Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 26, 2017

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $51.2500 (0.14%) ($51.2500 - $51.5000) on Thu. Jan. 26, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $51.2500(0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(78%)    SPY(77%)    EWG(76%)    IVE(75%)    IWD(75%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-14%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.82(0.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.65(1.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.31(1.87%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.27% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 0.81%(36%) Average negative next day return: -1.05%(64%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 1.74%(29%) Average negative next three day return: -1%(71%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 1.2%(36%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.24%(64%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170226

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_26_2017	49.99	50.31	50.65	50.82	50.84	51.2	51.25(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	48	50	48	47	7.89	49%	0	40.2	0.75%	0	1.5	61	INF
2	Jan_25_2017	49.99	50.21	50.58	50.6	50.63	50.78	51.18(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	20	37	30	14.35	49%	0.04	24	0.75%	0	1.5	64	INF
3	Jan_24_2017	49.97	50.14	50.49	50.43	50.42	50.49	50.65(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	10	7	18	5.98	46%	0	13.9	0.73%	0	0.8	71	INF
4	Jan_23_2017	49.97	50.09	50.49	50.36	50.36	50.48	50.52(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	20	6	37	9.61	46%	0.02	4.8	0.73%	0	0.7	74	INF
5	Jan_20_2017	49.96	50.09	50.49	50.44	50.33	50.35	50.49(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-0	4	67	5.81	48%	0.02	1.6	0.73%	0	0.7	74	INF

6	Jan_19_2017	49.95	50.05	50.47	50.45	50.4	50.24	50.17(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-30	-13	79	5.32	48%	0.02	-2.5	0.74%	0	0.2	61	INF
7	Jan_18_2017	49.94	50.07	50.48	50.45	50.48	50.31	50.31(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-30	-19	100	5.03	48%	0.02	0	0.74%	0	0.4	62	INF
8	Jan_17_2017	49.93	50.05	50.39	50.55	50.53	50.56	50.32(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	0	-9	99	8.53	48%	0.06	-8.1	0.74%	0	0.4	57	INF
9	Jan_13_2017	49.9	50.06	50.26	50.59	50.54	50.65	50.89(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	10	18	107	7.65	51%	0.04	-10.7	0.72%	0	1.4	65	INF
10	Jan_12_2017	49.88	50.04	50.07	50.59	50.46	50.51	50.57(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	0	6	83	8.87	51%	0.02	-14.4	0.72%	0	0.9	61	INF

11	Jan_11_2017	49.87	50.07	49.95	50.5	50.46	50.43	50.65(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10	6	66	7.43	49%	0.02	-3.4	0.72%	0	1	48	INF
12	Jan_10_2017	49.86	50.06	49.82	50.42	50.45	50.41	50.32(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-0	10	44	5.18	49%	0.02	1.5	0.72%	0	0.4	45	INF
13	Jan_9_2017	49.85	50.1	49.76	50.2	50.4	50.47	50.51(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	20	30	28	4.77	49%	0.02	3.7	0.72%	0	0.6	53	INF
14	Jan_6_2017	49.84	50.1	49.67	49.87	50.06	50.5	50.46(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	31	70	45	-11	3.63	49%	0.02	0.7	0.72%	0	0.5	47	INF
15	Jan_5_2017	49.83	50.13	49.59	49.56	49.68	50.33	50.54(0.58%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	50	100	79	-39	7.38	49%	0.02	-7.4	0.72%	0	0.6	47	INF

16	Jan_4_2017	49.82	50.09	49.57	49.33	49.27	49.63	50.25(2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	23	50	58	-82	10.82	49%	0.02	-17.6	0.72%	0	0.2	36	INF
17	Jan_3_2017	49.81	50.05	49.58	49.17	49.1	49.03	49.26(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	-10	-1	-133	9.61	44%	0.02	-25.3	0.68%	0	-1.1	34	INF
18	Dec_30_2016	49.8	50.08	49.67	49.27	49.18	48.91	48.86(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-69	-40	-38	-160	3.4	42%	-0.02	-21.5	0.67%	0	-1.7	26	INF
19	Dec_29_2016	49.81	50.12	49.84	49.43	49.39	49.17	48.88(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-68	-30	-39	-156	4.89	42%	-0.02	-19.9	0.67%	0	-1.8	28	INF
20	Dec_28_2016	49.82	50.18	50.01	49.6	49.56	49.45	49.38(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-57	-20	-30	-137	3.75	44%	0.02	-13.7	0.67%	0	-1.3	40	INF

21	Dec_27_2016	49.81	50.22	50.21	49.85	49.63	49.61	49.45(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-45	-20	-30	-91	3.92	47%	0.04	-1.7	0.67%	0	-1.3	50	INF
22	Dec_23_2016	49.79	50.22	50.34	50.07	49.91	49.67	49.76(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-40	-12	-45	5.54	44%	0.04	13	0.68%	0	-0.8	54	INF
23	Dec_22_2016	49.77	50.24	50.49	50.14	50.11	49.66	49.67(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-45	-60	-51	-28	4.83	47%	0.04	11.1	0.7%	0	-1	53	INF
24	Dec_21_2016	49.75	50.25	50.64	50.32	50.24	50.15	49.75(-1.68%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-30	-20	-45	15	4.54	53%	0.04	24.3	0.72%	0	-0.9	55	INF
25	Dec_20_2016	49.73	50.27	50.72	50.48	50.43	50.55	50.6(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	10	4	56	5.63	59%		34.5	0.78%	0	0.6	58	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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