Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 16, 2014

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $44.6000 (0.09%) ($44.5600 - $45.1200) on Tue. Dec. 16, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $44.6000(0.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(78%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(74%)    IVE(74%)    EEM(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-7%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $42.62(-4.44%)
Resistance Level   $46.3
5 Day Moving Average   $45.25(-1.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.94(-2.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.3(-3.67%)
To recent high   -8.2%
To recent low   2.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.58% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 0.76%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.01%(63%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 1.39%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -1.58%(75%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 3.95%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.22%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_16_2014	46.64	46.3	45.94	45.25	45.32	44.81	44.6(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-60	-70	-43	-109	15.18	36%	-0.09	-57	1.12%	0	-2.3	26	INF
2	Dec_15_2014	46.68	46.4	46.2	45.62	45.63	45.27	44.56(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-57	-50	-48	-83	11.09	36%	-0.09	-55	1.12%	0	-3	28	INF
3	Dec_12_2014	46.72	46.53	46.43	45.96	45.98	45.84	45.44(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-31	-20	-24	-53	6.13	38%	-0.06	-46.4	1.1%	0	-2.4	37	INF
4	Dec_11_2014	46.75	46.62	46.55	46.27	46.16	45.99	45.88(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-30	-22	-29	6.1	38%	-0.06	-23.8	1.09%	0	-1.9	48	INF
5	Dec_10_2014	46.78	46.66	46.63	46.49	46.41	46.13	45.76(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-25	-50	-27	-18	16.48	41%	-0.06	-14.7	1.09%	0	-2.6	40	INF

6	Dec_9_2014	46.81	46.66	46.74	46.75	46.66	46.34	46.48(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20	-50	-26	-3	7.66	42%	-0.04	1.7	1.09%	0	-0.9	43	INF
7	Dec_8_2014	46.83	46.73	46.76	46.87	46.83	46.69	46.24(-1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-14	-20	-22	11	15.22	42%	-0.04	-16.7	1.09%	0	-1.7	51	INF
8	Dec_5_2014	46.85	46.74	46.8	46.97	47.01	46.98	47(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-0	6	23	6.46	44%	-0.02	-39.7	1.07%	0	1	48	INF
9	Dec_4_2014	46.86	46.71	46.72	46.86	46.95	46.97	46.96(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	3	10	2	6	5.97	44%	-0.04	-43.1	1.07%	0	0.9	47	INF
10	Dec_3_2014	46.88	46.71	46.69	46.8	46.85	47.04	47.06(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	30	10	5	6.02	44%	-0.02	-26.7	1.07%	0	1.2	54	INF

11	Dec_2_2014	46.89	46.72	46.68	46.74	46.76	46.93	47.1(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	16	30	19	5	5	46%	-0.04	-1.6	1.07%	0	1.3	51	INF
12	Dec_1_2014	46.91	46.78	46.6	46.65	46.66	46.65	46.72(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-0	6	-10	12.03	46%	-0.02	24.8	1.08%	0	-0.1	51	INF
13	Nov_28_2014	46.92	46.85	46.63	46.61	46.63	46.58	46.48(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4	-10	-3	-8	2.62	46%	-0.06	44.4	1.07%	0	-0.6	54	INF
14	Nov_26_2014	46.95	46.83	46.68	46.61	46.67	46.67	46.64(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	10	3	-3	9.57	46%	-0.02	45.3	1.07%	0	-0.3	53	INF
15	Nov_25_2014	46.96	46.79	46.69	46.56	46.55	46.67	46.76(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-3	20	-1	-8	4.57	46%	-0.04	48.1	1.07%	0	-0	47	INF

16	Nov_24_2014	46.98	46.73	46.69	46.6	46.54	46.68	46.64(0.21%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0	9	20	13	-3	7.6	46%	0	50.3	1.07%	0	-0.1	43	INF
17	Nov_21_2014	46.98	46.66	46.7	46.54	46.59	46.43	46.54(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	-20	-0	-34	6.13	45%	-0.04	47.3	1.07%	0	-0.1	32	INF
18	Nov_20_2014	47	46.59	46.68	46.65	46.49	46.4	46.2(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-20	-29	-60	5.21	45%	-0.06	53.5	1.07%	0	-0.4	33	INF
19	Nov_19_2014	47.03	46.54	46.71	46.65	46.7	46.75	46.68(-0.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-0	5	-31	7.95	45%	-0.04	60.7	1.06%	0	0.1	56	INF
20	Nov_18_2014	47.05	46.44	46.75	46.65	46.82	46.58	46.96(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	-40	-2	-19	20.83	45%	-0.04	61.3	1.06%	0	0.5	60	INF

21	Nov_17_2014	47.07	46.33	46.77	46.82	46.76	46.65	46.32(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-20	-26	-8	9.95	42%	-0.02	61.4	1.05%	0	-0	59	INF
22	Nov_14_2014	47.08	46.25	46.98	46.88	46.91	47.06	47.08(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	28	20	20	53	5.3	45%	-0.02	61.9	1.03%	0	0.7	66	INF
23	Nov_13_2014	47.09	46.1	47.09	46.72	46.79	46.86	47.08(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	10	17	78	7.59	46%	-0.02	53.6	1.03%	0	0.7	66	INF
24	Nov_12_2014	47.1	45.93	46.99	46.59	46.55	46.77	46.68(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	30	1	77	8.23	46%	-0.04	45.9	1.03%	0	0.5	66	INF
25	Nov_11_2014	47.12	45.78	46.9	46.66	46.51	46.72	46.92(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	20	14	101	6.6	48%		40	1.03%	0	0.8	69	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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