Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 5, 2017

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $50.5400 (0.58%) ($50.4700 - $50.6400) on Thu. Jan. 5, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.72% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $50.5400(0.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(78%)    SPY(77%)    EWG(76%)    IVE(75%)    IWD(75%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-14%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.36% (StdDev 0.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.56(1.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.59(1.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.13(0.82%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   3.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.48% (three month std-dev: 0.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.03%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.76%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.86%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_5_2017	49.83	50.13	49.59	49.56	49.68	50.33	50.54(0.58%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	50	100	79	-39	7.38	49%	0.02	-7.4	0.72%	0	0.6	47	INF
2	Jan_4_2017	49.82	50.09	49.57	49.33	49.27	49.63	50.25(2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	23	50	58	-82	10.82	49%	0.02	-17.6	0.72%	0	0.2	36	INF
3	Jan_3_2017	49.81	50.05	49.58	49.17	49.1	49.03	49.26(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	-10	-1	-133	9.61	44%	0.02	-25.3	0.68%	0	-1.1	34	INF
4	Dec_30_2016	49.8	50.08	49.67	49.27	49.18	48.91	48.86(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-69	-40	-38	-160	3.4	42%	-0.02	-21.5	0.67%	0	-1.7	26	INF
5	Dec_29_2016	49.81	50.12	49.84	49.43	49.39	49.17	48.88(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-68	-30	-39	-156	4.89	42%	-0.02	-19.9	0.67%	0	-1.8	28	INF

6	Dec_28_2016	49.82	50.18	50.01	49.6	49.56	49.45	49.38(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-57	-20	-30	-137	3.75	44%	0.02	-13.7	0.67%	0	-1.3	40	INF
7	Dec_27_2016	49.81	50.22	50.21	49.85	49.63	49.61	49.45(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-45	-20	-30	-91	3.92	47%	0.04	-1.7	0.67%	0	-1.3	50	INF
8	Dec_23_2016	49.79	50.22	50.34	50.07	49.91	49.67	49.76(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-40	-12	-45	5.54	44%	0.04	13	0.68%	0	-0.8	54	INF
9	Dec_22_2016	49.77	50.24	50.49	50.14	50.11	49.66	49.67(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-45	-60	-51	-28	4.83	47%	0.04	11.1	0.7%	0	-1	53	INF
10	Dec_21_2016	49.75	50.25	50.64	50.32	50.24	50.15	49.75(-1.68%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-30	-20	-45	15	4.54	53%	0.04	24.3	0.72%	0	-0.9	55	INF

11	Dec_20_2016	49.73	50.27	50.72	50.48	50.43	50.55	50.6(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	10	4	56	5.63	59%	0.04	34.5	0.78%	0	0.6	58	INF
12	Dec_19_2016	49.71	50.23	50.65	50.63	50.49	50.33	50.55(0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-30	-8	61	5.27	59%	0.04	44.2	0.8%	0	0.6	56	INF
13	Dec_16_2016	49.69	50.23	50.57	50.67	50.67	50.31	50.12(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-17	-50	-39	50	8.55	57%	0.06	44.1	0.79%	0	-0.1	53	INF
14	Dec_15_2016	49.66	50.17	50.53	50.89	50.85	50.64	50.56(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-10	-30	-37	73	10.03	59%	0.06	61	0.79%	0	0.7	63	INF
15	Dec_14_2016	49.63	50.12	50.43	51	51.02	51.03	50.56(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	20	0	-4	92	14.21	59%	0.08	64.8	0.79%	0	0.7	57	INF

16	Dec_13_2016	49.59	50.07	50.37	50.99	51.09	51.06	51.35(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	48	0	28	109	8.06	59%	0.08	65	0.77%	0	2.1	65	INF
17	Dec_12_2016	49.55	49.98	50.22	50.68	50.84	51.02	50.75(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	30	16	79	4.83	57%	0.06	54.7	0.79%	0	1.5	62	INF
18	Dec_9_2016	49.52	49.91	50.13	50.44	50.56	51.12	51.25(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	66	80	60	85	4.55	55%	0.08	44.1	0.79%	0	2.6	73	INF
19	Dec_8_2016	49.48	49.81	49.95	50.12	50.16	50.67	51.1(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	66	70	70	52	9.04	55%	0.06	25.6	0.82%	0	3.1	58	INF
20	Dec_7_2016	49.45	49.72	49.82	49.79	49.78	50.01	50.52(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	31	30	35	18	6.89	53%	0.08	-3.4	0.81%	0	2.8	62	INF

21	Dec_6_2016	49.41	49.68	49.82	49.66	49.6	49.65	49.78(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	0	1	-2	8.99	50%	0.04	-31.8	0.79%	0	0.5	52	INF
22	Dec_5_2016	49.39	49.69	49.75	49.7	49.66	49.56	49.56(-0.12%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-4	-20	-6	2	13.17	50%	0.04	-39.1	0.79%	0	-0.6	51	INF
23	Dec_2_2016	49.37	49.68	49.74	49.77	49.76	49.54	49.62(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-11	-30	-16	3	5.47	50%	0.04	-50	0.79%	0	-0.3	52	INF
24	Dec_1_2016	49.35	49.71	49.74	49.75	49.84	49.76	49.47(-0.84%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-11	-10	-18	9	7.01	50%	0.04	-54	0.8%	0	-1	52	INF
25	Nov_30_2016	49.33	49.73	49.79	49.84	49.82	49.98	49.89(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	20	6	27	9.58	52%		-50	0.79%	0	0.6	58	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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