Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 28, 2015

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $49.2400 (0.49%) ($48.9400 - $49.3600) on Fri. Aug. 28, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $49.2400(0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(78%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(74%)    IVE(74%)    EEM(73%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-8%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $41.19(-16.35%)
Resistance Level   $50.24
5 Day Moving Average   $47.73(3.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.91(0.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.24(-1.99%)
To recent high   -6.7%
To recent low   7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 3.78% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.94%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.79%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.8%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -3.55%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.82%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.22%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150928

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_28_2015	51.59	50.24	48.91	47.73	48.18	48.95	49.24(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	140	58	-162	12.63	42%	-0.06	-48.7	1.28%	0	-0.5	34	INF
2	Aug_27_2015	51.62	50.36	49.12	47.42	47.31	48.24	49(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-24	130	32	-192	42.79	42%	-0.06	-52.3	1.28%	0	-0.7	38	INF
3	Aug_26_2015	51.65	50.48	49.37	47.49	47.22	47.42	48.12(3.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-42	10	11	-202	31.47	38%	-0.06	-52.7	1.26%	0	-1.3	34	INF
4	Aug_25_2015	51.68	50.65	49.68	48.04	47.71	46.39	46.28(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-125	-210	-88	-237	28.04	31%	-0.1	-48.1	1.16%	0	-2.5	21	INF
5	Aug_24_2015	51.73	50.91	50.24	49.07	48.66	47.03	46(-3.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.1	-174	-260	-162	-211	32.7	31%	-0.12	-41.6	1.17%	0	-3.3	22	INF

6	Aug_21_2015	51.79	51.18	50.92	50.23	50.1	49.04	47.68(-3.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-113	-160	-109	-125	21.45	34%	-0.06	-36.1	1.09%	0	-3.6	26	INF
7	Aug_20_2015	51.82	51.37	51.36	51.03	50.91	50.3	49.36(-2.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-73	-90	-75	-67	17.08	39%	-0.02	-31	1.01%	0	-3.5	32	INF
8	Aug_19_2015	51.83	51.49	51.61	51.5	51.39	51.16	50.88(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-25	-40	-28	-17	11.52	44%	0.02	-18.1	0.94%	0	-1.6	47	INF
9	Aug_18_2015	51.82	51.52	51.61	51.58	51.53	51.53	51.44(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-0	-3	5	6.29	46%	0	-13.2	0.94%	0	-0.2	54	INF
10	Aug_17_2015	51.82	51.52	51.71	51.61	51.44	51.62	51.8(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	2	10	-1	12	7.29	46%	0.02	-10	0.94%	0	0.7	60	INF

11	Aug_14_2015	51.81	51.54	51.71	51.75	51.42	51.54	51.68(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-0	8	34	4.49	46%	0.02	8.6	0.94%	0	0.4	62	INF
12	Aug_13_2015	51.8	51.54	51.69	51.77	51.62	51.26	51.68(0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-60	-4	39	13.81	46%	0	25	0.94%	0	0.4	59	INF
13	Aug_12_2015	51.8	51.55	51.69	51.75	51.68	51.31	51.28(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-29	-50	-45	21	20.67	46%	0	48.6	0.94%	0	-0.7	48	INF
14	Aug_11_2015	51.8	51.55	51.66	51.85	51.83	51.99	51.6(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	20	-4	42	8.25	43%	0	87.1	0.94%	0	0.1	51	INF
15	Aug_10_2015	51.8	51.57	51.61	51.82	51.88	52.05	52.52(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	40	30	37	49	5.55	46%	0.04	90	0.93%	0	2.6	58	INF

16	Aug_7_2015	51.78	51.51	51.44	51.62	51.63	51.67	51.76(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	2	10	0	8	5.51	48%	0.02	77.9	0.96%	0	0.7	45	INF
17	Aug_6_2015	51.77	51.45	51.36	51.61	51.57	51.71	51.6(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	6	20	8	1	4.49	48%	0.02	48.4	0.96%	0	0.3	42	INF
18	Aug_5_2015	51.76	51.37	51.34	51.55	51.59	51.6	51.76(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	13	0	18	-3	6.91	45%	0.02	21.1	0.96%	0	0.6	47	INF
19	Aug_4_2015	51.75	51.26	51.31	51.45	51.44	51.43	51.44(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6	-0	-2	-18	6.42	45%	0.02	3.1	0.99%	0	0.3	47	INF
20	Aug_3_2015	51.74	51.25	51.34	51.37	51.36	51.58	51.52(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	9	30	17	-16	5.38	45%	0.04	2.4	0.99%	0	0.4	47	INF

21	Jul_31_2015	51.72	51.23	51.37	51.22	51.2	51.45	51.72(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	18	30	29	-14	6.18	47%	0.04	-10.9	0.99%	0	0.7	57	INF
22	Jul_30_2015	51.7	51.22	51.38	51.08	51.2	51.14	51.32(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	20	8	-19	5.02	43%	0.06	-20.2	1%	0	0.2	64	INF
23	Jul_29_2015	51.67	51.22	51.43	51.11	50.95	50.96	51.24(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10	3	1	5.64	42%	0.06	-24	1.05%	0	0	72	INF
24	Jul_28_2015	51.64	51.22	51.46	51.17	51.07	50.77	51.04(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-9	-50	-18	20	5.2	42%	0.04	-31.8	1.06%	0	-0.3	76	INF
25	Jul_27_2015	51.62	51.23	51.53	51.31	51.23	50.94	50.8(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-21	-40	-36	26	14.99	42%		-34.9	1.05%	0	-0.7	47	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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