Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $47.7200 (0.85%) ($47.5800 - $47.8000) on Wed. Jul. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.27% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $47.7200(0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(77%)    EWG(76%)    SPY(76%)    IVE(74%)    IWD(74%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-13%)    IPO(-8%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.635% (StdDev 1.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.58(0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.31(0.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.68(2.23%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.84% (three month std-dev: 1.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.69%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.67%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.13%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -2.73%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 4.67%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.3%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160820

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_20_2016	46.42	46.68	47.31	47.58		47.51	47.72(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10	3	79	6.25	47%	0.09	40.8	1.27%	0	1.2	69	0
2	Jul_19_2016	46.38	46.64	47.13	47.55	47.54	47.47	47.32(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-10	-7	77	9.62	47%	0.06	50.6	1.27%	0	0.8	72	0
3	Jul_18_2016	46.35	46.61	47	47.62	47.6	47.56	47.64(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	22	-10	-1	92	8.51	47%	0.09	59.7	1.28%	0	1.3	82	0
4	Jul_15_2016	46.31	46.51	46.83	47.58	47.63	47.61	47.52(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	0	9	101	17.38	47%	0.06	54.7	1.28%	0	1.3	76	0
5	Jul_14_2016	46.28	46.42	46.68	47.33	47.58	47.63	47.68(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	20	20	80	7.14	47%	0.09	38.1	1.29%	0	1.6	50	0

6	Jul_13_2016	46.24	46.33	46.54	46.98	47.18	47.66	47.6(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	80	25	65	7.28	52%	0.09	16.1	1.29%	0	1.8	58	0
7	Jul_12_2016	46.2	46.23	46.36	46.65	46.78	47.54	47.68(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	52	120	54	46	11.59	55%	0.09	-10.9	1.33%	0	2.1	52	0
8	Jul_11_2016	46.16	46.13	46.1	46.3	46.28	46.71	47.4(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	34	60	42	8	12.16	55%	0.09	-40.8	1.36%	0	2.1	53	0
9	Jul_8_2016	46.12	46.08	45.88	46	45.95	46.02	46.28(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	10	9	-24	6.33	56%	0.07	-65.2	1.33%	0	0.4	54	0
10	Jul_7_2016	46.09	46.13	45.97	45.94	45.91	45.85	45.96(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	-10	-4	-19	6.43	56%	0.07	-54.5	1.38%	0	-0.3	52	0

11	Jul_6_2016	46.06	46.22	46	46.03	45.9	45.88	45.92(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-8	-10	-6	-14	12.08	58%	0.04	-37.3	1.38%	0	-0.4	50	0
12	Jul_5_2016	46.04	46.3	46.1	46.01	46.04	45.98	45.92(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10	9	4	6.16	54%	0.11	-32.7	1.39%	0	-0.5	54	0
13	Jul_1_2016	45.99	46.37	46.18	45.85	45.97	45.92	45.92(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	0	1	0	13.45	51%	0.11	-34.3	1.41%	0	-0.6	52	0
14	Jun_30_2016	45.94	46.42	46.17	45.74	45.76	46.11	46(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	50	-2	-13	27.7	49%	0.09	-39	1.45%	0	-0.5	47	0
15	Jun_29_2016	45.9	46.46	46.16	46	45.63	46.01	46.4(1.31%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	11	30	16	-6	5.93	49%	0.07	-31	1.44%	0	-0.1	43	0

16	Jun_28_2016	45.87	46.49	46.12	45.98	45.85	45.42	45.8(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-70	-6	-33	10.83	49%	0.04	-29.5	1.44%	0	-0.8	37	0
17	Jun_27_2016	45.85	46.56	46.1	46.23	46.04	45.26	45.12(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-57	-130	-57	-58	18.82	47%	0.04	-16.5	1.44%	0	-1.8	35	0
18	Jun_24_2016	45.83	46.65	46.18	46.56	46.57	46.29	45.36(-4.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-32	-40	-28	-44	16.16	47%	0	-3.7	1.45%	0	-1.7	39	0
19	Jun_23_2016	45.83	46.74	46.31	46.63	46.94	46.83	47.32(2.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	6	0	17	-28	14.78	53%	0.07	3.4	1.35%	0	0.9	52	0
20	Jun_22_2016	45.8	46.72	46.3	46.33	46.56	46.86	46.28(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	60	0	-46	11.37	50%	0.02	-5.6	1.34%	0	-0.7	47	0

21	Jun_21_2016	45.79	46.74	46.45	46.27	46.32	47.05	47.08(0.68%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	29	110	47	-24	12.58	52%	0.04	-7	1.32%	0	0.5	49	0
22	Jun_20_2016	45.77	46.7	46.5	45.97	46.01	46.26	46.76(2.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	20	40	40	-39	8.78	52%	0	-23.1	1.32%	0	0.1	46	0
23	Jun_17_2016	45.77	46.68	46.55	45.77	45.66	45.6	45.72(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-20	-14	-69	12.88	49%	0.02	-28.5	1.29%	0	-1.4	42	0
24	Jun_16_2016	45.76	46.71	46.68	45.94	45.72	45.77	45.8(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10	-16	-61	8.18	49%	0.02	-26.6	1.29%	0	-1.4	41	0
25	Jun_15_2016	45.75	46.75	46.78	46.27	45.99	45.73	46(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-60	-19	-48	8.4	49%		-13.1	1.29%	0	-1.2	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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