Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 12, 2017

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $56.6800 (-0.12%) ($56.6400 - $56.7900) on Thu. Oct. 12, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.35% (three month average)
RSI   92
Latest Price   $56.6800(-0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(78%)    EWG(77%)    SPY(77%)    IVE(76%)    IWD(76%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-14%)    IGOV(-5%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.175% (StdDev 0.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.39(0.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.17(0.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.84(1.5%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   5.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 0.79% (three month std-dev: 0.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.44%(88%) Average negative next day return: -1.01%(13%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 0.6%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -0.94%(25%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 1.1%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.05%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_12_2017	54.56	55.84	56.17	56.39	56.49	56.7	56.68(-0.12%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.7	74	30	50	147	5.69	67%	0.07	72.2	0.35%	0	1.9	92	INF
2	Oct_11_2017	54.52	55.77	56.07	56.26	56.28	56.57	56.75(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	86	40	68	141	8.62	69%	0.07	73	0.36%	0	2.4	96	INF
3	Oct_10_2017	54.48	55.68	55.95	56.12	56.11	56.28	56.46(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	72	20	57	116	6.37	68%	0.06	84.1	0.36%	0	2.2	78	INF
4	Oct_9_2017	54.45	55.62	55.86	56.03	56	56	56.06(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	-0	21	90	2.02	65%	0.06	101.8	0.36%	0	1.4	72	INF
5	Oct_6_2017	54.42	55.58	55.81	55.96	55.94	55.94	55.99(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-0	3	81	6.57	61%	0.07	108.9	0.36%	0	1.3	78	INF

6	Oct_5_2017	54.38	55.53	55.75	55.91	55.88	55.99	56.02(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	10	19	82	4.16	61%	0.06	103.4	0.37%	0	1.5	80	INF
7	Oct_4_2017	54.35	55.47	55.69	55.84	55.8	55.95	56.05(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	53	20	41	88	8.99	61%	0.07	92.5	0.37%	0	1.6	83	INF
8	Oct_3_2017	54.31	55.39	55.64	55.76	55.71	55.76	56.04(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	41	0	28	81	10.2	61%	0.07	78.9	0.38%	0	1.5	83	INF
9	Oct_2_2017	54.27	55.3	55.59	55.67	55.63	55.76	55.71(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	0	5	65	5.26	58%	0.06	77.5	0.38%	0	1.1	70	INF
10	Sep_29_2017	54.24	55.24	55.54	55.63	55.61	55.66	55.71(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	10	16	68	6.22	53%	0.07	72.4	0.38%	0	1.1	71	INF

11	Sep_28_2017	54.2	55.19	55.5	55.58	55.57	55.6	55.7(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	28	0	16	63	3.72	53%	0.06	75	0.4%	0	1.2	76	INF
12	Sep_27_2017	54.17	55.12	55.45	55.51	55.51	55.56	55.66(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	10	8	60	5.98	53%	0.06	66.3	0.4%	0	1.2	79	INF
13	Sep_26_2017	54.14	55.06	55.39	55.51	55.47	55.53	55.55(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	24	10	7	76	10.88	53%	0.06	63.4	0.4%	0	1.1	82	INF
14	Sep_25_2017	54.11	55	55.36	55.5	55.5	55.46	55.55(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	33	-10	10	102	10.84	53%	0.06	64.6	0.41%	0	1.2	85	INF
15	Sep_22_2017	54.08	54.94	55.33	55.44	55.51	55.42	55.43(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	21	-10	-7	105	2.19	53%	0.06	61	0.41%	0	1.1	73	INF

16	Sep_21_2017	54.05	54.88	55.29	55.4	55.47	55.53	55.37(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	10	-1	112	7.97	53%	0.06	58.3	0.41%	0	1.1	64	INF
17	Sep_20_2017	54.02	54.83	55.23	55.36	55.41	55.6	55.59(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	69	30	44	142	4.06	50%	0.06	56.1	0.4%	0	1.7	76	INF
18	Sep_19_2017	53.99	54.77	55.13	55.27	55.26	55.4	55.57(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	59	20	36	129	4.77	50%	0.07	54.5	0.41%	0	1.9	74	INF
19	Sep_18_2017	53.95	54.71	55	55.27	55.16	55.21	55.25(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	0	11	108	2.44	47%	0.06	54.9	0.41%	0	1.4	68	INF
20	Sep_15_2017	53.92	54.67	54.92	55.21	55.17	55.11	55.24(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10	4	110	7.42	43%	0.06	61.8	0.41%	0	1.5	68	INF

21	Sep_14_2017	53.89	54.61	54.87	55.15	55.2	55.1	55.16(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	21	-10	-8	107	7.46	43%	0.07	62.5	0.43%	0	1.6	70	INF
22	Sep_13_2017	53.85	54.58	54.78	55.08	55.18	55.23	55.15(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	10	9	103	4.11	46%	0.06	60	0.43%	0	1.7	62	INF
23	Sep_12_2017	53.82	54.54	54.7	54.95	55.1	55.3	55.26(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	63	30	51	99	4.14	46%	0.06	43.6	0.43%	0	2.4	64	INF
24	Sep_11_2017	53.79	54.5	54.61	54.74	54.9	55.13	55.22(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	63	40	58	76	3.42	46%	0.07	17.4	0.43%	0	2.9	65	INF
25	Sep_8_2017	53.75	54.44	54.52	54.6	54.63	54.9	54.97(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	39	40	37	44	4.79	41%		-20.5	0.45%	0	2.5	59	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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