Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 19, 2015

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $48.8800 (0.74%) ($48.7400 - $49.0400) on Thu. Feb. 19, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $48.8800(0.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(78%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(74%)    IVE(74%)    EEM(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-8%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.99(1.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.38(3.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.86(4.31%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.71% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 27 Average positive next day return: 0.96%(52%) Average negative next day return: -0.87%(48%) Sample size 27 Average positive next three day return: 1.97%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -1.05%(48%) Sample size 27 Average positive next weekly return: 2.86%(59%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.67%(41%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150319

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_19_2015	45.93	46.86	47.38	47.99	48.21	48.69	48.88(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	87	80	67	147	12.67	48%	0.04	86.5	0.88%	0	2.5	66	INF
2	Feb_18_2015	45.91	46.7	47.14	47.58	47.74	48.14	48.52(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	70	70	55	115	11.76	51%	0.04	95.1	0.88%	0	2.7	67	INF
3	Feb_17_2015	45.89	46.56	46.91	47.23	47.29	47.73	47.68(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	56	70	46	84	10.7	44%	-0.04	109.3	0.87%	0	2	62	INF
4	Feb_13_2015	45.91	46.44	46.78	46.93	47.02	47.35	47.72(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	55	50	52	63	7.94	44%	0.02	104.3	0.89%	0	2.4	63	INF
5	Feb_12_2015	45.9	46.3	46.6	46.7	46.65	46.85	47.16(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	30	13	31	23.39	41%	0	93.2	0.89%	0	1.6	64	INF

6	Feb_11_2015	45.9	46.18	46.55	46.67	46.57	46.69	46.84(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	10	14	40	6.74	41%	-0.02	83.3	0.88%	0	1.1	59	INF
7	Feb_10_2015	45.91	46.08	46.51	46.62	46.61	46.46	46.76(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-20	5	40	4.36	41%	0	82.5	0.89%	0	1	61	INF
8	Feb_9_2015	45.91	45.96	46.47	46.54	46.61	46.45	46.16(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-7	-20	-21	34	6.51	37%	-0.02	71.1	0.88%	0	0.3	57	INF
9	Feb_6_2015	45.92	45.89	46.5	46.6	46.59	46.76	46.6(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	20	10	66	5.13	36%	-0.02	65.7	0.87%	0	0.9	66	INF
10	Feb_5_2015	45.93	45.81	46.42	46.47	46.53	46.74	47(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	40	27	75	5.78	36%	0	61.6	0.88%	0	1.5	75	INF

11	Feb_4_2015	45.93	45.68	46.32	46.42	46.53	46.41	46.6(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	0	7	84	7.34	32%	0	56.1	0.87%	0	1.2	75	INF
12	Feb_3_2015	45.93	45.54	46.24	46.38	46.35	46.32	46.36(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	20	-10	-2	87	5.71	32%	-0.02	40.6	0.93%	0	1	72	INF
13	Feb_2_2015	45.94	45.45	46.18	46.39	46.35	46.29	46.44(1.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	24	-20	-4	106	5.38	32%	-0.02	32.6	0.94%	0	1.2	76	INF
14	Jan_30_2015	45.95	45.38	46.08	46.38	46.45	46.37	45.96(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10	-11	96	8.03	43%	-0.02	28.7	1.12%	0	0.7	70	INF
15	Jan_29_2015	45.96	45.32	45.99	46.35	46.49	46.61	46.76(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	30	14	109	7.3	46%	-0.02	21.9	1.1%	0	1.7	72	INF

16	Jan_28_2015	45.97	45.24	45.78	46.2	46.33	46.53	46.36(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	40	18	105	13.09	46%	-0.02	14.3	1.1%	0	1.5	74	INF
17	Jan_27_2015	45.98	45.2	45.62	46.09	46.11	46.36	46.44(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	45	40	22	112	4.89	46%	-0.02	9.7	1.1%	0	1.8	80	INF
18	Jan_26_2015	45.99	45.17	45.42	45.94	45.91	46.12	46.36(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	30	23	103	4	46%	-0.02	6.9	1.1%	0	1.8	67	INF
19	Jan_23_2015	46	45.17	45.23	45.74	45.78	45.87	45.84(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	20	20	85	5.51	44%	-0.02	4.2	1.09%	0	1.1	56	INF
20	Jan_22_2015	46.01	45.14	45.14	45.57	45.6	45.7	46(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	20	15	72	5.28	44%	-0.04	6.4	1.1%	0	1.4	58	INF

21	Jan_21_2015	46.03	45.14	44.98	45.3	45.46	45.69	45.8(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	50	25	51	5.69	44%	-0.04	4.3	1.09%	0	1.1	54	INF
22	Jan_20_2015	46.05	45.14	44.78	45.08	45.19	45.51	45.72(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	60	30	17	7.1	48%	-0.04	-1.4	1.09%	0	0.9	47	INF
23	Jan_16_2015	46.07	45.13	44.65	44.81	44.97	45.23	45.36(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	17	50	29	-20	11.41	48%	-0.04	-12.8	1.11%	0	0.3	40	INF
24	Jan_15_2015	46.09	45.11	44.6	44.81	44.74	44.88	44.96(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	30	11	-49	10.2	48%	-0.04	-23.5	1.11%	0	-0.2	40	INF
25	Jan_14_2015	46.11	45.1	44.59	44.64	44.62	44.71	44.64(-0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-13	10	4	-64	7.33	48%		-35.9	1.11%	0	-0.7	36	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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