Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $46.0000 (0.44%) ($45.4000 - $46.0800) on Thu. Jan. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $46.0000(0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(78%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(74%)    IVE(74%)    EEM(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-8%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.57(0.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.14(1.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.14(1.91%)
To recent high   -5.3%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.4% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2015	46.01	45.14	45.14	45.57	45.6	45.7	46(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	20	15	72	5.28	44%	-0.04	6.4	1.1%	0	1.4	58	INF
2	Jan_21_2015	46.03	45.14	44.98	45.3	45.46	45.69	45.8(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	50	25	51	5.69	44%	-0.04	4.3	1.09%	0	1.1	54	INF
3	Jan_20_2015	46.05	45.14	44.78	45.08	45.19	45.51	45.72(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	60	30	17	7.1	48%	-0.04	-1.4	1.09%	0	0.9	47	INF
4	Jan_16_2015	46.07	45.13	44.65	44.81	44.97	45.23	45.36(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	17	50	29	-20	11.41	48%	-0.04	-12.8	1.11%	0	0.3	40	INF
5	Jan_15_2015	46.09	45.11	44.6	44.81	44.74	44.88	44.96(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	30	11	-49	10.2	48%	-0.04	-23.5	1.11%	0	-0.2	40	INF

6	Jan_14_2015	46.11	45.11	44.59	44.64	44.62	44.71	44.64(-0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-13	10	4	-64	7.33	48%	-0.07	-35.9	1.11%	0	-0.7	36	INF
7	Jan_13_2015	46.14	45.1	44.64	44.6	44.7	44.61	44.72(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-10	13	-73	8.21	46%	-0.06	-48.4	1.11%	0	-0.6	38	INF
8	Jan_12_2015	46.17	45.14	44.74	44.42	44.61	44.54	44.36(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	0	-10	-98	8.8	46%	-0.09	-66.7	1.11%	0	-1.1	33	INF
9	Jan_9_2015	46.21	45.22	44.91	44.45	44.52	44.79	44.52(-1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	50	1	-88	10.88	41%	-0.06	-75	1.12%	0	-1	38	INF
10	Jan_8_2015	46.24	45.28	45.05	44.56	44.5	44.68	44.98(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	20	17	-65	5	41%	-0.06	-79.7	1.16%	0	-0.4	50	INF

11	Jan_7_2015	46.27	45.35	45.14	44.55	44.58	44.25	44.44(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-50	-13	-65	9.58	38%	-0.09	-85.1	1.15%	0	-1.4	51	INF
12	Jan_6_2015	46.31	45.44	45.29	44.7	44.74	44.31	43.8(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-52	-60	-50	-58	8.18	36%	-0.09	-80.3	1.14%	0	-2.4	46	INF
13	Jan_5_2015	46.35	45.6	45.53	45.1	45.05	44.91	44.52(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-30	-33	-20	8.67	38%	-0.09	-73.6	1.12%	0	-1.8	42	INF
14	Jan_2_2015	46.39	45.72	45.67	45.44	45.33	45.18	45.04(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-30	-14	9	7.19	39%	-0.09	-52.9	1.13%	0	-1.1	42	INF
15	Dec_31_2014	46.43	45.82	45.69	45.62	45.58	45.19	44.96(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-17	-60	-25	9	3.98	37%	-0.04	-38.1	1.15%	0	-1.2	43	INF

16	Dec_30_2014	46.45	45.93	45.67	45.82	45.78	45.48	45.2(-1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-24	-50	-32	1	4.15	37%	-0.06	-27	1.16%	0	-1	38	INF
17	Dec_29_2014	46.48	46	45.62	45.97	45.98	45.98	45.76(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	0	-8	2	3.04	39%	-0.02	-21	1.16%	0	-0.3	45	INF
18	Dec_26_2014	46.49	46.04	45.59	46.02	46.03	46.08	46.24(0.7%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	6	10	9	-3	2.15	40%	-0.02	-17	1.15%	0	0.3	41	INF
19	Dec_24_2014	46.5	46.05	45.54	45.94	45.99	45.97	45.92(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	0	0	7	-21	1.29	40%	-0.04	-20.5	1.14%	0	-0.2	38	INF
20	Dec_23_2014	46.52	46.09	45.52	45.77	45.94	45.98	46(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	20	17	-42	5.38	40%	-0.04	-27.6	1.15%	0	-0.1	38	INF

21	Dec_22_2014	46.54	46.12	45.55	45.49	45.68	46	45.92(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	60	23	-64	10.87	40%	-0.04	-35.8	1.15%	0	-0.3	36	INF
22	Dec_19_2014	46.56	46.15	45.57	45.22	45.38	45.9	46.04(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	6	90	35	-83	6.16	40%	-0.04	-49.1	1.15%	0	-0.1	43	INF
23	Dec_18_2014	46.58	46.16	45.65	45.1	45.09	45.37	45.8(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	40	22	-93	7.03	40%	-0.06	-59.4	1.14%	0	-0.5	43	INF
24	Dec_17_2014	46.61	46.21	45.75	45.11	45.07	44.87	45.08(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-33	-30	-9	-104	15.86	36%	-0.06	-59.8	1.13%	0	-1.5	34	INF
25	Dec_16_2014	46.64	46.3	45.94	45.25	45.32	44.81	44.6(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-60	-70	-43	-109	15.18	36%		-57	1.12%	0	-2.3	26	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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