Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 1, 2013

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $46.1200 (2.72%) ($46.1200 - $46.5200) on Thu. Aug. 1, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.76% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $46.1200(2.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(74%)    EWG(72%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)    EWI(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.88% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.88% (StdDev 1.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

Resistance Level   $46.72
5 Day Moving Average   $45.2(2.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.3(-0.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.72(-1.28%)
To recent high   -6%
To recent low   8.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.4% (three month std-dev: 1.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20130901

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_1_2013	45.29		46.3	45.2	45.23	45.59	46.12(2.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	60	18	-89	11.76	46%	0.11	-9.6	1.76%	0	-0.5	41	NAN
2	Jul_31_2013	45.24	46.72	46.49	45.29	45.06	44.98	44.9(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-30	-17	-98	8.53	43%	0.07	1.6	1.74%	0	-1.6	30	NAN
3	Jul_30_2013	45.21	46.77	46.8	45.8	45.47	44.87	44.92(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-43	-110	-33	-74	13.68	43%	0.07	22.9	1.74%	0	-1.7	45	NAN
4	Jul_29_2013	45.18	46.82	47.07	46.4	46.09	45.14	44.52(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-57	-160	-58	-54	15.72	43%	0.07	50	1.74%	0	-2.2	41	NAN
5	Jul_26_2013	45.15	46.86	47.43	47.08	46.92	46.07	45.52(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-39	-140	-48	-11	10.52	45%	0.07	74.2	1.72%	0	-1.3	50	NAN

6	Jul_25_2013	45.12	46.83	47.64	47.53	47.45	47.04	46.6(-1.81%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-21	-70	-35	21	13.12	47%	0.11	87.6	1.7%	0	-0.2	55	NAN
7	Jul_24_2013	45.07	46.7	47.75	47.84	47.76	47.77	47.46(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-0	-7	59	10.65	48%	0.13	77.5	1.68%	0	0.6	68	NAN
8	Jul_23_2013	45.01	46.53	47.64	47.94	47.88	47.86	47.88(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	22	-10	5	72	8.94	48%	0.16	68.6	1.68%	0	1	73	NAN
9	Jul_22_2013	44.94	46.3	47.49	47.86	47.87	47.75	47.92(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	16	-20	-3	73	6.14	48%	0.13	58.8	1.68%	0	1.1	75	NAN
10	Jul_19_2013	44.88	46.13	47.32	47.85	47.81	47.91	47.8(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	20	10	-1	84	9.07	48%	0.18	63	1.68%	0	1.1	78	NAN

11	Jul_18_2013	44.8	45.89	47.18	47.78	47.82	47.99	48.16(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	37	30	15	102	8.21	48%	0.16	53	1.69%	0	1.4	84	NAN
12	Jul_17_2013	44.73	45.72	46.94	47.65	47.63	47.71	47.92(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	10	14	115	7.44	48%	0.18	57.2	1.69%	0	1.4	86	NAN
13	Jul_16_2013	44.65	45.58	46.73	47.3	47.47	47.64	47.48(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	40	14	116	7.97	48%	0.16	60.3	1.69%	0	1.3	82	NAN
14	Jul_15_2013	44.58	45.43	46.53	47.06	47.16	47.56	47.88(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	49	70	23	128	7.67	48%	0.18	58.9	1.69%	0	1.8	88	NAN
15	Jul_12_2013	44.5	45.2	46.22	46.7	46.8	47.31	47.44(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	80	27	119	13.37	48%	0.16	52.6	1.69%	0	1.7	69	NAN

16	Jul_11_2013	44.43	45.06	45.93	46.5	46.47	46.77	47.52(2.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	51	40	27	124	9.36	49%	0.18	62.6	1.69%	0	2.1	77	NAN
17	Jul_10_2013	44.35	44.86	45.55	46.15	46.23	46.3	46.16(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	20	9	98	10.18	49%	0.14	67.9	1.65%	0	1.2	57	NAN
18	Jul_9_2013	44.29	44.74	45.32	46.07	46.07	46.17	46.32(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	20	7	84	6.62	49%	0.05	66.1	1.67%	0	1.5	54	NAN
19	Jul_8_2013	44.27	44.64	45.02	45.9	45.96	46.15	46.08(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	30	14	70	17.85	49%	0.14	74.4	1.68%	0	1.5	57	NAN
20	Jul_5_2013	44.21	44.53	44.86	45.66	45.82	45.97	46.4(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	30	22	72	8.01	49%	0.25	75.5	1.68%	0	2.1	63	NAN

21	Jul_3_2013	44.1	44.33	44.51	45.28	45.46	45.78	45.8(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	60	20	40	5.04	52%	0.14	50.2	1.73%	0	1.5	53	NAN
22	Jul_2_2013	44.04	44.16	44.39	44.84	45.14	45.67	45.76(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	35	100	35	35	8.24	53%	0.11	30.1	1.73%	0	1.8	58	NAN
23	Jul_1_2013	43.99	44.07	44.32	44.46	44.56	45.14	45.44(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	33	100	34	29	7.08	50%	0.14	12.5	1.74%	0	1.6	57	NAN
24	Jun_28_2013	43.93	43.94	44.22	44.02	44.1	44.62	44.88(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	90	27	8	13.43	50%	0.09	-16.6	1.8%	0	1.1	51	NAN
25	Jun_27_2013	43.89	43.86	44.08	43.95	43.69	43.97	44.52(2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	14	30	19	-2	19.19	50%		-36.8	1.8%	0	0.8	52	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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