Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $46.6000 (-0.85%) ($46.4800 - $46.9200) on Fri. Feb. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $46.6000(-0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(78%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(74%)    IVE(74%)    EEM(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-8%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.6(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.5(0.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.89(1.55%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   6.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.43%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.39%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.46%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150306

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_6_2015	45.92	45.89	46.5	46.6	46.59	46.76	46.6(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	20	10	66	5.13	36%	-0.02	65.7	0.87%	0	0.9	66	0
2	Feb_5_2015	45.93	45.81	46.42	46.47	46.53	46.74	47(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	40	27	75	5.78	36%	0	61.6	0.88%	0	1.5	75	0
3	Feb_4_2015	45.93	45.68	46.32	46.42	46.53	46.41	46.6(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	0	7	84	7.34	32%	0	56.1	0.87%	0	1.2	75	0
4	Feb_3_2015	45.93	45.54	46.24	46.38	46.35	46.32	46.36(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	20	-10	-2	87	5.71	32%	-0.02	40.6	0.93%	0	1	72	0
5	Feb_2_2015	45.94	45.45	46.18	46.39	46.35	46.29	46.44(1.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	24	-20	-4	106	5.38	32%	-0.02	32.6	0.94%	0	1.2	76	0

6	Jan_30_2015	45.95	45.38	46.08	46.38	46.45	46.37	45.96(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10	-11	96	8.03	43%	-0.02	28.7	1.12%	0	0.7	70	0
7	Jan_29_2015	45.96	45.32	45.99	46.35	46.49	46.61	46.76(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	30	14	109	7.3	46%	-0.02	21.9	1.1%	0	1.7	72	0
8	Jan_28_2015	45.97	45.24	45.78	46.2	46.33	46.53	46.36(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	40	18	105	13.09	46%	-0.02	14.3	1.1%	0	1.5	74	0
9	Jan_27_2015	45.98	45.2	45.62	46.09	46.11	46.36	46.44(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	45	40	22	112	4.89	46%	-0.02	9.7	1.1%	0	1.8	80	0
10	Jan_26_2015	45.99	45.17	45.42	45.94	45.91	46.12	46.36(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	30	23	103	4	46%	-0.02	6.9	1.1%	0	1.8	67	0

11	Jan_23_2015	46	45.17	45.23	45.74	45.78	45.87	45.84(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	20	20	85	5.51	44%	-0.02	4.2	1.09%	0	1.1	56	0
12	Jan_22_2015	46.01	45.14	45.14	45.57	45.6	45.7	46(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	20	15	72	5.28	44%	-0.04	6.4	1.1%	0	1.4	58	0
13	Jan_21_2015	46.03	45.14	44.98	45.3	45.46	45.69	45.8(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	50	25	51	5.69	44%	-0.04	4.3	1.09%	0	1.1	54	0
14	Jan_20_2015	46.05	45.14	44.78	45.08	45.19	45.51	45.72(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	60	30	17	7.1	48%	-0.04	-1.4	1.09%	0	0.9	47	0
15	Jan_16_2015	46.07	45.13	44.65	44.81	44.97	45.23	45.36(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	17	50	29	-20	11.41	48%	-0.04	-12.8	1.11%	0	0.3	40	0

16	Jan_15_2015	46.09	45.11	44.6	44.81	44.74	44.88	44.96(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	30	11	-49	10.2	48%	-0.04	-23.5	1.11%	0	-0.2	40	0
17	Jan_14_2015	46.11	45.11	44.59	44.64	44.62	44.71	44.64(-0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-13	10	4	-64	7.33	48%	-0.07	-35.9	1.11%	0	-0.7	36	0
18	Jan_13_2015	46.14	45.1	44.64	44.6	44.7	44.61	44.72(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-10	13	-73	8.21	46%	-0.06	-48.4	1.11%	0	-0.6	38	0
19	Jan_12_2015	46.17	45.14	44.74	44.42	44.61	44.54	44.36(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	0	-10	-98	8.8	46%	-0.09	-66.7	1.11%	0	-1.1	33	0
20	Jan_9_2015	46.21	45.22	44.91	44.45	44.52	44.79	44.52(-1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	50	1	-88	10.88	41%	-0.06	-75	1.12%	0	-1	38	0

21	Jan_8_2015	46.24	45.28	45.05	44.56	44.5	44.68	44.98(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	20	17	-65	5	41%	-0.06	-79.7	1.16%	0	-0.4	50	0
22	Jan_7_2015	46.27	45.35	45.14	44.55	44.58	44.25	44.44(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-50	-13	-65	9.58	38%	-0.09	-85.1	1.15%	0	-1.4	51	0
23	Jan_6_2015	46.31	45.44	45.29	44.7	44.74	44.31	43.8(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-52	-60	-50	-58	8.18	36%	-0.09	-80.3	1.14%	0	-2.4	46	0
24	Jan_5_2015	46.35	45.6	45.53	45.1	45.05	44.91	44.52(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-30	-33	-20	8.67	38%	-0.09	-73.6	1.12%	0	-1.8	42	0
25	Jan_2_2015	46.39	45.72	45.67	45.44	45.33	45.18	45.04(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-30	-14	9	7.19	39%		-52.9	1.13%	0	-1.1	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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