Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 26, 2017

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $57.9800 (0.54%) ($57.9300 - $58.1100) on Thu. Oct. 26, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.4% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $57.9800(0.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(78%)    EWG(77%)    SPY(77%)    IVE(76%)    IWD(76%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-14%)    IGOV(-5%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.2% (StdDev 0.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $57.79(0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.66(0.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.95(1.81%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   7.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.46% (three month std-dev: 0.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.89%(56%) Average negative next day return: -0.36%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 0.86%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.3%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 1.27%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.26%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171126

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_26_2017	54.92	56.95	57.66	57.79	57.88	57.85	57.98(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	58	0	15	185	8.2	68%	0.05	67.8	0.4%	0	1.2	80	INF
2	Oct_25_2017	54.89	56.83	57.53	57.68	57.74	57.89	57.67(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	51	20	6	184	11.75	66%	0.05	67.4	0.4%	0	1	77	INF
3	Oct_24_2017	54.86	56.73	57.45	57.65	57.64	57.92	58.14(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	106	30	65	229	7.84	71%	0.05	66.4	0.39%	0	1.7	87	INF
4	Oct_23_2017	54.83	56.6	57.28	57.65	57.48	57.59	57.66(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	82	10	35	221	11.56	69%	0.05	66.4	0.38%	0	1.3	85	INF
5	Oct_20_2017	54.8	56.49	57.13	57.53	57.42	57.36	57.52(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	53	-10	-3	220	12.76	69%	0.07	69.6	0.38%	0	1.3	87	INF

6	Oct_19_2017	54.76	56.39	56.98	57.5	57.47	57.37	57.39(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	54	-10	-4	227	5.19	69%	0.07	72.6	0.38%	0	1.3	86	INF
7	Oct_18_2017	54.72	56.29	56.85	57.36	57.48	57.49	57.52(-0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	69	10	17	226	4.43	70%	0.07	71	0.38%	0	1.7	90	INF
8	Oct_17_2017	54.68	56.19	56.7	57.21	57.29	57.58	57.58(-0.1%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.5	95	40	50	230	5.65	70%	0.05	73.2	0.38%	0	2	92	INF
9	Oct_16_2017	54.65	56.08	56.54	56.98	57.09	57.48	57.64(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	145	50	114	238	6.73	70%	0.09	74.1	0.38%	0	2.5	95	INF
10	Oct_13_2017	54.6	55.96	56.34	56.67	56.79	57.01	57.38(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	115	30	91	186	8.67	69%	0.07	71.6	0.38%	0	2.7	94	INF

11	Oct_12_2017	54.56	55.84	56.17	56.39	56.49	56.7	56.68(-0.12%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.7	74	30	50	147	5.69	67%	0.07	72.2	0.35%	0	1.9	92	INF
12	Oct_11_2017	54.52	55.77	56.07	56.26	56.28	56.57	56.75(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	86	40	68	141	8.62	69%	0.07	73	0.36%	0	2.4	96	INF
13	Oct_10_2017	54.48	55.68	55.95	56.12	56.11	56.28	56.46(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	72	20	57	116	6.37	68%	0.06	84.1	0.36%	0	2.2	78	INF
14	Oct_9_2017	54.45	55.62	55.86	56.03	56	56	56.06(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	-0	21	90	2.02	65%	0.06	101.8	0.36%	0	1.4	72	INF
15	Oct_6_2017	54.42	55.58	55.81	55.96	55.94	55.94	55.99(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-0	3	81	6.57	61%	0.07	108.9	0.36%	0	1.3	78	INF

16	Oct_5_2017	54.38	55.53	55.75	55.91	55.88	55.99	56.02(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	10	19	82	4.16	61%	0.06	103.4	0.37%	0	1.5	80	INF
17	Oct_4_2017	54.35	55.47	55.69	55.84	55.8	55.95	56.05(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	53	20	41	88	8.99	61%	0.07	92.5	0.37%	0	1.6	83	INF
18	Oct_3_2017	54.31	55.39	55.64	55.76	55.71	55.76	56.04(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	41	0	28	81	10.2	61%	0.07	78.9	0.38%	0	1.5	83	INF
19	Oct_2_2017	54.27	55.3	55.59	55.67	55.63	55.76	55.71(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	0	5	65	5.26	58%	0.06	77.5	0.38%	0	1.1	70	INF
20	Sep_29_2017	54.24	55.24	55.54	55.63	55.61	55.66	55.71(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	10	16	68	6.22	53%	0.07	72.4	0.38%	0	1.1	71	INF

21	Sep_28_2017	54.2	55.19	55.5	55.58	55.57	55.6	55.7(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	28	0	16	63	3.72	53%	0.06	75	0.4%	0	1.2	76	INF
22	Sep_27_2017	54.17	55.12	55.45	55.51	55.51	55.56	55.66(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	10	8	60	5.98	53%	0.06	66.3	0.4%	0	1.2	79	INF
23	Sep_26_2017	54.14	55.06	55.39	55.51	55.47	55.53	55.55(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	24	10	7	76	10.88	53%	0.06	63.4	0.4%	0	1.1	82	INF
24	Sep_25_2017	54.11	55	55.36	55.5	55.5	55.46	55.55(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	33	-10	10	102	10.84	53%	0.06	64.6	0.41%	0	1.2	85	INF
25	Sep_22_2017	54.08	54.94	55.33	55.44	55.51	55.42	55.43(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	21	-10	-7	105	2.19	53%		61	0.41%	0	1.1	73	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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