Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 2, 2013

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $46.4600 (0.39%) ($46.4000 - $46.6800) on Thu. May. 2, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $46.4600(0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)    EWI(66%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.43(0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.11(0.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.51(2.09%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   17.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.96% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.56%(57%) Average negative next day return: -0.8%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.79%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -2.07%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 3.41%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.21%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130602

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_2_2013	41.43	45.51	46.11	46.43	46.48	46.43	46.46(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	18	-0	-1	75	8.59	62%	0.24	110.7	1.08%	0	1.1	61	NAN
2	May_1_2013	41.33	45.37	45.96	46.39	46.4	46.54	46.28(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	20	3	69	5.94	62%	0.22	88.8	1.09%	0	0.8	60	NAN
3	Apr_30_2013	41.24	45.16	45.85	46.34	46.38	46.53	46.8(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	30	27	82	5.35	66%	0.24	73.9	1.07%	0	1.3	72	NAN
4	Apr_29_2013	41.14	44.93	45.72	46.13	46.2	46.25	46.44(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	33	10	16	83	4.71	67%	0.22	61.5	1.07%	0	1.1	76	NAN
5	Apr_26_2013	41.05	44.69	45.58	45.9	46	46.22	46.16(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	40	16	76	7.99	64%	0.22	53.4	1.1%	0	1.1	69	NAN

6	Apr_25_2013	40.96	44.54	45.5	45.74	45.76	46.15	46.28(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	60	36	92	7.83	64%	0.24	51.9	1.1%	0	1.3	73	NAN
7	Apr_24_2013	40.86	44.39	45.4	45.46	45.47	45.78	46.02(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	48	50	33	93	10.67	66%	0.22	49.5	1.1%	0	1.2	73	NAN
8	Apr_23_2013	40.77	44.23	45.28	45.29	45.19	45.37	45.74(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	20	13	107	12.88	66%	0.22	49	1.11%	0	1.2	80	NAN
9	Apr_22_2013	40.68	44.08	45.1	45.25	45.11	45.16	45.32(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-0	7	126	8.86	64%	0.2	50.7	1.11%	0	1	77	NAN
10	Apr_19_2013	40.6	43.96	45	45.2	45.16	45.01	45.36(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	36	-30	-3	152	10.05	64%	0.2	52.8	1.12%	0	1.1	80	NAN

11	Apr_18_2013	40.52	43.84	44.86	45.21	45.17	45.06	44.86(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	26	-20	-18	157	10.71	64%	0.22	57.9	1.13%	0	0.8	60	NAN
12	Apr_17_2013	40.43	43.74	44.74	45.31	45.3	45.31	45.18(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	0	3	182	13.48	64%	0.2	65.3	1.12%	0	1.2	62	NAN
13	Apr_16_2013	40.35	43.61	44.44	45.25	45.33	45.28	45.52(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	57	-0	17	176	8.45	62%	0.22	69.7	1.11%	0	1.6	65	NAN
14	Apr_15_2013	40.26	43.45	44.1	44.93	45.16	45.29	45.07(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	40	12	147	13.98	62%	0.2	67.1	1.12%	0	1.4	65	NAN
15	Apr_12_2013	40.18	43.31	43.75	44.77	44.83	45.37	45.44(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	61	90	37	133	15.89	62%	0.15	70.2	1.11%	0	2	64	NAN

16	Apr_11_2013	40.12	43.14	43.51	44.45	44.5	45.04	45.36(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	75	90	59	124	37.19	62%	0.22	70.9	1.12%	0	2.3	64	NAN
17	Apr_10_2013	40.03	42.97	43.28	44.1	44.09	44.29	44.84(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	61	30	48	101	10.22	60%	0.2	69.2	1.11%	0	2.2	62	NAN
18	Apr_9_2013	39.95	42.8	43.09	43.5	43.79	43.96	43.92(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	50	32	61	12.91	60%	0.2	55.6	1.09%	0	1.5	60	NAN
19	Apr_8_2013	39.87	42.71	42.96	43.12	43.35	43.88	44.28(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	50	100	51	46	14.45	57%	0.2	48	1.09%	0	2.2	64	NAN
20	Apr_5_2013	39.79	42.58	42.82	42.57	42.8	43.61	43.84(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	45	150	55	14	16.4	56%	0.23	34.6	1.1%	0	1.9	60	NAN

21	Apr_4_2013	39.7	42.47	42.71	42.44	42.3	42.82	43.6(4.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	35	80	43	9	11.68	56%	0.23	38.3	1.11%	0	1.9	62	NAN
22	Apr_3_2013	39.61	42.39	42.63	42.38	42.19	41.98	41.88(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-8	-50	-9	-5	11.64	49%	0.18	50.8	0.99%	0	-0.9	52	NAN
23	Apr_2_2013	39.54	42.38	42.71	42.62	42.45	41.77	42.02(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-31	-120	-45	11	17.99	53%	0.18	67.9	1%	0	-0.6	57	NAN
24	Apr_1_2013	39.47	42.38	42.76	42.75	42.72	42.39	41.52(-3.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-39	-60	-58	19	7.5	51%	0.25	84.9	1.03%	0	-1.4	47	NAN
25	Mar_28_2013	39.37	42.36	42.88	43.06	43.01	43.13	43.2(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	20	8	90	8.45	57%		91.9	0.9%	0	1.2	69	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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