Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 4, 2017

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $56.0500 (0.02%) ($55.9500 - $56.0700) on Wed. Oct. 4, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.37% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $56.0500(0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(78%)    EWG(77%)    SPY(77%)    IVE(76%)    IWD(76%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-14%)    IGOV(-5%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.185% (StdDev 0.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.84(0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.69(0.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.47(1.05%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 0.67% (three month std-dev: 0.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.06%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.3%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.02%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -0.97%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 0.75%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.07%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2017	54.35	55.47	55.69	55.84	55.8	55.95	56.05(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	53	20	41	88	8.99	61%	0.07	92.5	0.37%	0	1.6	83	INF
2	Oct_3_2017	54.31	55.39	55.64	55.76	55.71	55.76	56.04(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	41	0	28	81	10.2	61%	0.07	78.9	0.38%	0	1.5	83	INF
3	Oct_2_2017	54.27	55.3	55.59	55.67	55.63	55.76	55.71(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	0	5	65	5.26	58%	0.06	77.5	0.38%	0	1.1	70	INF
4	Sep_29_2017	54.24	55.24	55.54	55.63	55.61	55.66	55.71(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	10	16	68	6.22	53%	0.07	72.4	0.38%	0	1.1	71	INF
5	Sep_28_2017	54.2	55.19	55.5	55.58	55.57	55.6	55.7(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	28	0	16	63	3.72	53%	0.06	75	0.4%	0	1.2	76	INF

6	Sep_27_2017	54.17	55.12	55.45	55.51	55.51	55.56	55.66(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	10	8	60	5.98	53%	0.06	66.3	0.4%	0	1.2	79	INF
7	Sep_26_2017	54.14	55.06	55.39	55.51	55.47	55.53	55.55(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	24	10	7	76	10.88	53%	0.06	63.4	0.4%	0	1.1	82	INF
8	Sep_25_2017	54.11	55	55.36	55.5	55.5	55.46	55.55(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	33	-10	10	102	10.84	53%	0.06	64.6	0.41%	0	1.2	85	INF
9	Sep_22_2017	54.08	54.94	55.33	55.44	55.51	55.42	55.43(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	21	-10	-7	105	2.19	53%	0.06	61	0.41%	0	1.1	73	INF
10	Sep_21_2017	54.05	54.88	55.29	55.4	55.47	55.53	55.37(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	10	-1	112	7.97	53%	0.06	58.3	0.41%	0	1.1	64	INF

11	Sep_20_2017	54.02	54.83	55.23	55.36	55.41	55.6	55.59(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	69	30	44	142	4.06	50%	0.06	56.1	0.4%	0	1.7	76	INF
12	Sep_19_2017	53.99	54.77	55.13	55.27	55.26	55.4	55.57(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	59	20	36	129	4.77	50%	0.07	54.5	0.41%	0	1.9	74	INF
13	Sep_18_2017	53.95	54.71	55	55.27	55.16	55.21	55.25(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	0	11	108	2.44	47%	0.06	54.9	0.41%	0	1.4	68	INF
14	Sep_15_2017	53.92	54.67	54.92	55.21	55.17	55.11	55.24(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10	4	110	7.42	43%	0.06	61.8	0.41%	0	1.5	68	INF
15	Sep_14_2017	53.89	54.61	54.87	55.15	55.2	55.1	55.16(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	21	-10	-8	107	7.46	43%	0.07	62.5	0.43%	0	1.6	70	INF

16	Sep_13_2017	53.85	54.58	54.78	55.08	55.18	55.23	55.15(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	10	9	103	4.11	46%	0.06	60	0.43%	0	1.7	62	INF
17	Sep_12_2017	53.82	54.54	54.7	54.95	55.1	55.3	55.26(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	63	30	51	99	4.14	46%	0.06	43.6	0.43%	0	2.4	64	INF
18	Sep_11_2017	53.79	54.5	54.61	54.74	54.9	55.13	55.22(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	63	40	58	76	3.42	46%	0.07	17.4	0.43%	0	2.9	65	INF
19	Sep_8_2017	53.75	54.44	54.52	54.6	54.63	54.9	54.97(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	39	40	37	44	4.79	41%	0.07	-20.5	0.45%	0	2.5	59	INF
20	Sep_7_2017	53.71	54.4	54.44	54.55	54.53	54.66	54.8(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	45	20	46	41	4.71	41%	0.07	-57.6	0.45%	0	2.2	61	INF

21	Sep_6_2017	53.67	54.39	54.4	54.44	54.48	54.36	54.48(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10	4	7	5.57	38%	0.06	-90.3	0.44%	0	0.5	47	INF
22	Sep_5_2017	53.64	54.41	54.39	54.41	54.41	54.39	54.25(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-0	-29	-9	7.42	38%	0.07	-75	0.44%	0	-0.7	48	INF
23	Sep_1_2017	53.6	54.45	54.39	54.44	54.45	54.6	54.49(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	20	21	12	8.47	52%	0.07	-45.5	0.5%	0	0.1	50	INF
24	Aug_31_2017	53.56	54.48	54.4	54.42	54.42	54.42	54.71(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	0	24	18	3.84	52%	0.06	-37.7	0.51%	0	0.7	62	INF
25	Aug_30_2017	53.53	54.5	54.34	54.31	54.35	54.3	54.28(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-0	-14	-9	6.05	49%		-34.4	0.5%	0	-0.6	54	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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