Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Dec. 19, 2003

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $27.1300 (-0.48%) ($26.9100 - $27.2000) on Fri. Dec. 19, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $27.1300(-0.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(73%)    IWM(71%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.87(0.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.48(2.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.84(4.99%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   21.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 3.17% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -4%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -4.18%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.64%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2003	23.72	25.84	26.48	26.87	26.87	27.06	27.13(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	58	50	24	159	0.02	64%	0.17	77.3	1.02%	0	1.6	83	NAN
2	Dec_18_2003	23.68	25.71	26.33	26.72	26.72	26.89	27.26(1.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	64	40	31	161	0.08	65%	0.21	74	1.02%	0	1.9	89	NAN
3	Dec_17_2003	23.63	25.57	26.15	26.51	26.54	26.69	26.78(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	58	40	26	154	0.02	63%	0.17	73	1.01%	0	1.6	89	NAN
4	Dec_16_2003	23.59	25.45	26.04	26.33	26.35	26.55	26.72(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	57	60	24	156	0.02	63%	0.17	72.1	1.01%	0	1.7	88	NAN
5	Dec_15_2003	23.55	25.31	25.93	26.18	26.18	26.4	26.45(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	61	60	27	162	0.02	62%	0.13	68.3	1.01%	0	1.6	87	NAN

6	Dec_12_2003	23.52	25.22	25.82	26.03	26.08	26.15	26.39(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	60	20	24	166	0.02	62%	0.17	71.5	1.01%	0	1.7	87	NAN
7	Dec_11_2003	23.48	25.12	25.69	25.89	25.94	25.97	26.22(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	49	10	12	158	0.01	62%	0.17	74.5	1.01%	0	1.7	87	NAN
8	Dec_10_2003	23.44	25.03	25.53	25.74	25.85	26.01	25.88(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	60	10	146	0.01	57%	0.13	80.1	1%	0	1.4	81	NAN
9	Dec_9_2003	23.41	24.93	25.42	25.71	25.76	25.91	25.94(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	52	50	19	152	0.02	57%	0.17	77.6	1.02%	0	1.7	84	NAN
10	Dec_8_2003	23.37	24.83	25.28	25.64	25.67	25.69	25.73(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	47	10	11	156	0	59%	0.17	79.4	1.02%	0	1.5	86	NAN

11	Dec_5_2003	23.33	24.75	25.16	25.58	25.6	25.6	25.66(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	0	10	144	0	59%	0.13	83	1.04%	0	1.6	63	NAN
12	Dec_4_2003	23.3	24.65	25.04	25.45	25.51	25.65	25.48(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	49	50	20	134	0	59%	0.13	78.9	1.04%	0	1.5	66	NAN
13	Dec_3_2003	23.27	24.57	24.94	25.29	25.34	25.59	25.72(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	56	70	34	122	0.03	60%	0.17	74.1	1.03%	0	2.1	68	NAN
14	Dec_2_2003	23.23	24.46	24.81	25.08	25.09	25.37	25.6(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	53	80	34	110	0.01	60%	0.13	70.8	1.03%	0	2.2	74	NAN
15	Dec_1_2003	23.2	24.37	24.65	24.88	24.89	25.1	25.45(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	47	60	34	86	0.02	60%	0.13	72.4	1.03%	0	2.4	69	NAN

16	Nov_28_2003	23.17	24.28	24.57	24.69	24.71	24.81	25(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	30	19	73	0.04	59%	0.13	75.2	1.01%	0	1.8	64	NAN
17	Nov_26_2003	23.14	24.22	24.51	24.57	24.59	24.69	24.66(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	30	7	67	0.01	56%	0.09	75.8	1.01%	0	1.2	64	NAN
18	Nov_25_2003	23.12	24.17	24.49	24.55	24.52	24.62	24.69(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	20	13	84	0.01	56%	0.13	73.9	1.01%	0	1.3	65	NAN
19	Nov_24_2003	23.09	24.11	24.4	24.49	24.44	24.5	24.59(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	10	15	80	0.04	56%	0.04	70.4	1.02%	0	1.2	65	NAN
20	Nov_21_2003	23.08	24.05	24.35	24.38	24.38	24.42	24.5(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	10	-0	65	0.01	53%	0.09	61.4	1.02%	0	1.1	62	NAN

21	Nov_20_2003	23.06	23.99	24.3	24.38	24.33	24.38	24.43(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	0	0	80	0	53%	0.09	62.9	1.04%	0	1	63	NAN
22	Nov_19_2003	23.04	23.94	24.24	24.43	24.39	24.34	24.53(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-20	3	83	0	53%	0.09	61.4	1.04%	0	1.4	61	NAN
23	Nov_18_2003	23.02	23.88	24.17	24.42	24.41	24.28	24.39(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-40	-0	87	0	53%	0.09	63.8	1.04%	0	1.3	64	NAN
24	Nov_17_2003	23	23.84	24.1	24.31	24.45	24.44	24.06(-2.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	19	10	-0	77	0.03	51%	0.09	53.5	1.03%	0	0.6	60	NAN
25	Nov_14_2003	22.98	23.81	24.08	24.29	24.34	24.54	24.75(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	41	60	21	102	0.02	56%		48.2	0.96%	0	2.4	78	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.