Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 10, 2014

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $43.3600 (-2.87%) ($43.3200 - $44.0400) on Thu. Apr. 10, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $43.3600(-2.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(77%)    SPY(75%)    EWG(73%)    EEM(71%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GDXJ(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

Resistance Level   $44.59
5 Day Moving Average   $44.47(-2.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.95(-3.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.59(-2.76%)
To recent high   -10.4%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.59% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.4%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.26%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 0.97%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.18%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 2.34%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.69%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140510

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_10_2014	46.48	44.59	44.95	44.47	44.31	44.04	43.36(-2.87%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.6	-28	-50	-37	1	9.68	40%	-0.13	-42.8	1.17%	0	-1.7	53	NAN
2	Apr_9_2014	46.54	44.66	45.12	44.92	44.78	44.23	44.64(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-13	-100	-33	46	11.66	43%	-0.09	-41.4	1.12%	0	-0	62	NAN
3	Apr_8_2014	46.58	44.7	45.09	45.16	45.1	44.57	44(-2.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-30	-90	-58	54	16.56	41%	-0.11	-33.7	1.1%	0	-1	48	NAN
4	Apr_7_2014	46.63	44.79	45.11	45.45	45.5	45.34	44.96(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-20	-19	86	10.9	44%	-0.09	-25	1.07%	0	0.2	54	NAN
5	Apr_4_2014	46.67	44.85	44.99	45.52	45.58	45.63	45.4(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	10	0	91	8.13	44%	-0.06	-15.5	1.06%	0	0.6	58	NAN

6	Apr_3_2014	46.7	44.89	44.81	45.5	45.54	45.67	45.6(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	20	15	90	3.15	44%	-0.04	-14	1.07%	0	0.7	66	NAN
7	Apr_2_2014	46.72	44.89	44.63	45.35	45.45	45.53	45.84(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	20	26	74	6.68	42%	-0.04	-15.3	1.07%	0	0.9	60	NAN
8	Apr_1_2014	46.74	44.94	44.47	45.02	45.21	45.41	45.44(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	40	21	37	5.62	42%	-0.02	-24.9	1.08%	0	0.5	47	NAN
9	Mar_31_2014	46.75	44.94	44.37	44.71	44.96	45.38	45.32(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	33	80	41	9	17.56	42%	-0.04	-32.9	1.09%	0	0.3	41	NAN
10	Mar_28_2014	46.77	44.98	44.28	44.38	44.59	45.01	45.32(1.07%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	28	80	47	-31	8.66	43%	-0.02	-45.9	1.09%	0	0.3	37	NAN

11	Mar_27_2014	46.78	45.03	44.16	44.02	44.22	44.54	44.84(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	60	33	-89	17.66	43%	-0.04	-52.5	1.08%	0	-0.2	31	NAN
12	Mar_26_2014	46.8	45.09	44.13	43.8	43.98	44.17	44.2(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	40	17	-138	9.99	43%	-0.06	-55.7	1.07%	0	-0.8	22	NAN
13	Mar_25_2014	46.83	45.19	44.24	43.83	43.79	43.9	43.88(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-41	10	-4	-151	9.54	43%	-0.09	-54.3	1.09%	0	-1.2	32	NAN
14	Mar_24_2014	46.87	45.32	44.43	43.98	43.9	43.79	43.68(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-20	-8	-152	18.76	42%	-0.06	-52.9	1.09%	0	-1.5	27	NAN
15	Mar_21_2014	46.9	45.47	44.69	44.17	44.08	43.69	43.52(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-54	-70	-26	-137	20.77	43%	-0.09	-46.9	1.1%	0	-1.9	39	NAN

16	Mar_20_2014	46.94	45.6	44.99	44.3	44.28	44.02	43.72(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-56	-40	-31	-131	17.97	43%	-0.11	-47.5	1.11%	0	-2.1	34	NAN
17	Mar_19_2014	46.99	45.71	45.3	44.49	44.4	44.47	44.36(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	0	-16	-108	9.1	45%	-0.06	-50.9	1.1%	0	-1.7	39	NAN
18	Mar_18_2014	47.02	45.8	45.47	44.7	44.55	44.54	44.6(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-10	-7	-94	7.62	47%	-0.06	-48.2	1.1%	0	-1.6	40	NAN
19	Mar_17_2014	47.05	45.9	45.66	44.96	44.74	44.34	44.64(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-80	-33	-87	9.72	47%	-0.06	-35.5	1.11%	0	-1.8	39	NAN
20	Mar_14_2014	47.08	45.95	45.75	45.3	45.11	44.56	44.16(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-69	-100	-61	-91	13.82	47%	-0.08	-25.7	1.1%	0	-2.7	34	NAN

21	Mar_13_2014	47.12	46.04	45.99	45.78	45.65	45.15	44.68(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-52	-90	-52	-52	17.47	48%	-0.06	-1.8	1.1%	0	-2.6	42	NAN
22	Mar_12_2014	47.15	46.12	46.16	46.22	46.05	45.67	45.44(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-31	-70	-37	-13	12.97	51%	-0.08	46.1	1.08%	0	-1.7	50	NAN
23	Mar_11_2014	47.19	46.16	46.24	46.34	46.42	46.15	45.88(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-12	-40	-18	5	7.8	51%	-0.04	79.3	1.08%	0	-0.7	51	NAN
24	Mar_10_2014	47.21	46.15	46.3	46.46	46.43	46.43	46.36(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-0	-5	18	5.66	51%	-0.04	97.7	1.07%	0	0.5	49	NAN
25	Mar_7_2014	47.23	46.12	46.31	46.26	46.47	46.68	46.56(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	50	21	27	8.13	51%		89.7	1.06%	0	1.1	58	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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