Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $46.9600 (-0.17%) ($46.9200 - $47.8000) on Wed. Sep. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.51% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $46.9600(-0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(77%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(74%)    IVE(74%)    IWD(74%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.755% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.755% (StdDev 1.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $39.82(-15.2%)
Resistance Level   $48.58
5 Day Moving Average   $46.91(0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.52(-1.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.58(-3.33%)
To recent high   -11.1%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 4.24% (three month std-dev: 1.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.71%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.95%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 2.36%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -3.3%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 2.71%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.47%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151009

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_9_2015	51.24	48.58	47.52	46.91	46.93	47.11	46.96(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	11	30	27	-37	22.22	39%	-0.12	-58.3	1.51%	0	-0.8	37	0
2	Sep_8_2015	51.3	48.81	47.47	46.78	46.85	46.44	47.04(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	-60	-16	-99	15.63	39%	-0.1	-59	1.51%	0	-0.8	36	0
3	Sep_4_2015	51.35	49.08	47.39	47.06	46.73	46.76	45.96(-3.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-74	-20	-49	-147	26.09	36%	-0.14	-51.3	1.47%	0	-1.4	30	0
4	Sep_3_2015	51.42	49.37	47.58	47.72	47.37	47.27	47.48(0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-32	-40	2	-132	12.22	39%	-0.08	-45.5	1.42%	0	-0.9	34	0
5	Sep_2_2015	51.46	49.58	47.75	48.02	47.78	46.71	47.12(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-71	-170	-42	-156	15.76	39%	-0.1	-41.6	1.42%	0	-1.2	32	0

6	Sep_1_2015	51.51	49.81	48.1	48.02	48.21	47.47	46.28(-4.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-82	-110	-56	-159	24.01	36%	-0.1	-39.7	1.4%	0	-1.7	31	0
7	Aug_31_2015	51.56	50.09	48.61	48.22	48.54	48.85	48.48(-1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	60	20	-143	13.27	41%	-0.06	-42.3	1.29%	0	-0.8	35	0
8	Aug_28_2015	51.59	50.24	48.91	47.73	48.18	48.95	49.24(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	140	58	-162	12.63	42%	-0.06	-48.7	1.28%	0	-0.5	34	0
9	Aug_27_2015	51.62	50.36	49.12	47.42	47.31	48.24	49(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-24	130	32	-192	42.79	42%	-0.06	-52.3	1.28%	0	-0.7	38	0
10	Aug_26_2015	51.65	50.48	49.37	47.49	47.22	47.42	48.12(3.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-42	10	11	-202	31.47	38%	-0.06	-52.7	1.26%	0	-1.3	34	0

11	Aug_25_2015	51.68	50.65	49.68	48.04	47.71	46.39	46.28(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-125	-210	-88	-237	28.04	31%	-0.1	-48.1	1.16%	0	-2.5	21	0
12	Aug_24_2015	51.73	50.91	50.24	49.07	48.66	47.03	46(-3.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.1	-174	-260	-162	-211	32.7	31%	-0.12	-41.6	1.17%	0	-3.3	22	0
13	Aug_21_2015	51.79	51.18	50.92	50.23	50.1	49.04	47.68(-3.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-113	-160	-109	-125	21.45	34%	-0.06	-36.1	1.09%	0	-3.6	26	0
14	Aug_20_2015	51.82	51.37	51.36	51.03	50.91	50.3	49.36(-2.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-73	-90	-75	-67	17.08	39%	-0.02	-31	1.01%	0	-3.5	32	0
15	Aug_19_2015	51.83	51.49	51.61	51.5	51.39	51.16	50.88(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-25	-40	-28	-17	11.52	44%	0.02	-18.1	0.94%	0	-1.6	47	0

16	Aug_18_2015	51.82	51.52	51.61	51.58	51.53	51.53	51.44(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-0	-3	5	6.29	46%	0	-13.2	0.94%	0	-0.2	54	0
17	Aug_17_2015	51.82	51.52	51.71	51.61	51.44	51.62	51.8(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	2	10	-1	12	7.29	46%	0.02	-10	0.94%	0	0.7	60	0
18	Aug_14_2015	51.81	51.54	51.71	51.75	51.42	51.54	51.68(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-0	8	34	4.49	46%	0.02	8.6	0.94%	0	0.4	62	0
19	Aug_13_2015	51.8	51.54	51.69	51.77	51.62	51.26	51.68(0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-60	-4	39	13.81	46%	0	25	0.94%	0	0.4	59	0
20	Aug_12_2015	51.8	51.55	51.69	51.75	51.68	51.31	51.28(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-29	-50	-45	21	20.67	46%	0	48.6	0.94%	0	-0.7	48	0

21	Aug_11_2015	51.8	51.55	51.66	51.85	51.83	51.99	51.6(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	20	-4	42	8.25	43%	0	87.1	0.94%	0	0.1	51	0
22	Aug_10_2015	51.8	51.57	51.61	51.82	51.88	52.05	52.52(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	40	30	37	49	5.55	46%	0.04	90	0.93%	0	2.6	58	0
23	Aug_7_2015	51.78	51.51	51.44	51.62	51.63	51.67	51.76(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	2	10	0	8	5.51	48%	0.02	77.9	0.96%	0	0.7	45	0
24	Aug_6_2015	51.77	51.45	51.36	51.61	51.57	51.71	51.6(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	6	20	8	1	4.49	48%	0.02	48.4	0.96%	0	0.3	42	0
25	Aug_5_2015	51.76	51.37	51.34	51.55	51.59	51.6	51.76(0.62%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	13	0	18	-3	6.91	45%		21.1	0.96%	0	0.6	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.