Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 3, 2013

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $42.8400 (-1.2%) ($42.2000 - $43.0400) on Mon. Jun. 3, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.26% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $42.8400(-1.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)    EWI(66%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.63% (StdDev 1.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $37.62(-12.18%)
Resistance Level   $46.65
5 Day Moving Average   $44.1(-2.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.76(-6.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.65(-8.17%)
To recent high   -12.6%
To recent low   3.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 3.77% (three month std-dev: 1.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.84%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.02%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 3.24%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -3.03%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 7.81%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.49%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130703

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_3_2013	43.11	46.65	45.76	44.1	43.75	43.1	42.84(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-109	-130	-67	-233	22.29	44%	0.09	-40.6	1.26%	0	-2.2	25	0
2	May_31_2013	43.07	46.89	46.33	44.66	44.45	43.87	43.36(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-87	-110	-53	-187	15.18	44%	0.09	-34.9	1.26%	0	-2.3	33	0
3	May_30_2013	43.03	47.06	46.79	45.28	44.9	44.4	44.36(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-86	-100	-63	-155	33.88	47%	0.12	-27.4	1.24%	0	-2.1	36	0
4	May_29_2013	42.98	47.18	47.21	46.12	45.27	45.02	44.6(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-81	-90	-72	-106	16.24	48%	0.14	-10.2	1.25%	0	-2.2	35	0
5	May_28_2013	42.92	47.31	47.57	47	46.37	45.4	45.36(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-47	-190	-49	-40	15.39	51%	0.23	18.2	1.23%	0	-2	42	0

6	May_24_2013	42.82	47.38	47.83	47.68	47.25	45.51	45.62(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-92	-280	-115	-21	36.41	52%	0.14	46.4	1.23%	0	-1.9	45	0
7	May_23_2013	42.76	47.38	48	48.25	48.1	47.35	46.48(-4.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-64	-120	-92	22	36.42	54%	0.16	72.1	1.21%	0	-1.1	48	0
8	May_22_2013	42.69	47.42	48.09	48.49	48.74	48.99	48.52(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	50	16	96	23.83	64%	0.14	85.3	1.08%	0	1.2	70	0
9	May_21_2013	42.63	47.3	47.98	48.46	48.44	48.85	49.04(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	51	60	30	114	7.61	62%	0.24	89.1	1.08%	0	1.9	76	0
10	May_20_2013	42.53	47.13	47.77	48.24	48.27	48.49	48.76(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	53	30	36	105	8.11	62%	0.26	85.7	1.1%	0	1.8	67	0

11	May_17_2013	42.42	46.96	47.58	48.02	48.03	48.03	48.44(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	0	14	89	9.47	64%	0.24	82.7	1.1%	0	1.7	68	0
12	May_16_2013	42.32	46.8	47.44	47.74	47.86	48.05	47.68(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	40	12	82	10.66	62%	0.21	72.6	1.1%	0	1	66	0
13	May_15_2013	42.23	46.66	47.33	47.61	47.64	48.02	48.38(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	47	60	33	87	16.05	65%	0.14	65.1	1.08%	0	1.9	72	0
14	May_14_2013	42.17	46.5	47.11	47.42	47.32	47.67	47.96(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	50	30	77	13.67	63%	0.21	66.3	1.08%	0	1.7	72	0
15	May_13_2013	42.08	46.38	46.99	47.22	47.19	47.26	47.64(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	10	23	74	9.91	63%	0.21	72	1.09%	0	1.6	72	0

16	May_10_2013	41.99	46.25	46.87	47.08	47.19	46.96	47.04(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10	-8	66	10.79	63%	0.21	76.8	1.08%	0	1	73	0
17	May_9_2013	41.9	46.17	46.78	47.1	47.04	47.12	47.04(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	10	5	82	25.46	63%	0.19	89.5	1.09%	0	1.2	72	0
18	May_8_2013	41.82	46.08	46.71	46.98	47.05	47.11	47.4(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	40	10	20	98	11.09	63%	0.24	94	1.09%	0	1.7	80	0
19	May_7_2013	41.72	45.95	46.57	46.76	46.86	46.97	47(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	20	5	88	7.51	63%	0.22	98.3	1.09%	0	1.3	72	0
20	May_6_2013	41.63	45.8	46.44	46.72	46.71	46.99	46.92(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	40	17	94	6.09	64%	0.24	107.2	1.09%	0	1.3	65	0

21	May_3_2013	41.53	45.67	46.29	46.62	46.65	46.75	47.12(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	45	20	27	98	12.4	64%	0.24	115.3	1.08%	0	1.7	71	0
22	May_2_2013	41.43	45.51	46.11	46.43	46.48	46.43	46.46(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	18	-0	-1	75	8.59	62%	0.24	110.7	1.08%	0	1.1	61	0
23	May_1_2013	41.33	45.37	45.96	46.39	46.4	46.54	46.28(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	20	3	69	5.94	62%	0.22	88.8	1.09%	0	0.8	60	0
24	Apr_30_2013	41.24	45.16	45.85	46.34	46.38	46.53	46.8(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	30	27	82	5.35	66%	0.24	73.9	1.07%	0	1.3	72	0
25	Apr_29_2013	41.14	44.93	45.72	46.13	46.2	46.25	46.44(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	33	10	16	83	4.71	67%		61.5	1.07%	0	1.1	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.