Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $43.5200 (0.83%) ($43.3600 - $43.7200) on Wed. Feb. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.47% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $43.5200(0.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(77%)    EWG(75%)    SPY(75%)    IVE(74%)    IWD(74%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-14%)    IPO(-5%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.735% (StdDev 1.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $36.96(-15.07%)
Resistance Level   $43.9
5 Day Moving Average   $42.34(2.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.09(1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.9(-0.87%)
To recent high   -13.8%
To recent low   5.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.92% (three month std-dev: 1.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.72%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.35%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.11%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.34%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 7.08%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.61%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160317

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_17_2016	47.66	43.9	43.09	42.34	42.28	43.26	43.52(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	6	160	47	-118	12.14	40%	-0.02	-60.3	1.47%	0	-0.3	42	INF
2	Feb_16_2016	47.67	43.97	43.24	42.22	42	42.15	43.16(3.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	10	27	-133	16	40%	-0.02	-66.2	1.46%	0	-0.6	40	INF
3	Feb_12_2016	47.68	44.05	43.47	42.33	41.94	41.3	41.64(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-75	-130	-48	-155	12.1	35%	-0.08	-68.6	1.37%	0	-1.9	34	INF
4	Feb_11_2016	47.72	44.27	43.91	42.76	42.54	41.85	41.28(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-81	-130	-64	-133	21.4	35%	-0.08	-66.3	1.37%	0	-2.5	26	INF
5	Feb_10_2016	47.76	44.49	44.3	43.42	43.22	42.58	42.12(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-60	-120	-53	-81	22.88	37%	-0.08	-70.7	1.35%	0	-2.3	48	INF

6	Feb_9_2016	47.8	44.68	44.59	43.93	43.75	43.24	42.88(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-47	-90	-49	-39	22.07	39%	-0.06	-77.5	1.35%	0	-2	51	INF
7	Feb_8_2016	47.83	44.85	44.8	44.4	44.22	43.86	43.72(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-31	-70	-38	-11	13.2	40%	-0.06	-77.4	1.33%	0	-1.3	44	INF
8	Feb_5_2016	47.86	44.95	44.87	44.8	44.64	44.26	43.8(-1.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-25	-70	-36	8	14.67	40%	-0.08	-81.1	1.33%	0	-1.4	47	INF
9	Feb_4_2016	47.9	45.1	45.02	45.24	45.05	44.58	44.56(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-11	-90	-25	30	9.88	42%	-0.06	-76.2	1.32%	0	-0.6	43	INF
10	Feb_3_2016	47.93	45.23	44.9	45.31	45.33	45.02	44.68(-1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-13	-50	-22	16	23.34	42%	-0.04	-72.4	1.32%	0	-0.5	47	INF

11	Feb_2_2016	47.95	45.4	44.79	45.34	45.39	45.53	45.24(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2	20	1	5	15.18	42%	-0.04	-61.8	1.31%	0	-0.1	47	INF
12	Feb_1_2016	47.97	45.52	44.76	45.26	45.3	45.63	45.72(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	50	31	2	11.69	42%	-0.02	-62.2	1.31%	0	0.2	47	INF
13	Jan_29_2016	47.98	45.64	44.65	44.95	45.02	45.25	46(2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	10	40	23	-28	18.27	42%	-0.02	-69.6	1.31%	0	0.3	50	INF
14	Jan_28_2016	47.99	45.77	44.62	44.78	44.74	44.97	44.92(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	30	20	-48	9.83	38%	-0.04	-65.1	1.28%	0	-0.6	40	INF
15	Jan_27_2016	48.01	45.97	44.66	44.44	44.7	44.79	44.84(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	30	33	-82	17.28	38%	-0.06	-62	1.29%	0	-0.7	36	INF

16	Jan_26_2016	48.04	46.15	44.75	44.14	44.2	44.51	44.8(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-33	50	1	-135	9.8	38%	-0.06	-62	1.29%	0	-0.8	33	INF
17	Jan_25_2016	48.07	46.33	44.86	44.2	43.88	44.61	44.2(-2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-21	90	20	-144	12.86	36%	-0.04	-61.6	1.27%	0	-1.2	34	INF
18	Jan_22_2016	48.09	46.57	45.02	44.3	44.06	43.89	45.16(4.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-24	-40	23	-165	40.54	38%	-0.04	-62.5	1.26%	0	-0.8	34	INF
19	Jan_21_2016	48.11	46.74	45.16	44.47	44.04	43.16	43.2(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-124	-170	-84	-245	24.18	28%	-0.08	-58.9	1.12%	0	-1.9	20	INF
20	Jan_20_2016	48.15	47.01	45.59	44.92	44.73	44.23	43.36(-3.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-106	-90	-66	-226	23.07	28%	-0.06	-57.5	1.14%	0	-2.1	20	INF

21	Jan_19_2016	48.18	47.27	46.09	45.41	45.38	44.92	45.08(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-73	-70	-29	-203	14.05	33%	-0.1	-56.2	1.04%	0	-1.5	30	INF
22	Jan_15_2016	48.23	47.47	46.35	45.61	45.56	45.24	44.7(-2.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-89	-50	-48	-210	15.14	39%	-0.08	-56.7	1.03%	0	-2	28	INF
23	Jan_14_2016	48.27	47.72	46.73	45.82	45.91	45.83	46(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-58	-10	-13	-193	17.56	44%	-0.06	-54.5	1.02%	0	-1.4	30	INF
24	Jan_13_2016	48.3	47.84	47.01	45.98	46.02	45.89	45.44(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-68	-20	-28	-188	17.05	41%	-0.02	-54.4	1.02%	0	-1.9	31	INF
25	Jan_12_2016	48.31	48	47.39	46.38	46.25	45.98	45.84(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-69	-50	-40	-157	11.02	41%		-56.3	1.02%	0	-1.9	36	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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