Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 24, 2015

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $45.3200 (-0.7%) ($44.6800 - $45.3600) on Thu. Sep. 24, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.53% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $45.3200(-0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(77%)    SPY(75%)    EWG(74%)    IVE(74%)    IWD(74%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.765% (StdDev 1.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $42.15(-6.99%)
Resistance Level   $46.93
5 Day Moving Average   $45.79(-1.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.47(-2.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.93(-3.43%)
To recent high   -13.7%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.22% (three month std-dev: 1.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 1.32%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.73%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.76%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -1.25%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 2.67%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.42%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151024

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_24_2015	50.58	46.93	46.47	45.79	45.66	45.39	45.32(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-50	-24	-59	19.51	32%	-0.12	-43.2	1.53%	0	-1.5	35	0
2	Sep_23_2015	50.64	47.08	46.64	46.24	45.91	45.6	45.64(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-34	-70	-31	-43	14.71	34%	-0.12	-45.3	1.53%	0	-1.4	40	0
3	Sep_22_2015	50.7	47.12	46.78	46.63	46.39	45.93	45.64(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-80	-28	-19	11.78	36%	-0.14	-59.8	1.54%	0	-1.5	48	0
4	Sep_21_2015	50.77	47.15	46.94	46.94	46.87	46.23	46.32(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-100	-26	-15	11.61	36%	-0.12	-80.7	1.55%	0	-0.9	38	0
5	Sep_18_2015	50.83	47.22	46.92	47.05	47.04	46.85	46.04(-3.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-31	-30	-29	-36	13.5	36%	-0.1	-97.9	1.54%	0	-1.3	33	0

6	Sep_17_2015	50.88	47.39	47.07	47.23	47.19	47.51	47.56(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	40	17	-22	17.82	38%	-0.1	-98.6	1.5%	0	0.2	40	0
7	Sep_16_2015	50.93	47.53	47.02	47.1	47	47.24	47.6(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	30	19	-35	7.8	38%	-0.12	-82.8	1.5%	0	0.1	47	0
8	Sep_15_2015	50.99	47.7	46.88	46.98	46.86	46.87	47.2(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	-10	3	-48	7.74	38%	-0.12	-72.3	1.5%	0	-0.3	56	0
9	Sep_14_2015	51.05	47.92	46.99	46.94	46.95	46.76	46.84(-0.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-8	-30	1	-33	9.63	38%	-0.14	-65.4	1.49%	0	-0.6	56	0
10	Sep_11_2015	51.12	48.15	47.21	46.77	46.98	46.85	46.96(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-10	-8	-34	14.17	38%	-0.12	-63.1	1.49%	0	-0.6	48	0

11	Sep_10_2015	51.18	48.37	47.4	46.87	46.78	47.13	46.92(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-11	50	-4	-31	16.9	40%	-0.12	-58.8	1.49%	0	-0.7	41	0
12	Sep_9_2015	51.24	48.58	47.52	46.91	46.93	47.11	46.96(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	11	30	27	-37	22.22	39%	-0.12	-58.3	1.51%	0	-0.8	37	0
13	Sep_8_2015	51.3	48.81	47.47	46.78	46.85	46.44	47.04(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	-60	-16	-99	15.63	39%	-0.1	-59	1.51%	0	-0.8	36	0
14	Sep_4_2015	51.35	49.08	47.39	47.06	46.73	46.76	45.96(-3.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-74	-20	-49	-147	26.09	36%	-0.14	-51.3	1.47%	0	-1.4	30	0
15	Sep_3_2015	51.42	49.37	47.58	47.72	47.37	47.27	47.48(0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-32	-40	2	-132	12.22	39%	-0.08	-45.5	1.42%	0	-0.9	34	0

16	Sep_2_2015	51.46	49.58	47.75	48.02	47.78	46.71	47.12(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-71	-170	-42	-156	15.76	39%	-0.1	-41.6	1.42%	0	-1.2	32	0
17	Sep_1_2015	51.51	49.81	48.1	48.02	48.21	47.47	46.28(-4.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-82	-110	-56	-159	24.01	36%	-0.1	-39.7	1.4%	0	-1.7	31	0
18	Aug_31_2015	51.56	50.09	48.61	48.22	48.54	48.85	48.48(-1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	60	20	-143	13.27	41%	-0.06	-42.3	1.29%	0	-0.8	35	0
19	Aug_28_2015	51.59	50.24	48.91	47.73	48.18	48.95	49.24(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	140	58	-162	12.63	42%	-0.06	-48.7	1.28%	0	-0.5	34	0
20	Aug_27_2015	51.62	50.36	49.12	47.42	47.31	48.24	49(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-24	130	32	-192	42.79	42%	-0.06	-52.3	1.28%	0	-0.7	38	0

21	Aug_26_2015	51.65	50.48	49.37	47.49	47.22	47.42	48.12(3.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-42	10	11	-202	31.47	38%	-0.06	-52.7	1.26%	0	-1.3	34	0
22	Aug_25_2015	51.68	50.65	49.68	48.04	47.71	46.39	46.28(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-125	-210	-88	-237	28.04	31%	-0.1	-48.1	1.16%	0	-2.5	21	0
23	Aug_24_2015	51.73	50.91	50.24	49.07	48.66	47.03	46(-3.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.1	-174	-260	-162	-211	32.7	31%	-0.12	-41.6	1.17%	0	-3.3	22	0
24	Aug_21_2015	51.79	51.18	50.92	50.23	50.1	49.04	47.68(-3.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-113	-160	-109	-125	21.45	34%	-0.06	-36.1	1.09%	0	-3.6	26	0
25	Aug_20_2015	51.82	51.37	51.36	51.03	50.91	50.3	49.36(-2.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-73	-90	-75	-67	17.08	39%		-31	1.01%	0	-3.5	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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