Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 2, 2014

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $46.8800 (1.21%) ($46.6400 - $47.0000) on Mon. Jun. 2, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.05% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $46.8800(1.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(77%)    SPY(75%)    EWG(73%)    EEM(71%)    IWM(70%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-7%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.525% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.22(1.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.58(2.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.11(3.92%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.68% (three month std-dev: 1.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 0.57%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.33%(50%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 0.98%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -2.14%(45%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 1.05%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.74%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140702

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_2_2014	45.39	45.11	45.58	46.22	46.25	46.58	46.88(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	55	50	36	112	10.24	55%	-0.04	59.5	1.05%	0	2.3	71	INF
2	May_30_2014	45.41	45	45.34	45.95	45.99	46.22	46.32(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	40	30	93	3.6	53%	-0.02	65.7	1.05%	0	2.1	68	INF
3	May_29_2014	45.42	44.92	45.16	45.71	45.77	45.93	46.24(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	41	30	28	80	4.62	53%	-0.04	68	1.05%	0	2.4	71	INF
4	May_28_2014	45.44	44.82	45.02	45.4	45.51	45.77	45.72(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	50	29	67	3.94	51%	-0.07	59	1.05%	0	1.9	65	INF
5	May_27_2014	45.47	44.75	44.95	45.09	45.22	45.61	45.92(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	44	70	39	57	9.16	51%	-0.11	45.8	1.05%	0	2.7	64	INF

6	May_23_2014	45.52	44.67	44.81	44.84	44.83	45.25	45.56(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	37	60	36	38	7.07	53%	-0.04	30.9	1.03%	0	2.5	59	INF
7	May_22_2014	45.54	44.59	44.71	44.65	44.58	44.84	45.12(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	27	40	29	19	8.81	53%	0	9.2	1.04%	0	1.8	53	INF
8	May_21_2014	45.54	44.55	44.62	44.53	44.46	44.41	44.68(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	-10	1	-8	4.93	53%	-0.09	-6.6	1.04%	0	0.5	47	INF
9	May_20_2014	45.58	44.54	44.59	44.58	44.49	44.33	44.16(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-22	-30	-24	-14	5.12	51%	-0.11	13.1	1.03%	0	-1.4	50	INF
10	May_19_2014	45.63	44.54	44.59	44.79	44.69	44.52	44.68(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-30	-11	8	9.7	51%	-0.07	46.6	1.02%	0	0.5	54	INF

11	May_16_2014	45.66	44.56	44.63	44.78	44.85	44.65	44.6(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-30	-9	11	4.61	54%	-0.07	70.7	1.06%	0	0.2	55	INF
12	May_15_2014	45.69	44.56	44.65	44.77	44.83	44.87	44.52(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	10	-4	21	12.89	54%	-0.04	94.8	1.07%	0	-0.2	58	INF
13	May_14_2014	45.71	44.57	44.68	44.7	44.78	45.06	44.96(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	26	50	23	34	5.12	54%	-0.04	87.9	1.07%	0	1.5	59	INF
14	May_13_2014	45.73	44.51	44.62	44.58	44.58	44.8	45.2(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	24	30	24	24	7.37	54%	-0.04	62.7	1.07%	0	2.3	59	INF
15	May_12_2014	45.75	44.44	44.54	44.46	44.37	44.51	44.6(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	20	6	9	4.26	52%	-0.07	35.4	1.06%	0	0.6	54	INF

16	May_9_2014	45.78	44.38	44.51	44.47	44.38	44.36	44.56(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10	2	4	3.95	54%	-0.07	2.2	1.06%	0	0.4	46	NAN
17	May_8_2014	45.81	44.32	44.47	44.52	44.42	44.24	44.2(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-40	-19	-8	4.33	54%	-0.07	-17.6	1.07%	0	-0.3	40	NAN
18	May_7_2014	45.84	44.34	44.49	44.66	44.59	44.41	44.36(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-9	-30	-12	1	7.61	57%	-0.07	-21.8	1.07%	0	0	46	NAN
19	May_6_2014	45.87	44.32	44.5	44.65	44.73	44.59	44.56(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-20	-5	12	3.7	58%	-0.04	-35.6	1.09%	0	0.5	64	NAN
20	May_5_2014	45.89	44.34	44.5	44.62	44.65	44.77	44.68(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	20	-0	19	2.41	58%	-0.07	-38.9	1.1%	0	0.7	65	NAN

21	May_2_2014	45.92	44.37	44.49	44.55	44.6	44.87	44.8(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	50	26	42	10	55%	-0.07	-39.5	1.11%	0	0.8	74	NAN
22	May_1_2014	45.95	44.4	44.47	44.41	44.43	44.53	44.88(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	20	18	44	7.88	55%	-0.04	-36.8	1.12%	0	0.8	71	NAN
23	Apr_30_2014	45.97	44.44	44.44	44.3	44.27	44.53	44.32(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	6	10	-2	28	16.74	49%	-0.09	-26.2	1.16%	0	-0.2	46	NAN
24	Apr_29_2014	46.01	44.49	44.39	44.3	44.29	44.33	44.44(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	0	4	32	4.5	49%	-0.07	-13.5	1.16%	0	-0.1	54	NAN
25	Apr_28_2014	46.04	44.53	44.33	44.34	44.31	44.22	44.32(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	0	-20	-5	16	4.82	51%		-3.8	1.16%	0	-0.3	44	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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