Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 18, 2013

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $48.2400 (3.08%) ($46.8400 - $48.2800) on Wed. Sep. 18, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.45% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $48.2400(3.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(74%)    EWG(72%)    EEM(70%)    EWI(68%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.725% (StdDev 1.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.92(2.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.52(3.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.56(5.88%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.63% (three month std-dev: 1.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.31%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.26%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.59%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -5.58%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.78%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.93%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131018

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_18_2013	45.81	45.56	46.52	46.92	46.87	47.09	48.24(3.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	51	30	27	124	11.05	57%	0.02	36.5	1.45%	0	2.2	74	NAN
2	Sep_17_2013	45.8	45.38	46.21	46.92	46.53	46.8	46.8(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	40	7	111	11.71	57%	0.02	27.1	1.42%	0	1.4	70	NAN
3	Sep_16_2013	45.79	45.29	45.99	46.57	46.46	46.65	47(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	20	18	115	7.47	57%	0.02	26.4	1.45%	0	1.8	66	NAN
4	Sep_13_2013	45.78	45.2	45.65	46.46	46.38	46.65	46.4(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	-20	7	89	6.54	55%	0	22.6	1.5%	0	1.4	57	NAN
5	Sep_12_2013	45.78	45.14	45.45	46.23	46.36	46.26	46.16(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10	3	76	8.32	55%	0	13.6	1.52%	0	1.2	61	NAN

6	Sep_11_2013	45.78	45.12	45.27	46.02	46.09	46.51	46.48(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	70	15	74	3.67	53%	0.02	6.5	1.52%	0	1.6	65	NAN
7	Sep_10_2013	45.77	45.1	45.05	45.78	45.78	46.45	46.8(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	52	100	46	70	6.95	53%	0.02	-6.1	1.54%	0	2.1	61	NAN
8	Sep_9_2013	45.76	45.04	44.82	45.33	45.38	45.68	46.44(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	43	50	43	43	8.65	53%	0.02	-30.2	1.54%	0	1.9	56	NAN
9	Sep_6_2013	45.75	45	44.68	44.74	44.99	45.12	45.28(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	40	14	3	5.26	54%	0.02	-62.1	1.59%	0	0.4	48	NAN
10	Sep_5_2013	45.74	45.03	44.6	44.55	44.59	45.08	45.12(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	80	14	-13	5.24	50%	0	-68.1	1.59%	0	0.1	47	NAN

11	Sep_4_2013	45.74	45.07	44.51	44.41	44.43	44.86	45.24(1.53%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	17	70	31	-25	11.92	53%	-0.02	-64.5	1.66%	0	0.2	42	NAN
12	Sep_3_2013	45.75	45.15	44.46	44.22	44.26	44.1	44.56(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	-20	2	-56	17.58	53%	0	-52.6	1.68%	0	-0.7	35	NAN
13	Aug_30_2013	45.75	45.26	44.53	44.26	44.22	44.01	43.48(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-39	-40	-28	-71	5.77	48%	-0.04	-34.9	1.68%	0	-1.9	29	NAN
14	Aug_29_2013	45.77	45.43	44.72	44.62	44.54	44.42	44.36(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-20	-5	-52	4.27	49%	0	-20.8	1.66%	0	-1.2	33	NAN
15	Aug_28_2013	45.77	45.52	44.82	44.65	44.72	44.44	44.4(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-40	-7	-55	9.98	49%	0	-23.2	1.67%	0	-1.3	34	NAN

16	Aug_27_2013	45.77	45.56	44.98	44.62	44.78	44.65	44.28(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10	-13	-61	12.37	49%	0	-38.9	1.67%	0	-1.6	31	NAN
17	Aug_26_2013	45.77	45.56	45.18	44.74	44.75	45.01	44.76(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	40	0	-56	8.71	49%	0.02	-52.6	1.68%	0	-1.1	27	NAN
18	Aug_23_2013	45.76	45.6	45.29	44.84	44.77	44.91	45.28(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	20	11	-55	5.74	44%	0.04	-70.2	1.69%	0	-0.4	30	NAN
19	Aug_22_2013	45.74	45.62	45.35	44.86	44.83	44.5	44.52(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-50	-12	-69	10.67	42%	0.04	-81.1	1.75%	0	-1.4	21	NAN
20	Aug_21_2013	45.72	45.72	45.49	45.04	45.04	44.63	44.24(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-40	-60	-29	-71	8.31	42%	0.07	-79.9	1.75%	0	-1.8	32	NAN

21	Aug_20_2013	45.69	45.88	45.69	45.4	45.32	45.16	44.88(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-30	-21	-46	9.49	42%	0.07	-68.2	1.75%	0	-1.1	54	NAN
22	Aug_19_2013	45.66	46.03	45.9	45.68	45.63	45.45	45.28(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-30	-7	-16	6.13	42%	0	-55.4	1.75%	0	-0.8	57	NAN
23	Aug_16_2013	45.66	46.15	46.06	45.8	45.8	45.48	45.38(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-9	-50	-13	3	6.61	43%	0.04	-50.5	1.76%	0	-0.8	62	NAN
24	Aug_15_2013	45.64	46.27	46.21	45.9	45.88	45.81	45.4(-1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-10	-13	16	7.3	43%	0.04	-43.5	1.77%	0	-0.8	51	NAN
25	Aug_14_2013	45.62	46.41	46.29	46	45.99	46.11	46.04(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	20	5	25	7.01	43%		-37.7	1.77%	0	-0.3	45	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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