Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 3, 2013

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $39.6000 (-0.9%) ($39.5200 - $39.9200) on Thu. Jan. 3, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.89% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $39.6000(-0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    EWG(70%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)    EWI(65%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.445% (StdDev 0.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.24(0.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.11(1.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.36(3.23%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   13%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.16% (three month std-dev: 0.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 0.41%(47%) Average negative next day return: -0.65%(53%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 1%(32%) Average negative next three day return: -1.43%(68%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 1.54%(21%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.64%(79%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130203

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_3_2013	36.99	38.36	39.11	39.24	39.25	39.74	39.6(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	67	90	40	148	9.58	67%	0.08	63.4	0.89%	0	1.5	76	0
2	Jan_2_2013	36.96	38.24	38.96	39.1	39.03	39.3	39.96(2.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	75	40	49	154	8.63	69%	0.11	61.2	0.89%	0	2.1	82	0
3	Dec_31_2012	36.92	38.09	38.75	39.1	38.82	39.3	39(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	33	-20	-1	133	7.62	66%	0.05	59.9	0.84%	0	1.2	77	0
4	Dec_28_2012	36.9	38	38.61	38.9	38.84	38.76	38.68(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	-20	-14	133	4.59	61%	0.05	63	0.83%	0	0.9	71	0
5	Dec_27_2012	36.88	37.94	38.49	39	38.86	38.88	38.96(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	37	-10	0	146	8.65	63%	0.05	73.2	0.87%	0	1.4	79	0

6	Dec_26_2012	36.86	37.84	38.35	38.94	38.9	38.91	38.92(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	51	-0	16	154	7.09	60%	0.08	75.7	0.88%	0	1.5	80	0
7	Dec_24_2012	36.83	37.74	38.2	38.78	38.82	38.84	38.96(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	50	10	18	145	4.1	60%	0.08	74.2	0.88%	0	1.8	81	0
8	Dec_21_2012	36.8	37.65	38.04	38.56	38.59	38.89	38.96(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	55	60	29	134	10.1	60%	0.08	78.2	0.88%	0	2.1	81	0
9	Dec_20_2012	36.77	37.55	37.89	38.28	38.35	38.81	39.2(1.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	80	90	64	126	8.68	58%	0.08	87.7	0.88%	0	3	82	0
10	Dec_19_2012	36.74	37.42	37.69	37.92	37.97	38.3	38.68(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	58	60	49	83	12.97	56%	0.08	108.9	0.88%	0	3	73	0

11	Dec_18_2012	36.71	37.32	37.54	37.68	37.66	37.88	38.08(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	34	40	26	56	10.8	54%	0.05	137.5	0.85%	0	2.3	73	0
12	Dec_17_2012	36.69	37.25	37.44	37.54	37.54	37.65	37.9(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	29	20	23	45	7.28	54%	0.05	158	0.85%	0	2.2	72	0
13	Dec_14_2012	36.67	37.17	37.37	37.44	37.44	37.65	37.56(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-0	3	27	5.27	54%	0.05	142.7	0.85%	0	1.2	59	0
14	Dec_13_2012	36.65	37.08	37.34	37.42	37.4	37.43	37.36(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	0	-3	25	8.85	57%	0.08	101.6	0.86%	0	0.6	56	0
15	Dec_12_2012	36.62	36.97	37.35	37.43	37.43	37.45	37.52(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	0	11	43	10.68	58%	0.05	68.2	0.88%	0	0.9	70	0

16	Dec_11_2012	36.6	36.87	37.29	37.36	37.38	37.37	37.36(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	11	-0	1	39	4.91	58%	0.05	54.5	0.89%	0	0.7	68	0
17	Dec_10_2012	36.58	36.78	37.26	37.33	37.34	37.41	37.38(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	10	5	40	3.29	58%	0.05	44.3	0.89%	0	0.8	66	0
18	Dec_7_2012	36.56	36.7	37.23	37.28	37.3	37.39	37.5(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	22	20	11	54	2.97	60%	0.03	39.7	0.89%	0	1.1	77	0
19	Dec_6_2012	36.55	36.62	37.2	37.24	37.25	37.27	37.38(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	20	0	2	72	2.92	62%	0.03	33.7	0.91%	0	1	82	0
20	Dec_5_2012	36.54	36.54	37.13	37.26	37.24	37.22	37.2(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	25	-10	0	101	3.84	60%	0	33	0.92%	0	0.9	85	0

21	Dec_4_2012	36.54	36.5	37.08	37.22	37.27	37.24	37.18(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	-0	5	120	3.57	57%	0.03	32.5	0.93%	0	0.9	73	0
22	Dec_3_2012	36.53	36.45	37.04	37.22	37.16	37.26	37.16(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	33	20	-1	134	2.66	57%	0.03	29.2	0.95%	0	1	74	0
23	Nov_30_2012	36.52	36.41	36.96	37.17	37.1	37.31	37.3(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	30	16	152	6.27	54%	0.03	29.9	0.95%	0	1.3	68	0
24	Nov_29_2012	36.51	36.37	36.8	37.14	37.06	37.06	37.44(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	-10	17	145	21.61	54%	0	32.4	0.98%	0	1.6	70	0
25	Nov_28_2012	36.51	36.3	36.57	37	37.01	36.9	37(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	25	-20	-4	113	4.55	53%		22.4	0.97%	0	1.2	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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