Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 20, 2013

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $48.7600 (0.66%) ($48.6000 - $48.8000) on Mon. May. 20, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $48.7600(0.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)    EWI(66%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.24(1.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.77(2.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.13(3.46%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   22.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.89% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 23 Average positive next day return: 0.86%(39%) Average negative next day return: -0.8%(61%) Sample size 23 Average positive next three day return: 1.47%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -1.7%(52%) Sample size 23 Average positive next weekly return: 2.24%(61%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.67%(39%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130620

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_20_2013	42.53	47.13	47.77	48.24	48.27	48.49	48.76(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	53	30	36	105	8.11	62%	0.26	85.7	1.1%	0	1.8	67	0
2	May_17_2013	42.42	46.96	47.58	48.02	48.03	48.03	48.44(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	0	14	89	9.47	64%	0.24	82.7	1.1%	0	1.7	68	0
3	May_16_2013	42.32	46.8	47.44	47.74	47.86	48.05	47.68(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	40	12	82	10.66	62%	0.21	72.6	1.1%	0	1	66	0
4	May_15_2013	42.23	46.66	47.33	47.61	47.64	48.02	48.38(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	47	60	33	87	16.05	65%	0.14	65.1	1.08%	0	1.9	72	0
5	May_14_2013	42.17	46.5	47.11	47.42	47.32	47.67	47.96(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	50	30	77	13.67	63%	0.21	66.3	1.08%	0	1.7	72	0

6	May_13_2013	42.08	46.38	46.99	47.22	47.19	47.26	47.64(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	10	23	74	9.91	63%	0.21	72	1.09%	0	1.6	72	0
7	May_10_2013	41.99	46.25	46.87	47.08	47.19	46.96	47.04(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10	-8	66	10.79	63%	0.21	76.8	1.08%	0	1	73	0
8	May_9_2013	41.9	46.17	46.78	47.1	47.04	47.12	47.04(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	10	5	82	25.46	63%	0.19	89.5	1.09%	0	1.2	72	0
9	May_8_2013	41.82	46.08	46.71	46.98	47.05	47.11	47.4(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	40	10	20	98	11.09	63%	0.24	94	1.09%	0	1.7	80	0
10	May_7_2013	41.72	45.95	46.57	46.76	46.86	46.97	47(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	20	5	88	7.51	63%	0.22	98.3	1.09%	0	1.3	72	0

11	May_6_2013	41.63	45.8	46.44	46.72	46.71	46.99	46.92(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	40	17	94	6.09	64%	0.24	107.2	1.09%	0	1.3	65	0
12	May_3_2013	41.53	45.67	46.29	46.62	46.65	46.75	47.12(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	45	20	27	98	12.4	64%	0.24	115.3	1.08%	0	1.7	71	0
13	May_2_2013	41.43	45.51	46.11	46.43	46.48	46.43	46.46(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	18	-0	-1	75	8.59	62%	0.24	110.7	1.08%	0	1.1	61	0
14	May_1_2013	41.33	45.37	45.96	46.39	46.4	46.54	46.28(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	20	3	69	5.94	62%	0.22	88.8	1.09%	0	0.8	60	0
15	Apr_30_2013	41.24	45.16	45.85	46.34	46.38	46.53	46.8(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	30	27	82	5.35	66%	0.24	73.9	1.07%	0	1.3	72	0

16	Apr_29_2013	41.14	44.93	45.72	46.13	46.2	46.25	46.44(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	33	10	16	83	4.71	67%	0.22	61.5	1.07%	0	1.1	76	0
17	Apr_26_2013	41.05	44.69	45.58	45.9	46	46.22	46.16(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	40	16	76	7.99	64%	0.22	53.4	1.1%	0	1.1	69	0
18	Apr_25_2013	40.96	44.54	45.5	45.74	45.76	46.15	46.28(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	60	36	92	7.83	64%	0.24	51.9	1.1%	0	1.3	73	0
19	Apr_24_2013	40.86	44.39	45.4	45.46	45.47	45.78	46.02(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	48	50	33	93	10.67	66%	0.22	49.5	1.1%	0	1.2	73	0
20	Apr_23_2013	40.77	44.23	45.28	45.29	45.19	45.37	45.74(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	20	13	107	12.88	66%	0.22	49	1.11%	0	1.2	80	0

21	Apr_22_2013	40.68	44.08	45.1	45.25	45.11	45.16	45.32(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-0	7	126	8.86	64%	0.2	50.7	1.11%	0	1	77	0
22	Apr_19_2013	40.6	43.96	45	45.2	45.16	45.01	45.36(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	36	-30	-3	152	10.05	64%	0.2	52.8	1.12%	0	1.1	80	0
23	Apr_18_2013	40.52	43.84	44.86	45.21	45.17	45.06	44.86(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	26	-20	-18	157	10.71	64%	0.22	57.9	1.13%	0	0.8	60	0
24	Apr_17_2013	40.43	43.74	44.74	45.31	45.3	45.31	45.18(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	0	3	182	13.48	64%	0.2	65.3	1.12%	0	1.2	62	0
25	Apr_16_2013	40.35	43.61	44.44	45.25	45.33	45.28	45.52(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	57	-0	17	176	8.45	62%		69.7	1.11%	0	1.6	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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