Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 12, 2018

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $63.4600 (0.32%) ($62.8900 - $63.4700) on Fri. Jan. 12, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.6% (three month average)
RSI   94
Latest Price   $63.4600(0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(78%)    EWG(77%)    SPY(77%)    IVE(76%)    IWD(76%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-15%)    IGOV(-5%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.3% (StdDev 0.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $62.88(0.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $62.03(2.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.02(4%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.16% (three month std-dev: 0.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.69%(58%) Average negative next day return: -0.59%(42%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.3%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -1.12%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 1.72%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.35%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_12_2018	58.08	61.02	62.03	62.88	62.86	63.12	63.46(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	97	30	41	265	27.32	69%	0.16	63.4	0.6%	0	1.8	94	0
2	Jan_11_2018	57.99	60.84	61.67	62.6	62.65	62.93	63.26(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	105	30	56	250	9.09	70%	0.16	67.3	0.61%	0	2	94	0
3	Jan_10_2018	57.9	60.67	61.34	62.32	62.37	62.6	62.84(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	98	30	51	237	10.61	70%	0.16	73.3	0.6%	0	2	94	0
4	Jan_9_2018	57.81	60.5	61.05	61.97	62.12	62.36	62.44(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	96	30	60	204	12.79	69%	0.14	77.4	0.6%	0	2.1	67	0
5	Jan_8_2018	57.73	60.36	60.8	61.54	61.73	62.15	62.4(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	102	60	77	177	8.95	69%	0.16	73.2	0.6%	0	2.5	73	0

6	Jan_5_2018	57.64	60.19	60.53	61.05	61.19	61.87	62.04(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	106	80	95	138	8.86	69%	0.14	65.2	0.6%	0	2.7	71	0
7	Jan_4_2018	57.56	60.04	60.28	60.61	60.7	61.32	61.87(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	110	80	113	99	10.92	69%	0.12	50.5	0.6%	0	3.2	65	0
8	Jan_3_2018	57.49	59.89	60.04	60.22	60.23	60.51	61.12(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	54	30	59	39	11.57	68%	0.12	33.3	0.59%	0	2.7	62	0
9	Jan_2_2018	57.42	59.79	59.97	60.01	60.01	60.08	60.29(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	10	17	14	8.16	66%	0.16	14.1	0.57%	0	1.3	57	0
10	Dec_29_2017	57.33	59.79	59.93	59.95	59.97	60.08	59.93(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-0	3	9	3.73	65%	0.1	4.6	0.57%	0	0.5	56	0

11	Dec_28_2017	57.27	59.79	59.92	59.91	59.96	59.95	59.82(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	0	-2	11	3.4	65%	0.1	6.2	0.57%	0	0.2	59	0
12	Dec_27_2017	57.21	59.79	59.96	59.89	59.94	60	59.96(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	10	9	32	4.54	65%	0.09	9.2	0.57%	0	0.5	65	0
13	Dec_26_2017	57.16	59.75	59.95	59.82	59.88	59.98	60.04(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	10	6	38	2.77	65%	0.12	15.4	0.56%	0	0.7	62	0
14	Dec_22_2017	57.09	59.75	59.93	59.93	59.82	59.88	60.01(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	0	1	61	5.74	65%	0.07	37.5	0.56%	0	0.7	64	0
15	Dec_21_2017	57.05	59.73	59.89	59.91	59.97	59.79	59.73(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	16	-20	1	59	5.76	65%	0.09	48.4	0.56%	0	0	51	0

16	Dec_20_2017	57	59.72	59.85	59.94	59.99	59.75	59.69(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-23	-30	-43	36	10.67	65%	0.09	67.7	0.56%	0	-0.1	47	0
17	Dec_19_2017	56.95	59.71	59.79	60.03	60.03	60.15	59.61(-1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-1	10	-15	43	6.33	66%	0.09	86.2	0.56%	0	-0.3	47	0
18	Dec_18_2017	56.9	59.69	59.75	60.09	60.11	60.23	60.62(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	55	10	51	68	8.74	72%	0.11	87.1	0.52%	0	2.2	56	0
19	Dec_15_2017	56.84	59.59	59.59	59.93	59.94	59.91	59.9(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-0	-3	16	12.17	70%	0.09	73.9	0.5%	0	0.8	51	0
20	Dec_14_2017	56.79	59.55	59.56	59.87	59.9	60	59.87(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	10	15	10	8.7	70%	0.11	62.5	0.5%	0	0.7	46	0

21	Dec_13_2017	56.73	59.46	59.55	59.76	59.81	59.98	60.15(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	37	20	45	14	10.78	70%	0.11	28.7	0.5%	0	1.3	57	0
22	Dec_12_2017	56.67	59.38	59.55	59.51	59.62	59.81	59.91(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	29	30	41	-8	5.72	70%	0.11	6.7	0.5%	0	1	55	0
23	Dec_11_2017	56.61	59.33	59.51	59.36	59.38	59.64	59.8(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	26	30	38	-9	4.24	71%	0.09	-4.5	0.5%	0	0.9	62	0
24	Dec_8_2017	56.56	59.29	59.5	59.36	59.27	59.43	59.6(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	24	20	35	-9	4.33	71%	0.11	-13.6	0.5%	0	0.6	63	0
25	Dec_7_2017	56.5	59.28	59.54	59.21	59.18	59.13	59.32(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	-10	-9	-6	7.34	71%		-10.2	0.5%	0	0.1	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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