Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 13, 2004

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $28.6200 (0.35%) ($28.5000 - $28.6800) on Mon. Sep. 13, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.95% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $28.6200(0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(73%)    IWM(71%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.43(0.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.15(1.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.79(2.99%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   6.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 1.73% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.29%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.49%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.31%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041013

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_13_2004	27.72	27.79	28.15	28.43	28.37	28.53	28.62(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	50	30	21	135	0.01	56%	0.04	79.8	0.95%	0	1.7	81	0
2	Sep_10_2004	27.71	27.7	28.03	28.31	28.28	28.36	28.52(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	20	15	117	0	56%	0	72.9	0.95%	0	1.7	72	0
3	Sep_9_2004	27.71	27.61	27.92	28.26	28.17	28.22	28.39(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	0	12	105	0.01	49%	0	68.9	0.95%	0	1.7	61	0
4	Sep_8_2004	27.71	27.54	27.81	28.14	28.12	28.2	28.34(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	20	16	83	0	49%	0.04	58.9	1%	0	1.8	62	0
5	Sep_7_2004	27.7	27.47	27.7	28.02	28.01	28.12	28.27(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	30	21	72	0.01	49%	-0.04	52.9	1%	0	1.9	69	0

6	Sep_3_2004	27.71	27.41	27.6	27.84	27.87	28.04	28.05(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	50	21	53	0.01	54%	-0.04	41	1.04%	0	1.7	68	0
7	Sep_2_2004	27.72	27.36	27.54	27.69	27.71	27.91	28.27(1.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	34	50	28	52	0.01	58%	0	31.3	1.04%	0	2.6	77	0
8	Sep_1_2004	27.72	27.3	27.48	27.52	27.53	27.69	27.78(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	40	16	45	0	54%	0	17.5	1.04%	0	1.7	72	0
9	Aug_31_2004	27.72	27.27	27.46	27.44	27.44	27.52	27.71(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	26	20	17	52	0.01	54%	-0.04	13	1.06%	0	1.8	72	0
10	Aug_30_2004	27.73	27.27	27.41	27.34	27.35	27.52	27.37(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	0	1	38	0	51%	-0.04	1.1	1.05%	0	0.5	57	0

11	Aug_27_2004	27.74	27.27	27.39	27.33	27.33	27.36	27.32(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	8	10	-2	37	0	51%	-0.04	8	1.06%	0	0.3	57	0
12	Aug_26_2004	27.75	27.27	27.35	27.37	27.35	27.34	27.41(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	7	-0	-3	36	0	45%	-0.07	10.2	1.07%	0	0.7	57	0
13	Aug_25_2004	27.77	27.25	27.3	27.44	27.37	27.29	27.38(0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-30	-9	34	0	56%	-0.04	2.3	1.12%	0	0.5	54	0
14	Aug_24_2004	27.78	27.24	27.25	27.44	27.48	27.36	27.24(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	5	-30	-4	30	0	58%	-0.04	-9.1	1.31%	0	0	49	0
15	Aug_23_2004	27.79	27.25	27.23	27.49	27.51	27.45	27.32(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	6	-10	-2	28	0.01	58%	-0.04	-29.5	1.33%	0	0.3	49	0

16	Aug_20_2004	27.8	27.25	27.21	27.44	27.46	27.6	27.49(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	40	10	23	0	58%	-0.04	-67	1.32%	0	1.1	48	0
17	Aug_19_2004	27.81	27.23	27.17	27.32	27.37	27.57	27.75(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	22	60	24	14	0	61%	-0.04	-76.9	1.33%	0	1.6	59	0
18	Aug_18_2004	27.82	27.25	27.11	27.14	27.17	27.32	27.66(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	11	40	18	-9	0	61%	0	-83.8	1.36%	0	1.1	52	0
19	Aug_17_2004	27.82	27.26	27.11	26.97	27.01	27.17	27.22(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	50	9	-26	0.01	59%	0	-87.3	1.34%	0	-0.1	52	0
20	Aug_16_2004	27.82	27.32	27.06	26.95	27.01	27.02	27.1(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	20	7	-31	0.05	59%	0	-74.2	1.35%	0	-0.4	41	0

21	Aug_13_2004	27.82	27.4	27.09	26.94	26.91	26.86	26.85(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-8	-20	-1	-30	0.02	59%	-0.04	-68.4	1.34%	0	-0.9	48	0
22	Aug_12_2004	27.83	27.48	27.14	27	26.92	26.8	26.85(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-40	-11	-30	0	59%	0	-65.6	1.36%	0	-1.1	39	0
23	Aug_11_2004	27.83	27.56	27.2	27.07	27.01	26.95	26.84(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-20	-10	-36	0	59%	-0.04	-63.8	1.36%	0	-1.2	27	0
24	Aug_10_2004	27.84	27.64	27.24	27.15	27.01	27.05	27.11(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-20	-3	-41	0	56%	0.04	-61.6	1.35%	0	-0.9	33	0
25	Aug_9_2004	27.83	27.72	27.27	27.19	27.11	27.07	27.06(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-20	-10	-55	0	56%		-56.3	1.37%	0	-1	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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