Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $48.4000 (0.25%) ($48.2400 - $48.5200) on Fri. Oct. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.55% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $48.4000(0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(77%)    SPY(75%)    EWG(74%)    IVE(74%)    IWD(74%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.775% (StdDev 1.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.98(0.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.91(3.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.67(3.71%)
To recent high   -7.8%
To recent low   8.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.23% (three month std-dev: 1.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.46%(55%) Average negative next day return: -1.16%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.13%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -1.36%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 2.52%(64%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.99%(36%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151109

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_9_2015	49.95	46.67	46.91	47.98	47.99	48.25	48.4(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	40	19	103	4.86	45%	-0.1	34.1	1.55%	0	1.7	61	0
2	Oct_8_2015	50	46.58	46.7	47.62	47.8	48.08	48.28(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	49	50	33	97	10.58	42%	-0.1	24	1.55%	0	1.8	62	0
3	Oct_7_2015	50.05	46.51	46.4	47.18	47.29	47.72	48.12(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	36	70	29	56	10.94	42%	-0.1	11.3	1.63%	0	1.8	50	0
4	Oct_6_2015	50.1	46.44	46.14	46.7	46.76	47.52	47.36(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	39	120	43	27	10.67	42%	-0.12	0	1.62%	0	1.1	47	0
5	Oct_5_2015	50.16	46.41	45.95	46.18	46.28	46.86	47.76(2.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	39	90	53	-4	10.84	42%	-0.08	-25.1	1.62%	0	1.6	51	0

6	Oct_2_2015	50.2	46.32	45.78	45.69	45.56	46	46.6(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-3	60	12	-47	14.27	39%	-0.12	-63.9	1.6%	0	0.4	48	0
7	Oct_1_2015	50.26	46.35	45.71	45.66	45.45	45.7	46.04(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	20	20	-54	10.99	39%	-0.12	-70.9	1.59%	0	-0.4	44	0
8	Sep_30_2015	50.32	46.4	45.84	45.51	45.59	45.12	45.72(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-17	-70	-1	-65	11.9	39%	-0.12	-80.8	1.59%	0	-0.8	42	0
9	Sep_29_2015	50.38	46.44	46.02	45.5	45.51	45.2	44.76(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-47	-50	-37	-77	11.3	35%	-0.16	-83.3	1.57%	0	-2.1	34	0
10	Sep_28_2015	50.46	46.62	46.27	45.67	45.73	46.07	45.32(-2.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-11	60	3	-53	7.82	35%	-0.14	-64.2	1.59%	0	-1.6	37	0

11	Sep_25_2015	50.53	46.81	46.42	45.87	45.71	45.82	46.44(2.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	10	17	-34	11.46	36%	-0.1	-43.3	1.56%	0	-0.4	56	0
12	Sep_24_2015	50.58	46.93	46.47	45.79	45.66	45.39	45.32(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-50	-24	-59	19.51	32%	-0.12	-43.2	1.53%	0	-1.5	35	0
13	Sep_23_2015	50.64	47.08	46.64	46.24	45.91	45.6	45.64(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-34	-70	-31	-43	14.71	34%	-0.12	-45.3	1.53%	0	-1.4	40	0
14	Sep_22_2015	50.7	47.12	46.78	46.63	46.39	45.93	45.64(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-80	-28	-19	11.78	36%	-0.14	-59.8	1.54%	0	-1.5	48	0
15	Sep_21_2015	50.77	47.15	46.94	46.94	46.87	46.23	46.32(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-100	-26	-15	11.61	36%	-0.12	-80.7	1.55%	0	-0.9	38	0

16	Sep_18_2015	50.83	47.22	46.92	47.05	47.04	46.85	46.04(-3.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-31	-30	-29	-36	13.5	36%	-0.1	-97.9	1.54%	0	-1.3	33	0
17	Sep_17_2015	50.88	47.39	47.07	47.23	47.19	47.51	47.56(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	40	17	-22	17.82	38%	-0.1	-98.6	1.5%	0	0.2	40	0
18	Sep_16_2015	50.93	47.53	47.02	47.1	47	47.24	47.6(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	30	19	-35	7.8	38%	-0.12	-82.8	1.5%	0	0.1	47	0
19	Sep_15_2015	50.99	47.7	46.88	46.98	46.86	46.87	47.2(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	-10	3	-48	7.74	38%	-0.12	-72.3	1.5%	0	-0.3	56	0
20	Sep_14_2015	51.05	47.92	46.99	46.94	46.95	46.76	46.84(-0.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-8	-30	1	-33	9.63	38%	-0.14	-65.4	1.49%	0	-0.6	56	0

21	Sep_11_2015	51.12	48.15	47.21	46.77	46.98	46.85	46.96(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-10	-8	-34	14.17	38%	-0.12	-63.1	1.49%	0	-0.6	48	0
22	Sep_10_2015	51.18	48.37	47.4	46.87	46.78	47.13	46.92(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-11	50	-4	-31	16.9	40%	-0.12	-58.8	1.49%	0	-0.7	41	0
23	Sep_9_2015	51.24	48.58	47.52	46.91	46.93	47.11	46.96(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	11	30	27	-37	22.22	39%	-0.12	-58.3	1.51%	0	-0.8	37	0
24	Sep_8_2015	51.3	48.81	47.47	46.78	46.85	46.44	47.04(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	-60	-16	-99	15.63	39%	-0.1	-59	1.51%	0	-0.8	36	0
25	Sep_4_2015	51.35	49.08	47.39	47.06	46.73	46.76	45.96(-3.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-74	-20	-49	-147	26.09	36%		-51.3	1.47%	0	-1.4	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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