Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $47.3200 (2.25%) ($46.9600 - $47.3200) on Thu. Jun. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.35% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $47.3200(2.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(77%)    EWG(76%)    SPY(76%)    IVE(74%)    IWD(74%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-14%)    IPO(-7%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.63(1.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.31(2.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.74(1.24%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   8.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.45% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160723

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_23_2016	45.83	46.74	46.31	46.63	46.94	46.83	47.32(2.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	6	0	17	-28	14.78	53%	0.07	3.4	1.35%	0	0.9	52	INF
2	Jun_22_2016	45.8	46.72	46.3	46.33	46.56	46.86	46.28(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	60	0	-46	11.37	50%	0.02	-5.6	1.34%	0	-0.7	47	INF
3	Jun_21_2016	45.79	46.74	46.45	46.27	46.32	47.05	47.08(0.68%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	29	110	47	-24	12.58	52%	0.04	-7	1.32%	0	0.5	49	INF
4	Jun_20_2016	45.77	46.7	46.5	45.97	46.01	46.26	46.76(2.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	20	40	40	-39	8.78	52%	0	-23.1	1.32%	0	0.1	46	INF
5	Jun_17_2016	45.77	46.68	46.55	45.77	45.66	45.6	45.72(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-20	-14	-69	12.88	49%	0.02	-28.5	1.29%	0	-1.4	42	INF

6	Jun_16_2016	45.76	46.71	46.68	45.94	45.72	45.77	45.8(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10	-16	-61	8.18	49%	0.02	-26.6	1.29%	0	-1.4	41	INF
7	Jun_15_2016	45.75	46.75	46.78	46.27	45.99	45.73	46(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-60	-19	-48	8.4	49%	0.02	-13.1	1.29%	0	-1.2	42	INF
8	Jun_14_2016	45.74	46.78	46.9	46.67	46.34	45.67	45.56(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-47	-120	-51	-35	11.5	49%	0.04	-0.8	1.29%	0	-2.1	42	INF
9	Jun_13_2016	45.72	46.85	47.07	47.1	46.98	46.25	45.76(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-40	-120	-52	-4	7.45	49%	0	27	1.29%	0	-2.1	48	INF
10	Jun_10_2016	45.72	46.88	47.2	47.43	47.45	47.02	46.6(-1.77%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.7	-19	-60	-33	25	6.87	56%	0.09	47.6	1.32%	0	-0.6	54	INF

11	Jun_9_2016	45.68	46.89	47.24	47.5	47.64	47.71	47.44(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	20	2	50	5.71	59%	0.09	60.6	1.3%	0	1.1	67	INF
12	Jun_8_2016	45.64	46.83	47.19	47.35	47.48	47.87	48(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	34	70	26	58	3.25	59%	0.07	60.8	1.29%	0	2.4	68	INF
13	Jun_7_2016	45.61	46.79	47.05	47.18	47.14	47.56	47.72(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	31	60	25	50	5.11	59%	0.04	71.6	1.29%	0	2.3	67	INF
14	Jun_6_2016	45.59	46.71	46.9	47.06	46.98	47.1	47.4(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	10	19	38	5.75	59%	0.07	68.4	1.3%	0	1.9	57	INF
15	Jun_3_2016	45.56	46.64	46.81	47.06	46.95	46.72	46.92(0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-30	-6	25	6.63	59%	0.02	68	1.3%	0	0.8	61	INF

16	Jun_2_2016	45.55	46.6	46.74	46.94	46.94	46.87	46.72(-0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-10	-14	17	10.24	59%	0.02	61	1.3%	0	0.3	49	INF
17	Jun_1_2016	45.54	46.55	46.71	46.99	46.99	47.17	47.12(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	30	10	30	3.62	62%	0.04	31.5	1.31%	0	1.3	58	INF
18	May_31_2016	45.52	46.49	46.64	46.89	46.95	47.01	47.16(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	10	17	20	11.47	59%	0	1.1	1.32%	0	1.6	47	INF
19	May_27_2016	45.52	46.46	46.6	46.71	46.77	46.82	46.78(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	10	2	11	3.57	59%	0	-31.8	1.35%	0	0.8	56	INF
20	May_26_2016	45.52	46.41	46.53	46.65	46.66	46.89	46.92(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	40	13	11	4.71	59%	0	-73.3	1.36%	0	1.3	57	INF

21	May_25_2016	45.52	46.36	46.51	46.5	46.56	46.72	46.96(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	30	18	12	6.08	59%	-0.04	-78.5	1.36%	0	1.1	59	INF
22	May_24_2016	45.54	46.41	46.45	46.4	46.36	46.44	46.62(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	10	2	7	8.42	59%	-0.02	-69.8	1.37%	0	0.3	59	INF
23	May_23_2016	45.55	46.49	46.45	46.37	46.38	46.4	46.28(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	0	0	15	5.64	56%	0.02	-60.9	1.37%	0	-0.3	53	INF
24	May_20_2016	45.54	46.59	46.5	46.46	46.45	46.28	46.48(0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-30	-2	16	8.1	58%	-0.04	-46	1.39%	0	-0.1	50	INF
25	May_19_2016	45.56	46.7	46.47	46.39	46.49	46.37	46.16(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-7	-10	-13	12	6.09	58%		-37.4	1.4%	0	-0.5	55	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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