Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 10, 2013

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $46.1600 (-0.35%) ($46.1200 - $46.6000) on Wed. Jul. 10, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.65% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $46.1600(-0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(74%)    EWG(72%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)    EWI(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.825% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.15(0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.55(1.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.86(2.9%)
To recent high   -5.9%
To recent low   9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.34% (three month std-dev: 1.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 1.34%(53%) Average negative next day return: -1.28%(47%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 1.55%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -2.06%(37%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 2.19%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.8%(37%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130810

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_10_2013	44.35	44.86	45.55	46.15	46.23	46.3	46.16(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	20	9	98	10.18	49%	0.14	67.9	1.65%	0	1.2	57	NAN
2	Jul_9_2013	44.29	44.74	45.32	46.07	46.07	46.17	46.32(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	20	7	84	6.62	49%	0.05	66.1	1.67%	0	1.5	54	NAN
3	Jul_8_2013	44.27	44.64	45.02	45.9	45.96	46.15	46.08(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	30	14	70	17.85	49%	0.14	74.4	1.68%	0	1.5	57	NAN
4	Jul_5_2013	44.21	44.53	44.86	45.66	45.82	45.97	46.4(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	30	22	72	8.01	49%	0.25	75.5	1.68%	0	2.1	63	NAN
5	Jul_3_2013	44.1	44.33	44.51	45.28	45.46	45.78	45.8(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	60	20	40	5.04	52%	0.14	50.2	1.73%	0	1.5	53	NAN

6	Jul_2_2013	44.04	44.16	44.39	44.84	45.14	45.67	45.76(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	35	100	35	35	8.24	53%	0.11	30.1	1.73%	0	1.8	58	NAN
7	Jul_1_2013	43.99	44.07	44.32	44.46	44.56	45.14	45.44(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	33	100	34	29	7.08	50%	0.14	12.5	1.74%	0	1.6	57	NAN
8	Jun_28_2013	43.93	43.94	44.22	44.02	44.1	44.62	44.88(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	90	27	8	13.43	50%	0.09	-16.6	1.8%	0	1.1	51	NAN
9	Jun_27_2013	43.89	43.86	44.08	43.95	43.69	43.97	44.52(2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	14	30	19	-2	19.19	50%	0.11	-36.8	1.8%	0	0.8	52	NAN
10	Jun_26_2013	43.84	43.84	44.1	43.63	43.67	43.59	43.62(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-2	-10	-0	-6	10.24	48%	0.09	-70.9	1.78%	0	-0.3	57	NAN

11	Jun_25_2013	43.8	43.89	44.13	43.87	43.63	43.4	43.82(1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-18	-50	-25	3	7.44	47%	0.09	-81.6	1.78%	0	-0.1	57	NAN
12	Jun_24_2013	43.76	43.96	44.12	44.18	44.03	43.76	43.28(-2.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-10	-50	-19	17	10.38	47%	0.07	-88	1.78%	0	-0.8	48	NAN
13	Jun_21_2013	43.73	44.07	44.25	44.44	44.6	43.87	44.5(3.63%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-100	-9	46	17.27	50%	0.11	-89.2	1.75%	0	0.5	57	NAN
14	Jun_20_2013	43.68	44.16	44.2	44.23	44.72	44.31	42.94(-4.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-24	-30	-42	31	13.68	46%	0.07	-89.3	1.69%	0	-1.1	50	NAN
15	Jun_19_2013	43.65	44.42	44.18	44.61	44.81	45.33	44.8(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	90	15	60	11	50%	0.14	-61.7	1.61%	0	0.3	51	NAN

16	Jun_18_2013	43.59	44.61	43.95	44.41	44.62	45.14	45.36(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	100	42	45	12.47	50%	0.14	-51.2	1.6%	0	0.4	52	NAN
17	Jun_17_2013	43.53	44.75	43.8	44.07	44.3	44.29	44.6(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	10	11	7	16.01	48%	0.14	-48	1.59%	0	-0.1	46	NAN
18	Jun_14_2013	43.47	44.92	43.8	44.06	44.04	44.1	43.44(-3.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	10	-15	-25	17.65	47%	0.09	-42.3	1.56%	0	-0.7	40	NAN
19	Jun_13_2013	43.43	45.13	43.62	44.18	44.26	44.32	44.84(2.37%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	17	10	32	-27	17.03	50%	0.14	-39	1.51%	0	-0.1	41	NAN
20	Jun_12_2013	43.37	45.29	43.55	43.68	43.99	43.98	43.8(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-16	20	11	-97	15.61	46%	0.12	-41.9	1.48%	0	-0.7	29	NAN

21	Jun_11_2013	43.32	45.5	43.62	43.4	43.48	44.21	43.68(-1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-29	120	10	-147	24.67	46%	0	-43.3	1.49%	0	-0.8	27	NAN
22	Jun_10_2013	43.32	45.7	43.77	43.48	43.19	44	44.56(1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	110	56	-156	15.78	48%	0.14	-41.2	1.47%	0	-0.5	31	NAN
23	Jun_7_2013	43.26	45.82	43.85	43.14	43.07	42.75	44(3.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-38	-60	20	-213	23.36	47%	0.09	-46.2	1.46%	0	-0.8	30	NAN
24	Jun_6_2013	43.22	45.98	44.07	43.01	42.89	42.38	42.36(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-111	-90	-57	-274	25.86	44%	0.09	-47.6	1.39%	0	-1.6	26	NAN
25	Jun_5_2013	43.18	46.25	44.66	43.41	43.24	43.38	42.4(-3.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-78	10	-24	-241	21.89	44%		-44.5	1.4%	0	-1.9	24	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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