Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 26, 2012

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $37.1600 (0%) ($37.0000 - $37.1600) on Mon. Nov. 26, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $37.1600(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    EWG(70%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)    EWI(65%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.9(0.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.27(2.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.25(2.51%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.6% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.73%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.14%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.56%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -1.63%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.44%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.84%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121226

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_26_2012	36.51	36.25	36.27	36.9	36.88	37.12	37.16(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	41	40	24	92	3.2	53%	0	15	0.97%	0	1.6	58	NAN
2	Nov_23_2012	36.51	36.2	36.13	36.71	36.8	36.91	37.16(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	47	30	38	73	2.5	53%	0	4	0.97%	0	1.8	58	NAN
3	Nov_21_2012	36.51	36.16	35.98	36.4	36.58	36.65	36.72(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	30	26	27	4.14	51%	-0.03	-16.2	0.95%	0	1.1	49	NAN
4	Nov_20_2012	36.52	36.17	35.9	36.06	36.3	36.7	36.68(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	25	100	35	-6	4.74	51%	-0.03	-27.7	0.95%	0	1.1	54	NAN
5	Nov_19_2012	36.53	36.17	35.85	35.82	35.95	36.52	36.76(1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	39	120	59	-22	11.96	51%	-0.03	-33.3	0.95%	0	1.2	51	NAN

6	Nov_16_2012	36.54	36.16	35.85	35.56	35.61	35.9	36.24(1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	14	60	39	-63	5.12	51%	-0.03	-37.5	0.94%	0	0.2	42	NAN
7	Nov_15_2012	36.55	36.18	35.79	35.47	35.42	35.38	35.6(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-24	-10	-1	-92	22.23	48%	-0.03	-30.1	0.93%	0	-1.1	39	NAN
8	Nov_14_2012	36.56	36.24	35.89	35.51	35.48	35.32	35.04(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-43	-30	-25	-97	3.42	46%	-0.03	-22.6	0.9%	0	-2.3	31	NAN
9	Nov_13_2012	36.57	36.3	36.01	35.7	35.64	35.46	35.48(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-44	-40	-26	-96	3.34	47%	0	-19.4	0.89%	0	-1.8	27	NAN
10	Nov_12_2012	36.57	36.32	36.12	35.88	35.78	35.64	35.44(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-41	-40	-28	-81	3.07	47%	-0.03	-17.7	0.89%	0	-2.1	37	NAN

11	Nov_9_2012	36.58	36.35	36.24	36.06	36	35.81	35.8(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-29	-40	-17	-65	3.28	49%	0	-16.7	0.88%	0	-1.5	35	NAN
12	Nov_8_2012	36.58	36.34	36.31	36.16	36.12	35.92	35.8(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-39	-40	-30	-67	3.8	49%	-0.03	-16.7	0.88%	0	-1.5	39	NAN
13	Nov_7_2012	36.59	36.35	36.36	36.32	36.27	36.19	35.96(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-24	-20	-15	-51	4.22	51%	-0.03	-11.2	0.88%	0	-1	44	NAN
14	Nov_6_2012	36.6	36.38	36.47	36.37	36.38	36.33	36.4(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	-10	-3	-25	6.13	53%	0	-8.4	0.88%	0	0.1	55	NAN
15	Nov_5_2012	36.6	36.39	36.49	36.39	36.37	36.36	36.32(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	-0	-9	-14	1.87	53%	0	-7.5	0.89%	0	-0.2	57	NAN

16	Nov_2_2012	36.6	36.39	36.56	36.46	36.39	36.44	36.32(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	4	0	0	17	2.51	55%	0.03	-10	0.9%	0	-0.2	58	NAN
17	Nov_1_2012	36.59	36.41	36.56	36.48	36.46	36.37	36.6(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-20	4	40	2.27	55%	0.03	-17.3	0.9%	0	0.5	63	NAN
18	Oct_31_2012	36.58	36.4	36.56	36.42	36.47	36.35	36.22(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-7	-20	-22	38	2.93	54%	0.08	-31.8	0.89%	0	-0.4	56	NAN
19	Oct_26_2012	36.55	36.41	36.6	36.59	36.46	36.56	36.48(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	10	-8	55	3.16	58%	0.03	-30.8	0.9%	0	0.2	50	NAN
20	Oct_25_2012	36.54	36.42	36.55	36.61	36.46	36.59	36.68(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-0	8	50	3.88	58%	0.03	-33.1	0.91%	0	0.6	49	NAN

21	Oct_24_2012	36.53	36.45	36.46	36.68	36.62	36.36	36.4(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-10	-50	-24	31	2.96	58%	0.03	-27.6	0.91%	0	-0.1	47	NAN
22	Oct_23_2012	36.52	36.48	36.39	36.75	36.75	36.65	36.32(-2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-8	-20	-20	30	6.19	56%	0.03	-28	0.92%	0	-0.3	52	NAN
23	Oct_22_2012	36.51	36.52	36.35	36.81	36.89	36.87	37.08(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	0	17	44	9.41	60%	0.05	-25	0.9%	0	1.1	57	NAN
24	Oct_19_2012	36.49	36.53	36.28	36.61	36.77	36.85	36.56(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	30	11	20	3.16	53%	0.03	-35.9	0.93%	0	0.1	49	NAN
25	Oct_18_2012	36.48	36.57	36.29	36.46	36.59	36.91	37.02(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	70	37	16	2.7	56%		-46	0.92%	0	0.8	52	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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