Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $50.5600 (-1.4%) ($50.4800 - $50.6400) on Fri. Sep. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $50.5600(-1.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(77%)    EWG(76%)    SPY(76%)    IVE(75%)    IWD(75%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-14%)    IGOV(-3%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.04(1.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.48(2.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.5(2.14%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   12.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.6% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161023

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_23_2016	47.74	49.5	49.48	50.04	50.43		50.56(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	100	32	28	4.78	60%	0.1	23.1	1.02%	0	1.3	54	0
2	Sep_22_2016	47.69	49.43	49.34	49.6	49.95	50.95	51.28(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	74	160	92	20	9.22	59%	0.13	7.9	1.03%	0	2.5	61	0
3	Sep_21_2016	47.63	49.33	49.2	49.1	49.22	49.91	50.64(2.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.5	55	110	76	-8	12.67	57%	0.08	-13.5	1.05%	0	2.1	60	0
4	Sep_20_2016	47.59	49.26	49.14	48.67	48.72	48.96	49.2(1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	12	40	31	-44	9.65	56%	0.06	-33.9	0.99%	0	-0.1	52	0
5	Sep_19_2016	47.56	49.28	49.22	48.6	48.54	48.52	48.52(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10	-11	-53	3.25	53%	0.06	-38.4	1.02%	0	-1.4	46	0

6	Sep_16_2016	47.53	49.32	49.36	48.84	48.63	48.49	48.36(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-30	-20	-32	3.92	53%	0.04	-29.5	1.02%	0	-1.8	47	0
7	Sep_15_2016	47.51	49.37	49.48	49.03	48.9	48.57	48.76(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-60	-27	-20	5.89	53%	0.02	-24.2	1.01%	0	-1.3	46	0
8	Sep_14_2016	47.5	49.41	49.53	49.3	49.12	48.77	48.52(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-40	-60	-49	-14	7.79	53%	0	-5.5	1.02%	0	-2	41	0
9	Sep_13_2016	47.5	49.45	49.6	49.67	49.53	49.22	48.84(-1.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-23	-50	-34	12	10.11	49%	0	20.5	1.01%	0	-1.5	43	0
10	Sep_12_2016	47.5	49.49	49.63	49.93	49.9	49.48	49.72(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-9	-60	-22	30	8.72	53%	0.02	51.9	1.01%	0	0.6	53	0

11	Sep_9_2016	47.49	49.47	49.56	49.95	50.03	49.84	49.32(-1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-13	-20	-26	26	7.29	49%	0.02	66.2	1.04%	0	-0.4	53	0
12	Sep_8_2016	47.48	49.48	49.55	49.98	50.1	50.32	50.12(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	40	18	46	6.9	52%	0.04	85.7	1.03%	0	1.7	63	0
13	Sep_7_2016	47.46	49.43	49.48	49.78	49.92	50.22	50.36(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	38	50	37	40	6.85	52%	0.04	95.9	1.03%	0	2.6	61	0
14	Sep_6_2016	47.44	49.36	49.39	49.52	49.56	49.88	50.12(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	28	50	29	24	6.24	52%	0.06	113.6	1.03%	0	2.6	65	0
15	Sep_2_2016	47.41	49.29	49.31	49.3	49.33	49.61	49.84(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	26	40	31	9	5.57	52%	0.04	86.6	1.03%	0	1.7	52	0

16	Sep_1_2016	47.39	49.22	49.24	49.11	49.13	49.24	49.48(0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	8	20	14	-11	5.76	52%	0.06	65.3	1.03%	0	0.7	52	0
17	Aug_31_2016	47.36	49.16	49.22	49.06	49.02	49.06	49.12(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	0	-3	-25	7.05	52%	0.06	53.9	1.03%	0	-0.1	43	0
18	Aug_30_2016	47.33	49.09	49.27	49.14	49.08	49.03	49.04(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-8	-10	-5	-17	11.42	52%	0.08	52.6	1.03%	0	-0.1	49	0
19	Aug_29_2016	47.29	49.03	49.28	49.23	49.19	48.99	49.04(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-30	-15	-14	11.88	52%	0.06	61	1.04%	0	0	52	0
20	Aug_26_2016	47.26	49.01	49.34	49.32	49.33	49.14	48.88(-0.73%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-12	-30	-17	2	9.01	52%	0.11	72.1	1.04%	0	-0.2	57	0

21	Aug_25_2016	47.21	48.98	49.39	49.38	49.42	49.39	49.24(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-0	-6	20	3.12	52%	0.11	70.9	1.03%	0	0.4	64	0
22	Aug_24_2016	47.16	48.89	49.42	49.4	49.37	49.52	49.48(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	20	5	40	4.89	52%	0.13	67.3	1.04%	0	0.8	70	0
23	Aug_23_2016	47.1	48.79	49.39	49.42	49.31	49.44	49.52(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	26	10	14	63	4.1	52%	0.11	63	1.04%	0	0.9	76	0
24	Aug_22_2016	47.05	48.69	49.35	49.34	49.29	49.23	49.48(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10	2	69	9.19	52%	0.11	58.9	1.04%	0	1	71	0
25	Aug_19_2016	47	48.58	49.27	49.37	49.25	49.18	49.2(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-20	-13	68	3.12	52%		57.9	1.04%	0	0.7	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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