Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 18, 2012

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $37.0200 (0.65%) ($36.9200 - $37.1200) on Thu. Oct. 18, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $37.0200(0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    EWG(70%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)    EWI(65%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.46(1.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.29(2.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.57(1.23%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.5% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.45%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.88%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.34%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_18_2012	36.48		36.29	36.46	36.59	36.91	37.02(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	70	37	16	2.7	56%	0.05	-46	0.92%	0	0.8	52	NAN
2	Oct_17_2012	36.46	36.57	36.24	36.22	36.29	36.68	36.78(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	29	80	44	-18	2.65	56%	0.03	-55.9	0.92%	0	0.4	39	NAN
3	Oct_16_2012	36.45	36.61	36.18	35.98	36.04	36.28	36.6(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	14	50	37	-56	2.82	56%	0.03	-58.6	0.92%	0	-0	44	NAN
4	Oct_15_2012	36.44	36.65	36.15	35.84	35.79	35.9	36.08(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-25	20	1	-104	3.18	53%	0	-56	0.9%	0	-0.9	34	NAN
5	Oct_12_2012	36.44	36.72	36.2	35.92	35.78	35.8	35.84(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-10	-10	-113	2.56	51%	0.03	-43.3	0.91%	0	-1.3	30	NAN

6	Oct_11_2012	36.43	36.82	36.28	36.09	35.96	35.69	35.8(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-60	-22	-114	3.36	51%	0	-27.6	0.92%	0	-1.6	29	NAN
7	Oct_10_2012	36.43	36.91	36.44	36.26	36.19	35.77	35.6(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-58	-90	-42	-105	2.15	49%	0	-9.4	0.92%	0	-2.2	29	NAN
8	Oct_9_2012	36.43	36.98	36.58	36.39	36.46	36.23	35.88(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-47	-40	-29	-99	3.38	49%	0	9.2	0.93%	0	-2.1	28	NAN
9	Oct_8_2012	36.43	36.98	36.72	36.49	36.46	36.62	36.48(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-25	20	-5	-86	2.3	52%	0.03	22	0.91%	0	-1.1	34	NAN
10	Oct_5_2012	36.42	37.01	36.81	36.49	36.53	36.7	36.68(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	30	14	-80	3.45	50%	0	23.7	0.91%	0	-0.7	37	NAN

11	Oct_4_2012	36.42	37	36.88	36.51	36.51	36.45	36.66(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-28	-10	-5	-95	2.17	50%	0.03	21.9	0.92%	0	-0.6	33	NAN
12	Oct_3_2012	36.41	36.96	36.94	36.66	36.53	36.37	36.24(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-40	-29	-96	4.3	50%	0	17.9	0.91%	0	-1.1	35	NAN
13	Oct_2_2012	36.41	36.93	37.08	36.8	36.81	36.57	36.4(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-40	-21	-66	4.51	50%	0	13.9	0.93%	0	-0.8	47	NAN
14	Oct_1_2012	36.41	36.91	37.2	36.99	36.94	36.68	36.56(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-37	-50	-36	-38	2.24	50%	0	12.6	0.93%	0	-0.5	55	NAN
15	Sep_28_2012	36.41	36.9	37.29	37.15	37.14	37.06	36.68(-1.93%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-14	-20	-19	2	4.6	55%	-0.03	13	0.96%	0	-0.3	58	NAN

16	Sep_27_2012	36.42	36.88	37.41	37.3	37.28	37.19	37.4(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-20	-1	48	1.98	58%	0	11.8	0.95%	0	0.7	68	NAN
17	Sep_26_2012	36.42	36.85	37.41	37.26	37.31	37.23	36.96(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10	-18	65	2.14	58%	-0.03	8.8	0.94%	0	0.2	70	NAN
18	Sep_25_2012	36.43	36.84	37.42	37.4	37.38	37.37	37.34(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	-0	-4	109	2.81	57%	0	10.9	0.94%	0	0.7	80	NAN
19	Sep_24_2012	36.43	36.82	37.34	37.44	37.42	37.37	37.36(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	29	-10	-3	126	1.62	57%	-0.03	11.6	0.96%	0	0.8	71	NAN
20	Sep_21_2012	36.44	36.8	37.24	37.46	37.47	37.38	37.42(0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-20	-9	130	2.21	53%	0	11.6	0.96%	0	0.9	63	NAN

21	Sep_20_2012	36.44	36.79	37.13	37.55	37.49	37.45	37.24(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	25	-10	-12	134	4.8	54%	-0.05	16	1.01%	0	0.7	62	NAN
22	Sep_19_2012	36.46	36.78	37	37.59	37.63	37.56	37.64(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	-10	13	135	3.6	56%	0	21.8	1.01%	0	1.2	56	NAN
23	Sep_18_2012	36.46	36.76	36.77	37.43	37.54	37.53	37.54(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	10	8	100	6.58	56%	-0.05	19.2	1.01%	0	1.2	56	NAN
24	Sep_17_2012	36.48	36.74	36.59	37.21	37.38	37.7	37.48(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	70	29	70	2.55	56%	-0.05	13.3	1.01%	0	1.1	52	NAN
25	Sep_14_2012	36.5	36.73	36.46	36.97	37.1	37.54	37.84(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	50	90	52	44	9.75	58%		6.8	1.01%	0	1.7	53	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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