Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 27, 2004

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $28.0200 (1.08%) ($27.8000 - $28.0200) on Thu. May. 27, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.59% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $28.0200(1.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(73%)    IWM(71%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.795% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.795% (StdDev 1.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.57(1.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.08(3.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.17(3.13%)
To recent high   -5.6%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.58% (three month std-dev: 1.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.2%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.87%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.03%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_27_2004	28.33	27.17	27.08	27.57	27.58	27.76	28.02(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	50	20	76	0.01	44%	-0.04	-7.8	1.59%	0	1.2	58	NAN
2	May_26_2004	28.34	27.13	26.92	27.29	27.31	27.69	27.72(-2.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	100	21	36	0.05	43%	-0.04	-25.1	1.6%	0	0.9	46	NAN
3	May_25_2004	28.35	27.12	26.81	27.13	27.06	27.41	28.49(5.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	33	80	40	10	0.03	45%	0	-32.5	1.57%	0	1.9	47	NAN
4	May_24_2004	28.35	27.1	26.62	26.69	26.89	26.93	27.02(1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	30	20	-55	0.01	39%	-0.04	-49	1.41%	0	-0.1	39	NAN
5	May_21_2004	28.36	27.16	26.57	26.53	26.72	26.71	26.62(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-25	20	-1	-97	0	36%	-0.07	-55.5	1.39%	0	-0.7	38	NAN

6	May_20_2004	28.38	27.23	26.6	26.51	26.58	26.85	26.58(-1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	80	7	-104	0	35%	-0.04	-59.3	1.4%	0	-0.9	41	NAN
7	May_19_2004	28.39	27.31	26.72	26.48	26.53	26.74	26.92(2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	60	19	-95	0	35%	-0.04	-62.5	1.42%	0	-0.5	45	NAN
8	May_18_2004	28.4	27.36	26.86	26.46	26.38	26.31	26.32(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-30	-6	-100	0	31%	-0.04	-65.2	1.38%	0	-1.4	36	NAN
9	May_17_2004	28.41	27.45	27.02	26.54	26.46	26.32	26.22(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-50	-11	-101	0.01	33%	-0.04	-66	1.38%	0	-1.7	29	NAN
10	May_14_2004	28.42	27.56	27.17	26.61	26.46	26.44	26.51(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	-40	-10	-102	0	33%	-0.07	-69.2	1.39%	0	-1.5	34	NAN

11	May_13_2004	28.44	27.67	27.28	26.7	26.57	26.59	26.43(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-10	-23	-108	0.01	32%	-0.04	-70.6	1.4%	0	-1.9	34	NAN
12	May_12_2004	28.45	27.77	27.39	27	26.75	26.69	26.8(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-40	-18	-93	0.01	32%	0	-67.1	1.4%	0	-1.6	36	NAN
13	May_11_2004	28.45	27.84	27.47	27.33	27.05	26.54	26.76(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-43	-160	-31	-77	0.01	35%	0	-57.7	1.4%	0	-1.9	39	NAN
14	May_10_2004	28.45	27.93	27.64	27.58	27.47	26.8	26.53(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-51	-180	-48	-59	0.06	36%	-0.04	-48.2	1.41%	0	-2.6	35	NAN
15	May_7_2004	28.46	28.05	27.81	27.82	27.88	27.56	27(-3.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-31	-70	-29	-36	0.01	39%	0	-40.8	1.4%	0	-2.4	35	NAN

16	May_6_2004	28.46	28.14	27.92	27.92	28.01	28.14	27.91(-1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-2	40	5	-22	0.01	44%	0.04	-37.8	1.36%	0	-0.6	40	NAN
17	May_5_2004	28.45	28.14	27.95	27.82	27.91	28.2	28.44(1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	14	80	26	-24	0.01	47%	0.07	-39.1	1.36%	0	0.7	51	NAN
18	May_4_2004	28.43	28.17	27.89	27.65	27.69	27.88	28(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	50	7	-52	0.01	45%	0.04	-42.8	1.35%	0	-0.4	45	NAN
19	May_3_2004	28.42	28.19	27.9	27.73	27.6	27.62	27.73(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-10	-4	-56	0	46%	0.07	-30.4	1.35%	0	-1.2	39	NAN
20	Apr_30_2004	28.4	28.23	27.97	27.82	27.75	27.51	27.53(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-24	-70	-12	-59	0	46%	0.04	-12.6	1.34%	0	-1.8	30	NAN

21	Apr_29_2004	28.39	28.28	28.07	27.92	27.9	27.59	27.4(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-35	-80	-27	-57	0.01	45%	0.07	6.5	1.34%	0	-2.5	31	NAN
22	Apr_28_2004	28.37	28.33	28.17	28.08	28.07	27.98	27.6(-2.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-22	-20	-15	-44	0.01	45%	0.04	47.5	1.35%	0	-2.6	34	NAN
23	Apr_27_2004	28.36	28.34	28.17	28.15	28.16	28.22	28.38(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	20	8	-33	0	48%	0.11	64.2	1.31%	0	0.1	49	NAN
24	Apr_26_2004	28.33	28.31	28.24	28.09	28.06	28.16	28.17(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-12	20	-1	-44	0	48%	0.11	63.2	1.3%	0	-0.5	45	NAN
25	Apr_23_2004	28.3	28.28	28.31	28.15	28.08	28.1	28.07(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-0	-3	-35	0.01	47%		62.1	1.31%	0	-0.6	43	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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