Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 14, 2014

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $47.0800 (0%) ($46.8800 - $47.1200) on Fri. Nov. 14, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.03% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $47.0800(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(78%)    SPY(75%)    EWG(74%)    EEM(72%)    IWM(70%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-7%)    TBT(-7%)    IGOV(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.515% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.88(0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.98(0.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.25(1.79%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   8.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.7% (three month std-dev: 1.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.17%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.59%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.96%(100%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.67%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141214

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_14_2014	47.08	46.25	46.98	46.88	46.91	47.06	47.08(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	28	20	20	53	5.3	45%	-0.02	61.9	1.03%	0	0.7	66	INF
2	Nov_13_2014	47.09	46.1	47.09	46.72	46.79	46.86	47.08(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	10	17	78	7.59	46%	-0.02	53.6	1.03%	0	0.7	66	INF
3	Nov_12_2014	47.1	45.93	46.99	46.59	46.55	46.77	46.68(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	30	1	77	8.23	46%	-0.04	45.9	1.03%	0	0.5	66	INF
4	Nov_11_2014	47.12	45.78	46.9	46.66	46.51	46.72	46.92(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	20	14	101	6.6	48%	-0.02	40	1.03%	0	0.8	69	INF
5	Nov_10_2014	47.13	45.64	46.76	46.74	46.56	46.34	46.64(0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-40	-18	106	5.8	48%	-0.06	35.8	1.03%	0	0.7	68	INF

6	Nov_7_2014	47.16	45.49	46.62	47.12	46.71	46.3	46.28(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-10	-90	-56	127	13.38	48%	-0.04	36.4	1.03%	0	0.5	66	INF
7	Nov_6_2014	47.18	45.39	46.52	47.51	47.29	46.78	46.44(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	28	-90	-25	188	8.25	48%	-0.02	38.9	1.03%	0	0.7	73	INF
8	Nov_5_2014	47.19	45.3	46.38	47.42	47.7	47.13	47.04(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	44	-70	-11	209	7.86	48%	-0.02	35.4	1.02%	0	1.2	79	INF
9	Nov_4_2014	47.2	45.22	46.14	47.13	47.37	47.8	47.28(-2.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	55	80	4	208	16.13	48%	0	29.8	1.03%	0	1.5	79	INF
10	Nov_3_2014	47.2	45.13	45.87	46.74	47	48.28	48.56(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	155	210	123	249	23.77	52%	0.04	18.4	0.98%	0	2.6	89	INF

11	Oct_31_2014	47.18	44.97	45.45	46.06	46.2	46.94	48.24(4.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	138	120	114	209	33.58	50%	0.02	-2.1	0.98%	0	3	90	INF
12	Oct_30_2014	47.17	44.83	44.99	45.42	45.44	45.72	45.96(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	67	40	37	158	4.25	39%	-0.02	-34.3	0.78%	0	1.4	73	INF
13	Oct_29_2014	47.18	44.8	44.75	45.2	45.23	45.47	45.6(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	60	40	39	124	5.35	36%	-0.02	-50.3	0.77%	0	1	58	INF
14	Oct_28_2014	47.19	44.82	44.56	45	45.05	45.16	45.36(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	20	25	66	3.2	36%	-0.04	-55.7	0.77%	0	0.6	41	INF
15	Oct_27_2014	47.21	44.89	44.42	44.84	44.92	45	45.12(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	20	16	22	4.71	36%	-0.04	-53.8	0.77%	0	0.2	43	INF

16	Oct_24_2014	47.23	44.99	44.27	44.74	44.76	44.94	45.04(0.36%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	15	30	26	-18	4.38	36%	-0.06	-49.4	0.77%	0	0	39	INF
17	Oct_23_2014	47.26	45.1	44.17	44.49	44.65	44.83	44.88(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	17	40	45	-67	5.49	36%	-0.04	-51	0.77%	0	-0.2	37	INF
18	Oct_22_2014	47.28	45.22	44.13	44.22	44.33	44.58	44.6(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	50	32	-112	5.36	36%	-0.04	-53.8	0.76%	0	-0.5	41	INF
19	Oct_21_2014	47.3	45.35	44.24	44.05	43.97	44.47	44.56(-0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	70	41	-135	9.52	36%	-0.06	-54.7	0.76%	0	-0.6	35	INF
20	Oct_20_2014	47.33	45.47	44.33	43.93	43.76	44.08	44.64(2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	40	56	-166	4.79	36%	-0.02	-57	0.76%	0	-0.6	31	INF

21	Oct_17_2014	47.34	45.6	44.43	43.74	43.64	43.48	43.76(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-66	-30	-5	-248	8.14	30%	-0.06	-60.4	0.72%	0	-1.3	21	INF
22	Oct_16_2014	47.37	45.77	44.65	43.8	43.73	43.44	43.56(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-111	-50	-51	-290	8.63	30%	-0.04	-61.4	0.72%	0	-1.6	18	INF
23	Oct_15_2014	47.39	45.96	44.84	44.03	44	43.8	43.72(-0.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-119	-30	-57	-303	16.19	30%	-0.04	-62.5	0.72%	0	-1.7	23	INF
24	Oct_14_2014	47.41	46.13	45.11	44.46	44.35	44.02	43.96(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-108	-60	-50	-280	11.52	34%	-0.08	-60.2	0.72%	0	-1.8	23	INF
25	Oct_13_2014	47.45	46.3	45.41	44.79	44.75	44.21	43.68(-0.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-122	-90	-76	-260	10.05	34%		-56.1	0.73%	0	-2.3	24	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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