Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 3, 2003

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $25.7200 (0.47%) ($25.5700 - $25.8000) on Wed. Dec. 3, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.03% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $25.7200(0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(73%)    IWM(71%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-14%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(14%)    XLU(51%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.515% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.29(1.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.94(3.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.57(4.68%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.24% (three month std-dev: 1.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.04%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.58%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.66%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_3_2003	23.27	24.57	24.94	25.29	25.34	25.59	25.72(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	56	70	34	122	0.03	60%	0.17	74.1	1.03%	0	2.1	68	NAN
2	Dec_2_2003	23.23	24.46	24.81	25.08	25.09	25.37	25.6(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	53	80	34	110	0.01	60%	0.13	70.8	1.03%	0	2.2	74	NAN
3	Dec_1_2003	23.2	24.37	24.65	24.88	24.89	25.1	25.45(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	47	60	34	86	0.02	60%	0.13	72.4	1.03%	0	2.4	69	NAN
4	Nov_28_2003	23.17	24.28	24.57	24.69	24.71	24.81	25(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	30	19	73	0.04	59%	0.13	75.2	1.01%	0	1.8	64	NAN
5	Nov_26_2003	23.14	24.22	24.51	24.57	24.59	24.69	24.66(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	30	7	67	0.01	56%	0.09	75.8	1.01%	0	1.2	64	NAN

6	Nov_25_2003	23.12	24.17	24.49	24.55	24.52	24.62	24.69(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	20	13	84	0.01	56%	0.13	73.9	1.01%	0	1.3	65	NAN
7	Nov_24_2003	23.09	24.11	24.4	24.49	24.44	24.5	24.59(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	10	15	80	0.04	56%	0.04	70.4	1.02%	0	1.2	65	NAN
8	Nov_21_2003	23.08	24.05	24.35	24.38	24.38	24.42	24.5(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	10	-0	65	0.01	53%	0.09	61.4	1.02%	0	1.1	62	NAN
9	Nov_20_2003	23.06	23.99	24.3	24.38	24.33	24.38	24.43(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	0	0	80	0	53%	0.09	62.9	1.04%	0	1	63	NAN
10	Nov_19_2003	23.04	23.94	24.24	24.43	24.39	24.34	24.53(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-20	3	83	0	53%	0.09	61.4	1.04%	0	1.4	61	NAN

11	Nov_18_2003	23.02	23.88	24.17	24.42	24.41	24.28	24.39(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-40	-0	87	0	53%	0.09	63.8	1.04%	0	1.3	64	NAN
12	Nov_17_2003	23	23.84	24.1	24.31	24.45	24.44	24.06(-2.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	19	10	-0	77	0.03	51%	0.09	53.5	1.03%	0	0.6	60	NAN
13	Nov_14_2003	22.98	23.81	24.08	24.29	24.34	24.54	24.75(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	41	60	21	102	0.02	56%	0.09	48.2	0.96%	0	2.4	78	NAN
14	Nov_13_2003	22.96	23.73	23.97	24.15	24.18	24.46	24.41(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	47	80	30	96	0.01	54%	0.09	40.7	0.95%	0	2.1	75	NAN
15	Nov_12_2003	22.94	23.69	23.91	24.04	24.06	24.14	24.5(2.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	46	30	30	94	0	54%	0.09	35.6	0.95%	0	2.9	79	NAN

16	Nov_11_2003	22.92	23.69	23.81	23.89	23.9	23.91	23.81(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	0	-2	67	0	51%	0.09	30.1	0.89%	0	0.8	60	NAN
17	Nov_10_2003	22.9	23.64	23.79	23.87	23.87	23.99	23.99(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	40	11	72	0.03	51%	0.04	38.2	0.89%	0	1.7	65	NAN
18	Nov_7_2003	22.89	23.62	23.73	23.83	23.81	23.9	24.05(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	28	20	15	67	0.01	51%	0.04	43.5	0.9%	0	2.2	69	NAN
19	Nov_6_2003	22.88	23.6	23.66	23.83	23.79	23.76	23.83(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10	4	54	0.02	50%	0	57.9	0.89%	0	1.3	68	NAN
20	Nov_5_2003	22.88	23.59	23.6	23.76	23.75	23.71	23.77(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-10	-3	43	0	50%	0.04	88.9	0.89%	0	1.1	54	NAN

21	Nov_4_2003	22.87	23.57	23.57	23.72	23.8	23.81	23.71(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	140	10	154	98	0	50%	0	93.1	0.89%	0	0.8	53	NAN
22	Nov_3_2003	22.87	23.56	23.55	23.69	19.34	23.79	23.81(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	1060	11	28	0	50%	0	115.3	0.89%	0	1.5	47	NAN
23	Oct_31_2003	22.87	23.53	23.51	23.6	19.24	23.8	23.7(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	433	1100	508	207	0.05	50%	0.04	103.5	0.89%	0	0.8	48	NAN
24	Oct_30_2003	22.86	23.5	23.47	23.53	19.19	14.9	23.82(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	19	-2120	28	-8	0.01	50%	0.04	76.5	0.89%	0	1.1	49	NAN
25	Oct_29_2003	22.85	23.44	23.45	23.42	19.05	14.68	23.55(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-559	-2170	-646	-296	0	45%		66.4	0.88%	0	0.4	50	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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