Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 19, 2004

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $27.7500 (0.33%) ($27.6200 - $27.8000) on Thu. Aug. 19, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.33% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $27.7500(0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(73%)    IWM(71%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.665% (StdDev 1.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.32(1.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.17(2.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.23(1.91%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   4.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 1.21% (three month std-dev: 1.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_19_2004	27.81	27.23	27.17	27.32	27.37	27.57	27.75(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	22	60	24	14	0	61%	-0.04	-76.9	1.33%	0	1.6	59	0
2	Aug_18_2004	27.82	27.25	27.11	27.14	27.17	27.32	27.66(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	11	40	18	-9	0	61%	0	-83.8	1.36%	0	1.1	52	0
3	Aug_17_2004	27.82	27.26	27.11	26.97	27.01	27.17	27.22(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	50	9	-26	0.01	59%	0	-87.3	1.34%	0	-0.1	52	0
4	Aug_16_2004	27.82	27.32	27.06	26.95	27.01	27.02	27.1(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	20	7	-31	0.05	59%	0	-74.2	1.35%	0	-0.4	41	0
5	Aug_13_2004	27.82	27.4	27.09	26.94	26.91	26.86	26.85(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-8	-20	-1	-30	0.02	59%	-0.04	-68.4	1.34%	0	-0.9	48	0

6	Aug_12_2004	27.83	27.48	27.14	27	26.92	26.8	26.85(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-40	-11	-30	0	59%	0	-65.6	1.36%	0	-1.1	39	0
7	Aug_11_2004	27.83	27.56	27.2	27.07	27.01	26.95	26.84(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-20	-10	-36	0	59%	-0.04	-63.8	1.36%	0	-1.2	27	0
8	Aug_10_2004	27.84	27.64	27.24	27.15	27.01	27.05	27.11(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-20	-3	-41	0	56%	0.04	-61.6	1.35%	0	-0.9	33	0
9	Aug_9_2004	27.83	27.72	27.24	27.19	27.11	27.07	27.06(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-20	-10	-55	0	56%	-0.04	-56.3	1.37%	0	-1	29	0
10	Aug_6_2004	27.84	27.8	27.27	27.27	27.2	27.18	27.13(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10	-2	-67	0.01	48%	0	-50.9	1.43%	0	-1	27	0

11	Aug_5_2004	27.84	27.88	27.3	27.31	27.25	27.14	27.19(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-30	-7	-83	0	50%	-0.04	-45.1	1.45%	0	-1.1	30	0
12	Aug_4_2004	27.85	27.96	27.4	27.36	27.32	27.22	27.27(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-30	-5	-80	0.06	50%	0	-41	1.46%	0	-1.1	34	0
13	Aug_3_2004	27.85	28.03	27.48	27.34	27.38	27.36	27.31(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	-0	-3	-88	0.01	50%	0.04	-38.5	1.47%	0	-1.2	34	0
14	Aug_2_2004	27.84	28.08	27.59	27.36	27.36	27.42	27.46(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	20	5	-87	0	50%	-0.04	-40.1	1.47%	0	-1	34	0
15	Jul_30_2004	27.85	28.13	27.71	27.27	27.37	27.41	27.32(-0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	20	4	-94	0.01	50%	-0.04	-44.1	1.48%	0	-1.4	31	0

16	Jul_29_2004	27.86	28.17	27.84	27.29	27.28	27.31	27.45(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-33	10	-10	-101	0	50%	-0.04	-47.7	1.48%	0	-1.3	31	0
17	Jul_28_2004	27.87	28.22	27.94	27.46	27.32	27.33	27.15(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-10	-12	-94	0	47%	-0.07	-40.3	1.48%	0	-2	27	0
18	Jul_27_2004	27.89	28.27	28.08	27.66	27.53	27.26	27.4(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-80	-16	-83	0	47%	-0.07	-35.3	1.51%	0	-1.8	28	0
19	Jul_26_2004	27.91	28.33	28.2	27.87	27.77	27.31	27.03(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-48	-130	-39	-74	0	47%	-0.11	-21.9	1.51%	0	-3	35	0
20	Jul_23_2004	27.94	28.39	28.38	28.21	28.1	27.81	27.41(-3.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-34	-80	-32	-40	0.09	47%	-0.07	-0.9	1.5%	0	-3.1	38	0

21	Jul_22_2004	27.96	28.45	28.52	28.46	28.4	28.23	28.3(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-50	-10	-5	0.01	51%	0	34.6	1.44%	0	-0.7	56	0
22	Jul_21_2004	27.96	28.45	28.57	28.48	28.54	28.4	28.14(-1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-8	-30	-11	2	0.01	51%	-0.04	45.2	1.45%	0	-1.3	48	0
23	Jul_20_2004	27.97	28.44	28.63	28.56	28.6	28.58	28.45(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-0	-6	21	0	49%	-0.04	58.3	1.44%	0	0	62	0
24	Jul_19_2004	27.98	28.42	28.62	28.56	28.63	28.69	28.75(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	20	2	25	0.02	49%	-0.04	75	1.45%	0	1.3	56	0
25	Jul_16_2004	27.99	28.4	28.58	28.59	28.62	28.63	28.64(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	10	0	26	0.06	49%		82.4	1.45%	0	1	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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