Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Sep. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $45.9600 (-3.2%) ($45.7600 - $46.2800) on Fri. Sep. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.47% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $45.9600(-3.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(77%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(74%)    IVE(74%)    IWD(74%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.735% (StdDev 1.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $39(-15.14%)
Resistance Level   $49.08
5 Day Moving Average   $47.06(-2.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.39(-3.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.08(-6.36%)
To recent high   -13%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 4.52% (three month std-dev: 1.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 23 Average positive next day return: 2.88%(61%) Average negative next day return: -1.09%(39%) Sample size 23 Average positive next three day return: 3.33%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -2.97%(43%) Sample size 23 Average positive next weekly return: 3.44%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.36%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151004

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_4_2015	51.35	49.08	47.39	47.06	46.73	46.76	45.96(-3.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-74	-20	-49	-147	26.09	36%	-0.14	-51.3	1.47%	0	-1.4	30	0
2	Sep_3_2015	51.42	49.37	47.58	47.72	47.37	47.27	47.48(0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-32	-40	2	-132	12.22	39%	-0.08	-45.5	1.42%	0	-0.9	34	0
3	Sep_2_2015	51.46	49.58	47.75	48.02	47.78	46.71	47.12(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-71	-170	-42	-156	15.76	39%	-0.1	-41.6	1.42%	0	-1.2	32	0
4	Sep_1_2015	51.51	49.81	48.1	48.02	48.21	47.47	46.28(-4.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-82	-110	-56	-159	24.01	36%	-0.1	-39.7	1.4%	0	-1.7	31	0
5	Aug_31_2015	51.56	50.09	48.61	48.22	48.54	48.85	48.48(-1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	60	20	-143	13.27	41%	-0.06	-42.3	1.29%	0	-0.8	35	0

6	Aug_28_2015	51.59	50.24	48.91	47.73	48.18	48.95	49.24(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	140	58	-162	12.63	42%	-0.06	-48.7	1.28%	0	-0.5	34	0
7	Aug_27_2015	51.62	50.36	49.12	47.42	47.31	48.24	49(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-24	130	32	-192	42.79	42%	-0.06	-52.3	1.28%	0	-0.7	38	0
8	Aug_26_2015	51.65	50.48	49.37	47.49	47.22	47.42	48.12(3.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-42	10	11	-202	31.47	38%	-0.06	-52.7	1.26%	0	-1.3	34	0
9	Aug_25_2015	51.68	50.65	49.68	48.04	47.71	46.39	46.28(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-125	-210	-88	-237	28.04	31%	-0.1	-48.1	1.16%	0	-2.5	21	0
10	Aug_24_2015	51.73	50.91	50.24	49.07	48.66	47.03	46(-3.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.1	-174	-260	-162	-211	32.7	31%	-0.12	-41.6	1.17%	0	-3.3	22	0

11	Aug_21_2015	51.79	51.18	50.92	50.23	50.1	49.04	47.68(-3.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-113	-160	-109	-125	21.45	34%	-0.06	-36.1	1.09%	0	-3.6	26	0
12	Aug_20_2015	51.82	51.37	51.36	51.03	50.91	50.3	49.36(-2.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-73	-90	-75	-67	17.08	39%	-0.02	-31	1.01%	0	-3.5	32	0
13	Aug_19_2015	51.83	51.49	51.61	51.5	51.39	51.16	50.88(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-25	-40	-28	-17	11.52	44%	0.02	-18.1	0.94%	0	-1.6	47	0
14	Aug_18_2015	51.82	51.52	51.61	51.58	51.53	51.53	51.44(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-0	-3	5	6.29	46%	0	-13.2	0.94%	0	-0.2	54	0
15	Aug_17_2015	51.82	51.52	51.71	51.61	51.44	51.62	51.8(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	2	10	-1	12	7.29	46%	0.02	-10	0.94%	0	0.7	60	0

16	Aug_14_2015	51.81	51.54	51.71	51.75	51.42	51.54	51.68(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-0	8	34	4.49	46%	0.02	8.6	0.94%	0	0.4	62	0
17	Aug_13_2015	51.8	51.54	51.69	51.77	51.62	51.26	51.68(0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-60	-4	39	13.81	46%	0	25	0.94%	0	0.4	59	0
18	Aug_12_2015	51.8	51.55	51.69	51.75	51.68	51.31	51.28(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-29	-50	-45	21	20.67	46%	0	48.6	0.94%	0	-0.7	48	0
19	Aug_11_2015	51.8	51.55	51.66	51.85	51.83	51.99	51.6(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	20	-4	42	8.25	43%	0	87.1	0.94%	0	0.1	51	0
20	Aug_10_2015	51.8	51.57	51.61	51.82	51.88	52.05	52.52(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	40	30	37	49	5.55	46%	0.04	90	0.93%	0	2.6	58	0

21	Aug_7_2015	51.78	51.51	51.44	51.62	51.63	51.67	51.76(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	2	10	0	8	5.51	48%	0.02	77.9	0.96%	0	0.7	45	0
22	Aug_6_2015	51.77	51.45	51.36	51.61	51.57	51.71	51.6(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	6	20	8	1	4.49	48%	0.02	48.4	0.96%	0	0.3	42	0
23	Aug_5_2015	51.76	51.37	51.34	51.55	51.59	51.6	51.76(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	13	0	18	-3	6.91	45%	0.02	21.1	0.96%	0	0.6	47	0
24	Aug_4_2015	51.75	51.26	51.31	51.45	51.44	51.43	51.44(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6	-0	-2	-18	6.42	45%	0.02	3.1	0.99%	0	0.3	47	0
25	Aug_3_2015	51.74	51.25	51.34	51.37	51.36	51.58	51.52(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	9	30	17	-16	5.38	45%		2.4	0.99%	0	0.4	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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