Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 17, 2014

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $45.0800 (1.08%) ($44.7200 - $45.4000) on Wed. Dec. 17, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $45.0800(1.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(78%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(74%)    IVE(74%)    EEM(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-7%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $42.33(-6.1%)
Resistance Level   $46.21
5 Day Moving Average   $45.11(-0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.75(-1.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.21(-2.45%)
To recent high   -7.2%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.64% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.36%(75%) Average negative next day return: 0%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.92%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.07%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.43%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.56%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_17_2014	46.61	46.21	45.75	45.11	45.07	44.87	45.08(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-33	-30	-9	-104	15.86	36%	-0.06	-59.8	1.13%	0	-1.5	34	0
2	Dec_16_2014	46.64	46.3	45.94	45.25	45.32	44.81	44.6(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-60	-70	-43	-109	15.18	36%	-0.09	-57	1.12%	0	-2.3	26	0
3	Dec_15_2014	46.68	46.4	46.2	45.62	45.63	45.27	44.56(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-57	-50	-48	-83	11.09	36%	-0.09	-55	1.12%	0	-3	28	0
4	Dec_12_2014	46.72	46.53	46.43	45.96	45.98	45.84	45.44(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-31	-20	-24	-53	6.13	38%	-0.06	-46.4	1.1%	0	-2.4	37	0
5	Dec_11_2014	46.75	46.62	46.55	46.27	46.16	45.99	45.88(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-30	-22	-29	6.1	38%	-0.06	-23.8	1.09%	0	-1.9	48	0

6	Dec_10_2014	46.78	46.66	46.63	46.49	46.41	46.13	45.76(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-25	-50	-27	-18	16.48	41%	-0.06	-14.7	1.09%	0	-2.6	40	0
7	Dec_9_2014	46.81	46.66	46.74	46.75	46.66	46.34	46.48(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20	-50	-26	-3	7.66	42%	-0.04	1.7	1.09%	0	-0.9	43	0
8	Dec_8_2014	46.83	46.73	46.76	46.87	46.83	46.69	46.24(-1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-14	-20	-22	11	15.22	42%	-0.04	-16.7	1.09%	0	-1.7	51	0
9	Dec_5_2014	46.85	46.74	46.8	46.97	47.01	46.98	47(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-0	6	23	6.46	44%	-0.02	-39.7	1.07%	0	1	48	0
10	Dec_4_2014	46.86	46.71	46.72	46.86	46.95	46.97	46.96(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	3	10	2	6	5.97	44%	-0.04	-43.1	1.07%	0	0.9	47	0

11	Dec_3_2014	46.88	46.71	46.69	46.8	46.85	47.04	47.06(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	30	10	5	6.02	44%	-0.02	-26.7	1.07%	0	1.2	54	0
12	Dec_2_2014	46.89	46.72	46.68	46.74	46.76	46.93	47.1(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	16	30	19	5	5	46%	-0.04	-1.6	1.07%	0	1.3	51	0
13	Dec_1_2014	46.91	46.78	46.6	46.65	46.66	46.65	46.72(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-0	6	-10	12.03	46%	-0.02	24.8	1.08%	0	-0.1	51	0
14	Nov_28_2014	46.92	46.85	46.63	46.61	46.63	46.58	46.48(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4	-10	-3	-8	2.62	46%	-0.06	44.4	1.07%	0	-0.6	54	0
15	Nov_26_2014	46.95	46.83	46.68	46.61	46.67	46.67	46.64(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	10	3	-3	9.57	46%	-0.02	45.3	1.07%	0	-0.3	53	0

16	Nov_25_2014	46.96	46.79	46.69	46.56	46.55	46.67	46.76(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-3	20	-1	-8	4.57	46%	-0.04	48.1	1.07%	0	-0	47	0
17	Nov_24_2014	46.98	46.73	46.69	46.6	46.54	46.68	46.64(0.21%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0	9	20	13	-3	7.6	46%	0	50.3	1.07%	0	-0.1	43	0
18	Nov_21_2014	46.98	46.66	46.7	46.54	46.59	46.43	46.54(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	-20	-0	-34	6.13	45%	-0.04	47.3	1.07%	0	-0.1	32	0
19	Nov_20_2014	47	46.59	46.68	46.65	46.49	46.4	46.2(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-20	-29	-60	5.21	45%	-0.06	53.5	1.07%	0	-0.4	33	0
20	Nov_19_2014	47.03	46.54	46.71	46.65	46.7	46.75	46.68(-0.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-0	5	-31	7.95	45%	-0.04	60.7	1.06%	0	0.1	56	0

21	Nov_18_2014	47.05	46.44	46.75	46.65	46.82	46.58	46.96(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	-40	-2	-19	20.83	45%	-0.04	61.3	1.06%	0	0.5	60	0
22	Nov_17_2014	47.07	46.33	46.77	46.82	46.76	46.65	46.32(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-20	-26	-8	9.95	42%	-0.02	61.4	1.05%	0	-0	59	0
23	Nov_14_2014	47.08	46.25	46.98	46.88	46.91	47.06	47.08(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	28	20	20	53	5.3	45%	-0.02	61.9	1.03%	0	0.7	66	0
24	Nov_13_2014	47.09	46.1	47.09	46.72	46.79	46.86	47.08(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	10	17	78	7.59	46%	-0.02	53.6	1.03%	0	0.7	66	0
25	Nov_12_2014	47.1	45.93	46.99	46.59	46.55	46.77	46.68(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	30	1	77	8.23	46%		45.9	1.03%	0	0.5	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.