004	29.24	32.43	32.88	33.26	33.37	33.75	33.82(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	70	90	44	147	0.03	77%	0.17	93	0.87%	0	2.1	74	NAN
10	Nov_26_2004	29.19	32.31	32.72	33.06	33.08	33.39	33.71(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	64	70	43	127	0.08	77%	0.21	97.8	0.87%	0	2.3	70	NAN

11	Nov_24_2004	29.13	32.18	32.57	32.87	32.89	32.99	33.21(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	20	26	104	0.01	76%	0.17	96.2	0.85%	0	1.7	66	NAN
12	Nov_23_2004	29.08	32.06	32.42	32.74	32.79	32.77	32.73(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	0	13	87	0.01	74%	0.1	90.4	0.84%	0	1.1	69	NAN
13	Nov_22_2004	29.05	31.95	32.35	32.57	32.73	32.8	32.83(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	30	17	81	0.02	74%	0.17	82.4	0.85%	0	1.3	73	NAN
14	Nov_19_2004	29	31.84	32.27	32.43	32.52	32.81	32.81(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	70	22	78	0.03	74%	0.17	78.8	0.86%	0	1.4	72	NAN
15	Nov_18_2004	28.95	31.73	32.21	32.33	32.35	32.66	32.79(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	51	70	37	91	0.02	76%	0.14	80.2	0.86%	0	1.5	73	NAN

16	Nov_17_2004	28.91	31.61	32.14	32.22	32.23	32.23	32.52(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	0	26	92	0.01	76%	0.17	82.2	0.87%	0	1.3	72	NAN
17	Nov_16_2004	28.86	31.5	32.06	32.07	32.23	32.03	31.92(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10	-13	80	0.01	74%	0.1	79.6	0.85%	0	0.6	73	NAN
18	Nov_15_2004	28.83	31.41	32.02	32.07	32.12	32.23	32.11(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	30	3	109	0.05	74%	0.14	79	0.85%	0	0.9	80	NAN
19	Nov_12_2004	28.79	31.31	31.96	32.09	32.09	32.2	32.31(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	45	20	14	137	0.03	74%	0.14	76.3	0.84%	0	1.2	84	NAN
20	Nov_11_2004	28.75	31.18	31.86	32.07	32.06	32.01	32.23(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	38	-10	1	150	0.02	74%	0.14	72.4	0.84%	0	1.2	83	NAN

21	Nov_10_2004	28.71	31.04	31.77	32.06	32.09	31.99	31.79(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	36	-20	-6	163	0.01	72%	0.14	67.6	0.85%	0	0.8	81	NAN
22	Nov_9_2004	28.67	30.92	31.68	32.04	32.11	32.1	32.02(-0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	50	0	5	183	0.01	72%	0.14	64.1	0.84%	0	1.2	90	NAN
23	Nov_8_2004	28.63	30.8	31.53	31.92	32.08	32.19	32.09(-0.43%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	63	40	20	191	0.02	72%	0.14	63	0.84%	0	1.4	93	NAN
24	Nov_5_2004	28.59	30.69	31.38	31.8	31.89	32.12	32.23(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	72	60	31	195	0.03	72%	0.14	66.8	0.84%	0	1.8	98	NAN
25	Nov_4_2004	28.55	30.57	31.21	31.62	31.66	31.97	32.18(1.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	77	70	38	194	0.03	72%		69.5	0.84%	0	2	98	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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