Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 30, 2014

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $48.1600 (0.5%) ($48.1200 - $48.2800) on Mon. Jun. 30, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $48.1600(0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(77%)    SPY(75%)    EWG(73%)    EEM(71%)    IWM(70%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.14(0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.17(-0.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.67(1.03%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   11.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.32% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.4%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.36%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -2.28%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 5.17%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.3%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140730

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_30_2014	45.61	47.67	48.17	48.14	48.03	48.02	48.16(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10	-0	72	3.54	69%	0.07	75	0.85%	0	0.8	73	0
2	Jun_27_2014	45.58	47.6	48.09	48.18	48.1	47.95	47.92(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-30	-17	72	6.76	71%	0.07	81.6	0.85%	0	0.5	62	0
3	Jun_26_2014	45.55	47.53	48.04	48.34	48.21	48.04	48.04(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-30	-25	84	7.47	71%	0.07	91.4	0.87%	0	0.7	63	0
4	Jun_25_2014	45.52	47.44	47.95	48.48	48.39	48.25	48.2(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	-30	-10	102	10.05	71%	0.09	98.2	0.87%	0	1	65	0
5	Jun_24_2014	45.48	47.32	47.83	48.42	48.53	48.38	48.36(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	33	-10	9	104	7.4	71%	0.09	102.3	0.87%	0	1.3	70	0

6	Jun_23_2014	45.44	47.2	47.68	48.19	48.34	48.53	48.36(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	40	10	87	4.58	71%	0.07	106.6	0.87%	0	1.5	73	0
7	Jun_20_2014	45.41	47.06	47.56	47.98	48.09	48.68	48.76(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	67	90	57	96	9.15	67%	0.07	102.9	0.86%	0	2.1	79	0
8	Jun_19_2014	45.38	46.88	47.4	47.7	47.72	48.16	48.72(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	70	70	64	87	10.81	67%	0.04	97.1	0.89%	0	2.3	83	0
9	Jun_18_2014	45.36	46.68	47.23	47.37	47.4	47.5	47.88(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	35	20	26	61	9.33	64%	0.02	84.1	0.87%	0	1.5	79	0
10	Jun_17_2014	45.35	46.5	47.15	47.18	47.28	47.28	47.24(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	10	6	58	6.37	62%	0.02	64	0.85%	0	0.8	80	0

11	Jun_16_2014	45.34	46.37	47.11	47.09	47.19	47.31	47.32(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	22	20	8	64	4.15	62%	0.02	58.4	0.86%	0	1	75	0
12	Jun_13_2014	45.33	46.24	47.06	47.06	47.05	47.28	47.32(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	30	14	82	6.48	54%	0	57	0.88%	0	1.1	78	0
13	Jun_12_2014	45.33	46.1	46.97	47.05	47.05	47.08	47.08(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	34	10	13	97	4.9	54%	-0.02	57	0.9%	0	0.9	80	0
14	Jun_11_2014	45.34	46	46.89	47.08	46.99	46.83	46.92(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-30	-7	113	5.06	54%	-0.04	61.4	0.91%	0	0.9	82	0
15	Jun_10_2014	45.36	45.91	46.78	47.08	47.03	46.9	46.8(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-30	-16	134	3.65	54%	0.04	67	0.92%	0	0.9	85	0

16	Jun_9_2014	45.34	45.8	46.7	47.12	47.1	46.9	47.2(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	10	6	165	4.65	54%	-0.02	67	0.91%	0	1.3	79	0
17	Jun_6_2014	45.35	45.66	46.54	47.06	47.01	47.15	47.24(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	58	20	17	179	5.33	58%	-0.02	65.9	0.92%	0	1.5	80	0
18	Jun_5_2014	45.36	45.51	46.33	46.87	46.92	47.05	47.24(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	62	20	24	174	13.25	55%	-0.02	60.1	0.95%	0	1.7	80	0
19	Jun_4_2014	45.37	45.36	46.08	46.67	46.73	46.88	47.12(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	57	30	24	157	5.63	59%	-0.02	59.6	0.96%	0	1.9	71	0
20	Jun_3_2014	45.38	45.23	45.79	46.39	46.51	46.8	46.8(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	50	26	121	3.28	55%	-0.02	57	1.01%	0	1.9	65	0

21	Jun_2_2014	45.39	45.11	45.58	46.22	46.25	46.58	46.88(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	55	50	36	112	10.24	55%	-0.04	59.5	1.05%	0	2.3	71	0
22	May_30_2014	45.41	45	45.34	45.95	45.99	46.22	46.32(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	40	30	93	3.6	53%	-0.02	65.7	1.05%	0	2.1	68	0
23	May_29_2014	45.42	44.92	45.16	45.71	45.77	45.93	46.24(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	41	30	28	80	4.62	53%	-0.04	68	1.05%	0	2.4	71	0
24	May_28_2014	45.44	44.82	45.02	45.4	45.51	45.77	45.72(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	50	29	67	3.94	51%	-0.07	59	1.05%	0	1.9	65	0
25	May_27_2014	45.47	44.75	44.95	45.09	45.22	45.61	45.92(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	44	70	39	57	9.16	51%		45.8	1.05%	0	2.7	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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