Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 26, 2014

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $46.2000 (-0.43%) ($46.0800 - $46.5200) on Wed. Feb. 26, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.95% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $46.2000(-0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(74%)    EWG(73%)    EEM(71%)    IWM(69%)    EWI(68%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GDXJ(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.18(0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.08(0.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.77(0.94%)
To recent high   -4.9%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.49% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140326

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_26_2014	47.34	45.77		46.18	46.36	46.38	46.2(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	10	2	51	8.06	51%	0.02	-24.8	0.95%	0	0.6	66	0
2	Feb_25_2014	47.33	45.78	46.08	46.13	46.18	46.49	46.4(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	50	9	74	11.6	51%	0	-37.9	0.95%	0	0.9	69	0
3	Feb_24_2014	47.33	45.78	46	46.15	46.1	46.35	46.56(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	53	30	36	103	6.66	51%	0	-51	0.95%	0	1.2	70	0
4	Feb_21_2014	47.33	45.76	45.91	45.94	46.06	45.88	46.04(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-20	11	85	10.45	49%	-0.02	-68	0.94%	0	0.4	56	0
5	Feb_20_2014	47.34	45.82	45.82	45.88	45.85	45.85	45.68(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-0	-24	49	7.83	49%	-0.04	-67.4	0.93%	0	-0.2	43	0

6	Feb_19_2014	47.36	45.94	45.72	45.97	45.82	46.24	45.96(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	26	50	18	49	7.05	49%	-0.02	-51.2	0.93%	0	0	45	0
7	Feb_18_2014	47.37	46.04	45.57	46.02	45.81	45.86	46.52(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10	38	35	19.1	51%	-0.04	-43.5	0.92%	0	0.4	48	0
8	Feb_14_2014	47.39	46.11	45.36	45.82	45.71	45.4	45.52(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-50	-25	-28	8.11	50%	-0.06	-45.3	0.89%	0	-0.5	44	0
9	Feb_13_2014	47.42	46.23	45.34	45.87	45.77	45.77	45.72(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10	-9	-37	14.72	50%	-0.04	-42.5	0.89%	0	-0.4	41	0
10	Feb_12_2014	47.44	46.35	45.4	45.74	45.81	46.02	46.12(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	20	40	40	-41	7.6	52%	-0.04	-43.6	0.89%	0	-0.2	37	0

11	Feb_11_2014	47.46	46.44	45.42	45.42	45.49	45.78	46.2(1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	50	40	-91	17.07	52%	-0.04	-49.8	0.91%	0	-0.2	32	0
12	Feb_10_2014	47.48	46.52	45.43	45.06	45.12	45.6	45.56(-0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	80	46	-144	9.12	50%	-0.04	-55.8	0.89%	0	-0.7	28	0
13	Feb_7_2014	47.5	46.65	45.48	44.83	44.76	45.21	45.76(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-15	70	44	-193	7.26	46%	-0.04	-58.7	0.89%	0	-0.6	30	0
14	Feb_6_2014	47.52	46.77	45.56	44.74	44.53	44.64	45.04(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-60	0	-1	-236	11.11	46%	-0.06	-60.1	0.9%	0	-1.2	24	0
15	Feb_5_2014	47.55	46.93	45.79	45.04	44.67	44.31	44.52(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-92	-80	-42	-243	10.61	43%	-0.06	-57.5	0.9%	0	-1.8	17	0

16	Feb_4_2014	47.58	47.11	46.17	45.44	45.17	44.41	44.44(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-108	-140	-71	-220	12.68	43%	-0.04	-55.6	0.91%	0	-2.1	22	0
17	Feb_3_2014	47.6	47.3	46.55	45.85	45.72	45.02	44.4(-2.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-108	-120	-80	-191	12.82	43%	-0.04	-55.4	0.91%	0	-2.6	21	0
18	Jan_31_2014	47.62	47.49	46.95	46.2	46.14	45.92	45.32(-2.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-77	-40	-49	-161	12.03	47%	-0.02	-58.4	0.88%	0	-2.5	23	0
19	Jan_30_2014	47.63	47.63	47.23	46.48	46.36	46.41	46.54(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	-0	-9	-133	7.68	53%	0	-57	0.82%	0	-1.5	35	0
20	Jan_29_2014	47.63	47.73	47.4	46.66	46.45	46.35	46.48(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-53	-30	-28	-127	15.43	53%	-0.02	-46.9	0.82%	0	-1.8	32	0

21	Jan_28_2014	47.64	47.83	47.55	47.04	46.76	46.3	46.52(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-65	-90	-51	-107	10.75	53%	0	-25.7	0.83%	0	-2	34	0
22	Jan_27_2014	47.64	47.91	47.71	47.39	47.25	46.55	46.12(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-83	-110	-81	-90	11.97	51%	0.02	-5	0.82%	0	-3.1	32	0
23	Jan_24_2014	47.63	48.01	47.94	47.81	47.75	47.22	46.72(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-65	-80	-71	-48	13.09	50%	0.04	25.3	0.82%	0	-3.2	35	0
24	Jan_23_2014	47.61	48.04	48.08	48.08	48.1	47.95	47.44(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-27	-20	-33	-7	10.14	49%	0.04	72.2	0.81%	0	-2.3	48	0
25	Jan_22_2014	47.59	48.06	48.16	48.24	48.21	48.28	48.4(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	10	9	18	8.61	55%		121.7	0.81%	0	1.5	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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