Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 10, 2014

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $47.6800 (-1.73%) ($47.3600 - $47.8000) on Thu. Jul. 10, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $47.6800(-1.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(77%)    SPY(75%)    EWG(73%)    EEM(71%)    IWM(70%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

Resistance Level   $48.16
5 Day Moving Average   $48.3(-1.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.35(-1.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.16(-1%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   10.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.16% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.09%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.35%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.47%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 4.61%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140810

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_10_2014	45.79	48.16	48.35	48.3	48.17	48	47.68(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-45	-30	-48	-34	12.26	71%	0.04	51.7	0.75%	0	-0.9	37	0
2	Jul_9_2014	45.77	48.13	48.41	48.54	48.44	48.36	48.52(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-3	-20	-7	8	2.87	80%	0.04	57.5	0.81%	0	0.6	59	0
3	Jul_8_2014	45.75	48.04	48.39	48.63	48.54	48.34	48.2(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-30	-16	27	5.25	72%	0.07	57.6	0.82%	0	0.2	64	0
4	Jul_7_2014	45.72	48	48.41	48.62	48.69	48.52	48.36(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-20	-7	43	3.23	72%	0.04	57.6	0.87%	0	0.5	65	0
5	Jul_3_2014	45.7	47.94	48.45	48.54	48.63	48.74	48.72(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	20	6	60	4.49	72%	0.07	60.3	0.87%	0	1.1	70	0

6	Jul_2_2014	45.67	47.87	48.44	48.4	48.44	48.86	48.88(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	60	33	83	6.78	72%	0.07	62.5	0.87%	0	1.5	74	0
7	Jul_1_2014	45.64	47.78	48.34	48.26	48.23	48.52	49(1.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	53	40	41	89	6.71	72%	0.07	69.3	0.88%	0	1.8	77	0
8	Jun_30_2014	45.61	47.67	48.17	48.14	48.03	48.02	48.16(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10	-0	72	3.54	69%	0.07	75	0.85%	0	0.8	73	0
9	Jun_27_2014	45.58	47.6	48.09	48.18	48.1	47.95	47.92(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-30	-17	72	6.76	71%	0.07	81.6	0.85%	0	0.5	62	0
10	Jun_26_2014	45.55	47.53	48.04	48.34	48.21	48.04	48.04(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-30	-25	84	7.47	71%	0.07	91.4	0.87%	0	0.7	63	0

11	Jun_25_2014	45.52	47.44	47.95	48.48	48.39	48.25	48.2(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	-30	-10	102	10.05	71%	0.09	98.2	0.87%	0	1	65	0
12	Jun_24_2014	45.48	47.32	47.83	48.42	48.53	48.38	48.36(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	33	-10	9	104	7.4	71%	0.09	102.3	0.87%	0	1.3	70	0
13	Jun_23_2014	45.44	47.2	47.68	48.19	48.34	48.53	48.36(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	40	10	87	4.58	71%	0.07	106.6	0.87%	0	1.5	73	0
14	Jun_20_2014	45.41	47.06	47.56	47.98	48.09	48.68	48.76(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	67	90	57	96	9.15	67%	0.07	102.9	0.86%	0	2.1	79	0
15	Jun_19_2014	45.38	46.88	47.4	47.7	47.72	48.16	48.72(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	70	70	64	87	10.81	67%	0.04	97.1	0.89%	0	2.3	83	0

16	Jun_18_2014	45.36	46.68	47.23	47.37	47.4	47.5	47.88(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	35	20	26	61	9.33	64%	0.02	84.1	0.87%	0	1.5	79	0
17	Jun_17_2014	45.35	46.5	47.15	47.18	47.28	47.28	47.24(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	10	6	58	6.37	62%	0.02	64	0.85%	0	0.8	80	0
18	Jun_16_2014	45.34	46.37	47.11	47.09	47.19	47.31	47.32(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	22	20	8	64	4.15	62%	0.02	58.4	0.86%	0	1	75	0
19	Jun_13_2014	45.33	46.24	47.06	47.06	47.05	47.28	47.32(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	30	14	82	6.48	54%	0	57	0.88%	0	1.1	78	0
20	Jun_12_2014	45.33	46.1	46.97	47.05	47.05	47.08	47.08(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	34	10	13	97	4.9	54%	-0.02	57	0.9%	0	0.9	80	0

21	Jun_11_2014	45.34	46	46.89	47.08	46.99	46.83	46.92(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-30	-7	113	5.06	54%	-0.04	61.4	0.91%	0	0.9	82	0
22	Jun_10_2014	45.36	45.91	46.78	47.08	47.03	46.9	46.8(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-30	-16	134	3.65	54%	0.04	67	0.92%	0	0.9	85	0
23	Jun_9_2014	45.34	45.8	46.7	47.12	47.1	46.9	47.2(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	10	6	165	4.65	54%	-0.02	67	0.91%	0	1.3	79	0
24	Jun_6_2014	45.35	45.66	46.54	47.06	47.01	47.15	47.24(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	58	20	17	179	5.33	58%	-0.02	65.9	0.92%	0	1.5	80	0
25	Jun_5_2014	45.36	45.51	46.33	46.87	46.92	47.05	47.24(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	62	20	24	174	13.25	55%		60.1	0.95%	0	1.7	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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