Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 11, 2014

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $46.9200 (0.26%) ($46.8400 - $47.0400) on Wed. Jun. 11, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $46.9200(0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(77%)    SPY(75%)    EWG(73%)    EEM(71%)    IWM(70%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.08(-0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.89(0.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46(2%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   8.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.28% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.68%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.87%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 0.54%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -0.79%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 1.95%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.26%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140711

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_11_2014	45.34	46	46.89	47.08	46.99	46.83	46.92(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-30	-7	113	5.06	54%	-0.04	61.4	0.91%	0	0.9	82	INF
2	Jun_10_2014	45.36	45.91	46.78	47.08	47.03	46.9	46.8(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-30	-16	134	3.65	54%	0.04	67	0.92%	0	0.9	85	INF
3	Jun_9_2014	45.34	45.8	46.7	47.12	47.1	46.9	47.2(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	10	6	165	4.65	54%	-0.02	67	0.91%	0	1.3	79	INF
4	Jun_6_2014	45.35	45.66	46.54	47.06	47.01	47.15	47.24(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	58	20	17	179	5.33	58%	-0.02	65.9	0.92%	0	1.5	80	INF
5	Jun_5_2014	45.36	45.51	46.33	46.87	46.92	47.05	47.24(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	62	20	24	174	13.25	55%	-0.02	60.1	0.95%	0	1.7	80	INF

6	Jun_4_2014	45.37	45.36	46.08	46.67	46.73	46.88	47.12(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	57	30	24	157	5.63	59%	-0.02	59.6	0.96%	0	1.9	71	INF
7	Jun_3_2014	45.38	45.23	45.79	46.39	46.51	46.8	46.8(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	50	26	121	3.28	55%	-0.02	57	1.01%	0	1.9	65	INF
8	Jun_2_2014	45.39	45.11	45.58	46.22	46.25	46.58	46.88(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	55	50	36	112	10.24	55%	-0.04	59.5	1.05%	0	2.3	71	INF
9	May_30_2014	45.41	45	45.34	45.95	45.99	46.22	46.32(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	40	30	93	3.6	53%	-0.02	65.7	1.05%	0	2.1	68	INF
10	May_29_2014	45.42	44.92	45.16	45.71	45.77	45.93	46.24(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	41	30	28	80	4.62	53%	-0.04	68	1.05%	0	2.4	71	INF

11	May_28_2014	45.44	44.82	45.02	45.4	45.51	45.77	45.72(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	50	29	67	3.94	51%	-0.07	59	1.05%	0	1.9	65	INF
12	May_27_2014	45.47	44.75	44.95	45.09	45.22	45.61	45.92(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	44	70	39	57	9.16	51%	-0.11	45.8	1.05%	0	2.7	64	INF
13	May_23_2014	45.52	44.67	44.81	44.84	44.83	45.25	45.56(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	37	60	36	38	7.07	53%	-0.04	30.9	1.03%	0	2.5	59	INF
14	May_22_2014	45.54	44.59	44.71	44.65	44.58	44.84	45.12(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	27	40	29	19	8.81	53%	0	9.2	1.04%	0	1.8	53	INF
15	May_21_2014	45.54	44.55	44.62	44.53	44.46	44.41	44.68(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	-10	1	-8	4.93	53%	-0.09	-6.6	1.04%	0	0.5	47	INF

16	May_20_2014	45.58	44.54	44.59	44.58	44.49	44.33	44.16(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-22	-30	-24	-14	5.12	51%	-0.11	13.1	1.03%	0	-1.4	50	INF
17	May_19_2014	45.63	44.54	44.59	44.79	44.69	44.52	44.68(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-30	-11	8	9.7	51%	-0.07	46.6	1.02%	0	0.5	54	INF
18	May_16_2014	45.66	44.56	44.63	44.78	44.85	44.65	44.6(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-30	-9	11	4.61	54%	-0.07	70.7	1.06%	0	0.2	55	INF
19	May_15_2014	45.69	44.56	44.65	44.77	44.83	44.87	44.52(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	10	-4	21	12.89	54%	-0.04	94.8	1.07%	0	-0.2	58	INF
20	May_14_2014	45.71	44.57	44.68	44.7	44.78	45.06	44.96(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	26	50	23	34	5.12	54%	-0.04	87.9	1.07%	0	1.5	59	INF

21	May_13_2014	45.73	44.51	44.62	44.58	44.58	44.8	45.2(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	24	30	24	24	7.37	54%	-0.04	62.7	1.07%	0	2.3	59	INF
22	May_12_2014	45.75	44.44	44.54	44.46	44.37	44.51	44.6(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	20	6	9	4.26	52%	-0.07	35.4	1.06%	0	0.6	54	INF
23	May_9_2014	45.78	44.38	44.51	44.47	44.38	44.36	44.56(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10	2	4	3.95	54%	-0.07	2.2	1.06%	0	0.4	46	NAN
24	May_8_2014	45.81	44.32	44.47	44.52	44.42	44.24	44.2(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-40	-19	-8	4.33	54%	-0.07	-17.6	1.07%	0	-0.3	40	NAN
25	May_7_2014	45.84	44.34	44.49	44.66	44.59	44.41	44.36(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-9	-30	-12	1	7.61	57%		-21.8	1.07%	0	0	46	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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