Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 3, 2017

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $52.3500 (0.25%) ($52.0800 - $52.4400) on Wed. May. 3, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.5% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $52.3500(0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(78%)    SPY(77%)    EWG(76%)    IVE(75%)    IWD(75%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-15%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.25% (StdDev 0.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.12(0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.94(0.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.5(1.65%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   3.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.01% (three month std-dev: 0.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.02%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.18%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.47%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170603

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_3_2017	51.06	51.5	51.94	52.12	52.12	52.26	52.35(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	48	20	17	141	4.77	62%	0.04	20.8	0.5%	0	1.6	70	0
2	May_2_2017	51.04	51.45	51.81	52.06	52.08	52.16	52.22(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	10	25	135	4.03	62%	0.02	11.8	0.5%	0	1.6	65	0
3	May_1_2017	51.03	51.42	51.69	52.02	52.08	51.97	52.06(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-10	1	124	3.74	62%	0.02	9.1	0.5%	0	1.4	67	0
4	Apr_28_2017	51.02	51.42	51.59	51.97	52.04	52	51.86(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	27	-0	-4	120	6.29	62%	0.02	2.4	0.5%	0	1.1	62	0
5	Apr_27_2017	51.01	51.42	51.48	51.89	52.02	52.11	52.11(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	20	25	117	7.08	59%	0.02	1.2	0.5%	0	1.7	68	0

6	Apr_26_2017	51	51.39	51.36	51.73	51.86	52.08	52.07(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	59	40	45	99	7.51	59%	0.06	-1.1	0.51%	0	1.5	61	0
7	Apr_25_2017	50.97	51.4	51.27	51.5	51.64	51.93	52.01(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	63	50	60	70	3.64	62%	0.04	-6.6	0.51%	0	1.3	53	0
8	Apr_24_2017	50.95	51.4	51.16	51.3	51.38	51.63	51.82(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	43	40	49	23	5.12	62%	0.06	-17.6	0.52%	0	0.9	48	0
9	Apr_21_2017	50.92	51.38	51.08	51.17	51.17	51.35	51.46(0.37%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	29	20	40	-6	6.42	60%	0.04	-25.3	0.51%	0	0.2	48	0
10	Apr_20_2017	50.9	51.39	51.02	51	51.08	51.13	51.27(0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	10	25	-55	11.18	60%	0.02	-37.4	0.52%	0	-0.3	39	0

11	Apr_19_2017	50.89	51.4	51.01	50.95	50.94	50.99	50.96(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	10	-7	-95	4.28	58%	0.02	-42.9	0.52%	0	-0.9	31	0
12	Apr_18_2017	50.88	51.42	51.07	51	50.93	51.03	50.99(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-16	10	12	-99	5.46	58%	0.02	-39.3	0.52%	0	-0.9	30	0
13	Apr_17_2017	50.87	51.47	51.14	50.99	50.97	50.89	51.15(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-20	-10	9	-106	5.1	53%	0.04	-37.9	0.52%	0	-0.7	40	0
14	Apr_13_2017	50.85	51.5	51.17	50.98	50.93	50.83	50.61(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-58	-20	-33	-134	3.68	50%	0.02	-35.3	0.52%	0	-2	33	0
15	Apr_12_2017	50.84	51.56	51.31	51.05	51.03	51.06	51.04(-0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-25	0	3	-107	4.38	53%	0.02	-27.6	0.51%	0	-1.3	44	0

16	Apr_11_2017	50.83	51.56	51.43	51.08	51.01	51.02	51.21(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-30	-0	-9	-94	4.96	53%	0.02	-16.2	0.51%	0	-1	47	0
17	Apr_10_2017	50.82	51.6	51.53	51.16	51.07	51.01	50.95(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-10	-19	-72	3.21	51%	0.04	-9.7	0.51%	0	-1.8	44	0
18	Apr_7_2017	50.8	51.64	51.63	51.32	51.22	50.99	51.07(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-40	-28	-56	5.14	51%	0.02	7.4	0.51%	0	-1.6	39	0
19	Apr_6_2017	50.79	51.66	51.72	51.4	51.36	51.13	50.96(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-54	-30	-54	-55	4.5	51%	0.04	12.9	0.52%	0	-1.9	38	0
20	Apr_5_2017	50.77	51.67	51.79	51.61	51.49	51.45	51.22(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-36	-10	-39	-26	8.77	51%	0.02	25	0.51%	0	-1.3	45	0

21	Apr_4_2017	50.76	51.66	51.83	51.82	51.64	51.59	51.58(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-11	-20	-16	4	12.28	61%	0.04	30	0.51%	0	-0.2	48	0
22	Apr_3_2017	50.74	51.64	51.82	51.97	51.82	51.53	51.76(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-13	-50	-25	22	5.72	63%	0.06	40.3	0.56%	0	0.3	60	0
23	Mar_31_2017	50.71	51.62	51.83	52	51.96	51.7	51.5(-0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-29	-40	-46	22	6.98	63%	0.04	41.7	0.57%	0	-0.3	50	0
24	Mar_30_2017	50.69	51.61	51.87	52.07	52.06	52.11	51.98(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	10	-4	57	4.35	68%	0.06	45.8	0.56%	0	1	61	0
25	Mar_29_2017	50.66	51.58	51.83	51.99	52.04	52.23	52.27(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	51	30	41	81	5.1	63%		36.1	0.55%	0	1.9	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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