Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 16, 2003

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $21.2200 (1.68%) ($21.2100 - $21.4100) on Fri. May. 16, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.31% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $21.2200(1.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(90%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(75%)    EEM(73%)    IWM(70%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-14%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(13%)    XLU(51%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.655% (StdDev 1.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.93(1.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.92(1.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.79(2.07%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   14.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 1.2% (three month std-dev: 1.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20030616

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_16_2003	20.3	20.79	20.92	20.93	20.95	21.07	21.22(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	18	40	14	28	0.01	83%	0.15	88.3	1.31%	0	1.7	56	0
2	May_15_2003	20.27	20.76	20.88	20.88	20.88	21.07	20.87(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	11	-20	6	27	0	82%	0.1	108.1	1.31%	0	0.5	59	0
3	May_14_2003	20.25	20.73	20.86	20.81	20.86	20.83	20.69(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-0	-3	15	0.05	82%	0.1	98.4	1.33%	0	-0.2	52	0
4	May_13_2003	20.23	20.7	20.86	20.82	20.86	20.92	20.84(-0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	30	-7	14	0	82%	0.1	92.7	1.34%	0	0.5	54	0
5	May_12_2003	20.21	20.64	20.85	20.93	20.82	20.89	21.03(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	10	5	30	0	82%	0.15	87.5	1.34%	0	1	52	0

6	May_9_2003	20.18	20.58	20.82	20.92	20.91	20.71	20.96(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-70	1	36	0.1	82%	0.15	82.8	1.36%	0	0.9	60	0
7	May_8_2003	20.15	20.51	20.77	20.88	20.93	20.76	20.53(-0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-50	-14	24	0.01	80%	0.05	83.1	1.35%	0	0	51	0
8	May_7_2003	20.14	20.47	20.77	20.91	20.91	20.76	20.73(-3.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	13	60	3	44	0.01	80%	0.1	87.2	1.35%	0	0.5	60	0
9	May_6_2003	20.12	20.41	20.78	20.88	20.85	21.1	21.39(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	42	80	31	76	0.1	94%	0.3	86.2	1.16%	0	1.8	72	0
10	May_5_2003	20.06	20.31	20.72	20.75	20.7	20.72	20.97(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-0	8	78	0.01	93%	0.2	0	1.15%	0	1.3	72	0

11	May_2_2003	20.02	20.23	20.65	20.72	20.67	20.61	20.79(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-30	3	86	0.01	93%	0.15	0	1.17%	0	1.1	71	0
12	May_1_2003	19.99	20.15	20.63	20.72	20.69	20.68	20.65(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	24	0	-0	95	0.01	93%	0.15	0	1.2%	0	0.9	70	0
13	Apr_30_2003	19.96	20.07	20.58	20.72	20.62	20.73	20.62(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	30	1	105	0	93%	0.15	0	1.23%	0	0.9	69	0
14	Apr_29_2003	19.93	19.97	20.53	20.64	20.61	20.71	20.73(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	30	6	124	0	93%	0.25	0	1.23%	0	1.1	74	0
15	Apr_28_2003	19.88	19.97	20.42	20.68	20.57	20.52	20.79(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	8	-30	9	4	0.01	93%	0.25	0	1.25%	0	31.5	76	0

16	Apr_25_2003	19.83	19.97	20.32	20.58	20.56	20.5	20.4(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-20	-7	-3	0	92%	0.15	0	1.25%	0	31.9	73	0
17	Apr_24_2003	19.8	19.97	20.25	20.61	20.55	20.62	20.65(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	20	10	4	0	92%	0.25	0	1.2%	0	31.8	84	0
18	Apr_23_2003	19.75	19.97	20.15	20.51	20.49	20.61	20.65(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	40	18	7	0.01	92%	0.3	0	1.23%	0	32.8	82	0
19	Apr_22_2003	19.69	19.97	20.03	20.38	20.38	20.49	20.89(2.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	25	40	29	12	0.04	92%	0.46	0	1.16%	0	34.8	91	0
20	Apr_21_2003	19.6	19.97	19.87	20.14	20.24	20.37	20.33(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	106	60	125	50	0.01	90%	0.31	0	1.07%	0	38.4	50	0

21	Apr_17_2003	19.54	19.97	19.78	20.01	16.38	20.28	20.55(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	27	1120	32	13	0.03	100%	0.41	0	0.98%	0	40.3	50	0
22	Apr_16_2003	19.46	19.97	19.62	19.83	16.22	20.12	20.14(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	354	1140	416	166	0	100%	0.31	0	0.95%	0	46.8	50	0
23	Apr_15_2003	19.4	19.97	19.5	19.73	16.11	12.48	20(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-2130	22	9	0.03	100%	0.31	0	1%	0	50	50	0
24	Apr_14_2003	19.34	19.97	19.36	19.62	16.03	12.32	19.67(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-404	-2170	-475	-190	0	100%	0.21	0	1%	0	53.2	50	0
25	Apr_11_2003	19.3	19.97	19.36	19.57	19.65	19.75	19.67(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	50	8	3	0	100%		0	1.03%	0	53.2	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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