Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $46.4800 (0.69%) ($46.2800 - $46.5600) on Fri. May. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.39% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $46.4800(0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(77%)    EWG(76%)    SPY(76%)    IVE(74%)    IWD(74%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-14%)    IPO(-7%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.695% (StdDev 1.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $42.97(-7.55%)
Resistance Level   $46.59
5 Day Moving Average   $46.46(0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.5(-0.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.59(-0.24%)
To recent high   -4.8%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2% (three month std-dev: 1.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160620

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_20_2016	45.54	46.59	46.5	46.46	46.45	46.28	46.48(0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-30	-2	16	8.1	58%	-0.04	-46	1.39%	0	-0.1	50	INF
2	May_19_2016	45.56	46.7	46.47	46.39	46.49	46.37	46.16(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-7	-10	-13	12	6.09	58%	-0.07	-37.4	1.4%	0	-0.5	55	INF
3	May_18_2016	45.59	46.81	46.45	46.51	46.51	46.37	46.48(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	5	20	-1	22	9.11	58%	-0.07	-29	1.39%	0	-0.3	53	INF
4	May_17_2016	45.62	46.9	46.38	46.5	46.51	46.62	46.44(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	10	3	2	6.23	58%	-0.04	-24.3	1.39%	0	-0.4	39	INF
5	May_16_2016	45.64	46.99	46.34	46.66	46.57	46.4	46.76(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-30	-3	-10	5.31	62%	0.02	-11.7	1.39%	0	-0.2	40	INF

6	May_13_2016	45.63	47.02	46.31	46.66	46.68	46.51	46.12(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-20	-9	-35	5.87	61%	-0.04	-5.2	1.45%	0	-0.8	34	INF
7	May_12_2016	45.65	47.08	46.28	46.54	46.71	46.74	46.76(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	20	5	-55	7.5	61%	-0.07	2.7	1.45%	0	-0.3	35	INF
8	May_11_2016	45.68	47.12	46.21	46.38	46.52	46.84	46.4(-1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-10	60	13	-80	8.62	58%	-0.04	13.3	1.45%	0	-0.7	36	INF
9	May_10_2016	45.7	47.17	46.37	46.23	46.34	46.69	47.28(2.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	60	31	-82	9.92	58%	-0.02	22.5	1.46%	0	0.1	40	INF
10	May_9_2016	45.71	47.11	46.44	45.99	46.01	46.2	46.12(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	30	6	-105	10.07	53%	-0.04	25.2	1.45%	0	-0.9	33	INF

11	May_6_2016	45.73	47.08	46.67	46.07	45.97	45.99	46.16(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-19	-0	6	-95	10.47	53%	-0.07	28.2	1.46%	0	-0.8	42	INF
12	May_5_2016	45.76	47.05	46.92	45.98	46.08	45.83	45.92(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-26	-30	-4	-91	9.37	51%	-0.09	26.1	1.47%	0	-0.8	44	INF
13	May_4_2016	45.8	46.98	47.18	46.01	46.05	45.95	45.68(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-10	-31	-95	15.67	51%	-0.07	20.4	1.48%	0	-0.9	39	INF
14	May_3_2016	45.83	46.93	47.46	46.53	46.22	46.32	46.08(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-0	-18	-58	14.89	51%	-0.04	22.1	1.48%	0	-0.5	43	INF
15	May_2_2016	45.85	46.82	47.69	46.98	46.72	46.16	46.52(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-100	-18	-22	8.25	51%	-0.04	20.8	1.48%	0	-0.2	56	INF

16	Apr_29_2016	45.87	46.74	47.8	47.38	47.15	46.11	45.68(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-55	-170	-71	-5	17.21	51%	-0.07	22.8	1.46%	0	-0.6	60	INF
17	Apr_28_2016	45.9	46.7	47.98	48.01	47.8	47.27	46.08(-4.56%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-31	-90	-56	46	25.64	51%	-0.04	31.3	1.49%	0	-0.4	60	INF
18	Apr_27_2016	45.92	46.68	48.15	48.49	48.4	48.19	48.28(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-40	-8	128	10.13	57%	-0.02	39.4	1.37%	0	0.9	83	INF
19	Apr_26_2016	45.93	46.58	48.07	48.53	48.49	48.32	48.32(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	31	-30	-12	159	6.36	59%	-0.02	42.1	1.37%	0	1	80	INF
20	Apr_25_2016	45.94	46.48	47.86	48.5	48.56	48.62	48.52(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	52	10	5	192	6.64	56%	-0.02	45	1.37%	0	1.3	84	INF

21	Apr_22_2016	45.95	46.35	47.53	48.3	48.52	48.67	48.84(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	67	40	25	194	8.8	60%	-0.02	43.4	1.4%	0	1.6	75	INF
22	Apr_21_2016	45.96	46.17	47.18	47.95	48.12	48.51	48.48(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	55	70	16	173	8.79	60%	-0.02	38.4	1.5%	0	1.6	74	INF
23	Apr_20_2016	45.97	46.01	46.75	47.77	47.8	48.38	48.48(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	65	90	32	162	15.17	56%	-0.04	37.7	1.5%	0	1.8	63	INF
24	Apr_19_2016	45.99	45.89	46.33	47.54	47.58	47.74	48.2(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	57	30	32	131	8.25	56%	-0.04	38.5	1.58%	0	1.8	57	INF
25	Apr_18_2016	46.01	45.76	45.87	47.12	47.34	47.23	47.48(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-0	13	83	7.29	56%		31.3	1.58%	0	1.5	53	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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